All markets
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
4%chance
- Yes4.3%
Outcomes
- Yes4%
4.3¢ per share
- No96%
95.7¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 4.2¢Spread 2.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.1¢ | 27.05 | $0.84 |
| 3¢ | 147 | $4.41 |
| 2.9¢ | 207.49 | $6.02 |
| 2.8¢ | 520 | $14.56 |
| 2.7¢ | 20 | $0.54 |
| 2.6¢ | 273 | $7.10 |
| 2.5¢ | 304 | $7.60 |
| 2.3¢ | 218 | $5.01 |
| 2.2¢ | 304.63 | $6.70 |
| 2.1¢ | 141.4 | $2.97 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5.3¢ | 100 | $5.30 |
| 5.4¢ | 538.83 | $29.10 |
| 5.6¢ | 20 | $1.12 |
| 5.7¢ | 258 | $14.71 |
| 6¢ | 296.76 | $17.81 |
| 6.3¢ | 237.67 | $14.97 |
| 6.4¢ | 210.39 | $13.46 |
| 6.5¢ | 58.89 | $3.83 |
| 6.8¢ | 20 | $1.36 |
| 7.3¢ | 143.54 | $10.48 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.