All markets
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
4%chance
- Yes3.5%
Outcomes
- Yes4%
3.5¢ per share
- No96%
96.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3.5¢Spread 0.9¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.1¢ | 765.47 | $23.73 |
| 3¢ | 6,925.43 | $207.76 |
| 1.6¢ | 251.71 | $4.03 |
| 1.1¢ | 400 | $4.40 |
| 1¢ | 8,515.5 | $85.16 |
| 0.9¢ | 3,895.89 | $35.06 |
| 0.8¢ | 4,382.51 | $35.06 |
| 0.7¢ | 4,651.37 | $32.56 |
| 0.6¢ | 6,260.02 | $37.56 |
| 0.5¢ | 8,014.19 | $40.07 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4¢ | 441.96 | $17.68 |
| 6¢ | 113.3 | $6.80 |
| 12¢ | 148.5 | $17.82 |
| 12.1¢ | 323.07 | $39.09 |
| 14¢ | 2,222 | $311.08 |
| 15¢ | 15 | $2.25 |
| 15.8¢ | 20 | $3.16 |
| 16¢ | 15 | $2.40 |
| 17¢ | 15 | $2.55 |
| 18¢ | 577.27 | $103.91 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.