World

$44.0M Vol.2 months left

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3126%
October 318%

$8.9M Vol.

$40.2M Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova87%
Аndrey Gyurov14%

$1.2M Vol.

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$263.9K Vol.

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

$378.7K Vol.2 months left

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

June 30, 20279%
December 312%

$4.3M Vol.

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

$563.0K Vol.2 months left

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

No Next Minister by Feb 2834%
Ofer Winter17%

$38.5K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round Winner

Marine Le Pen88%
David Lisnard4%

$13.3K Vol.

Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?

<1%chance

$49.9K Vol.1 day left

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

December 3190%
October 3170%

$881.5K Vol.

Netanyahu out by...?

40%chance

$2.7M Vol.2 months left

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

No change82%
25 bps increase18%

$114.0K Vol.annual

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Vladimir Putin80%
Mohammed bin Salman80%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China77%
No meeting by December 3118%

$1.8M Vol.

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

$228.2K Vol.2 months left

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

December 31, 202749%
June 30, 202734%

$2.9M Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon45%
Édouard Philippe36%

$9.9K Vol.

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%61%
Remain 60–80%23%

$21.5K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$59.0K Vol.

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

No change96%
25 bps increase3%

$201.5K Vol.annual

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Yisrael Beiteinu53%
The Democrats42%

$55.1K Vol.

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%
US2%

$3.7M Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas <5%17%
Ruas 20%+13%

$26.9K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2836%
Tally Gotliv16%

$49.0K Vol.

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

<1%chance

$23.7K Vol.17 days left

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Germany15%
Japan14%

$680.9K Vol.annual

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon40%
Édouard Philippe23%

$6.7K Vol.

Spain General Election Winner

PP86%
PSOE14%

$102.6K Vol.

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

$3.5M Vol.2 months left

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.00-5.49%47%
4.50-4.99%21%

$162.6K Vol.

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

52%chance

$52.1K Vol.2 months left

Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?

$174.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

<2.75%41%
2.75-3.25%27%

$3.1K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?

AfD63%
Grüne26%

$58.8K Vol.

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

$273.6K Vol.2 months left

French election called by...?

8%chance

$9.8K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

<477%
4-621%

$10.9K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout

78-80%60%
76-78%18%

$12.0K Vol.

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

30%chance

$533.9K Vol.2 months left

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

8%chance

$2.9M Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

<0.75%48%
0.75-1.25%47%

$5.1K Vol.

Macron out by...?

$39.9K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

22-2324%
20-2123%

$18.7K Vol.

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yaron Zelekha17%

$45.0K Vol.

Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Celina 20-25%42%
Celina 25%+32%

$4.3K Vol.

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Allyson 3-6%28%
Cadu wins21%

$9.0K Vol.

Iran Nuke before 2027?

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

6.5-7.5%35%
5.5-6.5%33%

$2.8K Vol.

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

6-7%35%
5-6%28%

$4.2K Vol.

Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?

74%chance

$7.1K Vol.5 months left

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Iotova 20-30%50%
Iotova 10-20%31%

$13.8K Vol.

Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner

$7.0K Vol.

Estonia Parliamentary Election Winner

Isamaa50%
Centre Party32%

$974.9 Vol.

Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Zeeshan Wahla44%
Amna Shah37%

$2.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

19%chance

$6.6K Vol.13 days left

EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?

19%chance

$6.9K Vol.2 months left

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027

$15.0K Vol.

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December

No change70%
25 bps increase26%

$9.7K Vol.annual

Tocantins Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Vicentinho 4%+32%
Dorinha <4%27%

$3.0K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$15.7K Vol.8 months left

Modi out by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$26.2K Vol.8 months left

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

$82.7K Vol.

Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?

6-7%37%
5-6%36%

$6.7K Vol.

Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Paul Choi49%
David Xie30%

$1.4K Vol.

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

64%chance

$2.1K Vol.2 months left

Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?

85%chance

$23.9K Vol.2 months left

Russia military action against EU country by...?

December 31, 202720%
December 31, 20268%

$250.6K Vol.

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

$1.3M Vol.2 months left

Will Trump rename an ocean by...?

December 31, 202729%
December 31, 20265%

$33.2K Vol.

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

$1.1M Vol.2 months left

Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Margareta Dovgal47%
Terry Yung42%

$3.7K Vol.

Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

December 313%
October 31<1%

$7.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Together vote share?

9-11%39%
7-9%23%

$3.0K Vol.

China Annual Inflation 2026

0.6 – 1.0%55%
1.1 – 1.5%26%

$112.6K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yoram Cohen13%

$42.5K Vol.

Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Gordon Zhang78%
Bruce Kong21%

$3.4K Vol.

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?

7%chance

$7.5K Vol.2 months left

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

$14.1K Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

11%chance

$3.5M Vol.1 year left

Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Ra'am96%
RZP-Zehut86%

$14.6K Vol.

New pandemic in 2026?

$1.2M Vol.2 months left

Ukraine election called by...?

$97.5K Vol.2 months left

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

$167.3K Vol.2 months left

Acre Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Mailza 10-15%42%
Mailza 20%+28%

$4.2K Vol.

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

$395.2K Vol.2 months left

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland15%
Kuwait7%

$1.8M Vol.

Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?

UAE41%
Turkey21%

$33.0K Vol.

Klitschko out as Kyiv mayor by...?

June 30, 202748%
December 31, 202616%

$430.7 Vol.

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

$43.2K Vol.2 months left

North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Anna Kindy61%
Sara Lopez31%

$1.5K Vol.

Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Jessie Sunner41%
Harj Dhaliwal34%

$3.5K Vol.

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

$799.0K Vol.2 months left

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

466%
513%

$7.6M Vol.

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

December 31, 202615%
October 31, 202612%

$362.6K Vol.

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

$862.2K Vol.2 months left

Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Jaime Stein66%
Sunita Dhir35%

$1.6K Vol.

Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Garry Purewal50%
Jagrup Brar37%

$2.2K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Latvia?

Andris Kulbergs98%
Viktors Valainis1%

$12.8K Vol.

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

11%chance

$125.1K Vol.2 months left

Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?

85%chance

$350.0 Vol.46 days left

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

25 bps increase52%
No change43%

$93.8K Vol.annual

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Ding Xuexiang6%
Li Xi5%

$251.4K Vol.

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

$378.5K Vol.5 days left

Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

SPD81%
Grüne80%

$20.0K Vol.

Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Kevin Acton77%
Harwinder Sandhu18%

$5.4K Vol.

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

$567.0K Vol.2 months left

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

81%chance

$823.6K Vol.2 months left

Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Garry Thind60%
Garry Begg38%

$1.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

5-6%43%
4-5%30%

$4.4K Vol.

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

8%chance

$191.8K Vol.2 months left

Ukraine election held by...?

$239.2K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Shas vote share?

6-7%43%
<6%32%

$3.4K Vol.

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

$182.4K Vol.2 months left

Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by...?

$29.9K Vol.2 months left

Courtenay-Comox British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Brennan Day68%
Will Cole-Hamilton30%

$1.8K Vol.

Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?

$222.2K Vol.2 months left

$21.4K Vol.2 months left

Espírito Santo Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Pazolini 20%+30%
Pazolini 5-10%29%

$4.0K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?

91%chance

$3.0K Vol.11 days left

China x India military clash by...?

7%chance

El Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place

PCN27%
Vamos26%

$6.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

2.5-3.25%30%
4-5%30%

$3.5K Vol.

Bank of Korea decision in October?

No Change96%
25 bps hike4%

$38.6K Vol.annual

Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?

4.5-5.5%32%
7.5%+32%

$3.7K Vol.

Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Bert Chen42%
Debra Toporowski37%

$993.7 Vol.

Amazonas Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Aziz 6-10%30%
Aziz 10-15%28%

$5.8K Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

$2.6M Vol.2 months left

Next Prime Minister of Morocco? (Invested)

$34.2K Vol.

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Italy10%
Japan9%

$762.4K Vol.

Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Ryan Peterson64%
Jodie Wickens35%

$964.3 Vol.

Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Kristina Loewen71%
Loyal Wooldridge28%

$2.0K Vol.

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

$169.0K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?

8-950%
6-722%

$5.7K Vol.

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

15%chance

$65.9K Vol.2 months left

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

89%chance

$171.9K Vol.2 months left

Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

20%chance

$3.9K Vol.2 years left

Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?

4-4.75%47%
3.25-4%20%

$5.0K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

SPD98%
Grüne95%

$21.4K Vol.

Jimmy Lai released by...?

$25.4K Vol.2 months left

El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place

PCN43%
Vamos23%

$10.0K Vol.

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)

<1600.0048%
1600.00–1699.9936%

$22.4K Vol.monthly

Israel Election: Together # of seats?

14-1632%
11-1325%

$6.8K Vol.

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

$688.9K Vol.2 months left

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

$90.8K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

54%chance

$789.5 Vol.13 days left

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

$248.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

$92.3K Vol.2 months left

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Mexico18%
Israel13%

$401.7K Vol.annual

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?

16%chance

$9.8K Vol.8 months left

China coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202722%
December 31, 20264%

$163.4K Vol.

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

30.0-34.9%65%
25-29.9%30%

$79.9K Vol.monthly

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

25 bps increase57%
No change36%

$38.9K Vol.annual

Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?

7-865%
<718%

$10.5K Vol.

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

$535.2K Vol.2 months left

Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?

55-5970%
60-6421%

$30.9K Vol.

Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Lisa Beare43%
Doug Morneau35%

$2.9K Vol.

Prime Minister of Australia after next election?

Anthony Albanese37%
Pauline Hanson24%

$33.3K Vol.

Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

531%
426%

$9.1K Vol.

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

25%chance

$1.6K Vol.2 months left

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

7%chance

$10.9K Vol.2 months left

US x China Military clash before 2027?

$218.5K Vol.2 months left

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

10%chance

$234.6K Vol.2 months left

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Cape Verde election?

61%chance

$31.1 Vol.32 days left

Will any country leave NATO by...?

$405.7K Vol.2 months left

Which countries will host an F1 race in 2026?

Qatar75%
UAE27%

$522.2 Vol.

Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

7-8%33%
6-7%27%

$2.1K Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

$251.6K Vol.2 months left

Abdul-Malik al-Houthi out by...?

December 3116%
November 3014%

$32.0 Vol.

Bank of Korea decision in November?

No Change50%
25 bps hike47%

$32.6K Vol.annual

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

$104.7K Vol.2 months left

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

858%
932%

$1.7M Vol.

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

1%chance

$113.4K Vol.2 months left

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?