All markets
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
80%chance
- Yes79.5%
Outcomes
- Yes80%
79.5¢ per share
- No21%
20.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 79.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 79¢ | 502.75 | $397.17 |
| 78¢ | 2,400 | $1,872.00 |
| 77¢ | 713 | $549.01 |
| 75¢ | 33.32 | $24.99 |
| 74¢ | 500 | $370.00 |
| 73¢ | 338.02 | $246.75 |
| 72¢ | 1,500 | $1,080.00 |
| 71¢ | 1,224.7 | $869.54 |
| 70¢ | 11.11 | $7.78 |
| 67¢ | 406.44 | $272.31 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 80¢ | 225.3 | $180.24 |
| 81¢ | 450 | $364.50 |
| 82¢ | 1,989.23 | $1,631.17 |
| 83¢ | 5,406.93 | $4,487.75 |
| 84¢ | 3,076.15 | $2,583.97 |
| 85¢ | 7,282.36 | $6,190.01 |
| 86¢ | 14,000 | $12,040.00 |
| 87¢ | 10,100 | $8,787.00 |
| 88¢ | 150 | $132.00 |
| 89¢ | 11,050 | $9,834.50 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+) Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH+2026.pdf