All markets
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?
45%chance
- Yes44.5%
Outcomes
- Yes45%
44.5¢ per share
- No56%
55.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 44.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 44¢ | 448.35 | $197.27 |
| 43¢ | 65.01 | $27.95 |
| 42¢ | 93.75 | $39.38 |
| 34¢ | 104 | $35.36 |
| 28¢ | 80 | $22.40 |
| 27¢ | 123 | $33.21 |
| 26¢ | 80 | $20.80 |
| 25¢ | 40 | $10.00 |
| 24¢ | 10 | $2.40 |
| 22¢ | 111.37 | $24.50 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 45¢ | 445.76 | $200.59 |
| 46¢ | 125.24 | $57.61 |
| 49¢ | 45 | $22.05 |
| 50¢ | 200 | $100.00 |
| 60¢ | 100 | $60.00 |
| 77¢ | 112.15 | $86.36 |
| 78¢ | 454 | $354.12 |
| 80¢ | 83 | $66.40 |
| 83¢ | 128.69 | $106.81 |
| 84¢ | 572 | $480.48 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.