All markets
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
5%chance
- Yes5%
Outcomes
- Yes5%
5.0¢ per share
- No95%
95.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 5¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4.9¢ | 290.38 | $14.23 |
| 4.8¢ | 600 | $28.80 |
| 4.6¢ | 600 | $27.60 |
| 4.3¢ | 1,240.36 | $53.34 |
| 4.2¢ | 1,739.67 | $73.07 |
| 4.1¢ | 777.6 | $31.88 |
| 3.7¢ | 387.49 | $14.34 |
| 3.5¢ | 192.75 | $6.75 |
| 2.5¢ | 300 | $7.50 |
| 2.3¢ | 381.45 | $8.77 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5¢ | 500 | $25.00 |
| 5.1¢ | 137.55 | $7.02 |
| 5.4¢ | 167 | $9.02 |
| 5.5¢ | 396.56 | $21.81 |
| 5.6¢ | 50.66 | $2.84 |
| 6¢ | 200 | $12.00 |
| 6.2¢ | 1,000 | $62.00 |
| 7¢ | 500 | $35.00 |
| 7.4¢ | 25 | $1.85 |
| 7.6¢ | 900 | $68.40 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.