All markets
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
11%chance
- Yes10.5%
Outcomes
- Yes11%
10.5¢ per share
- No90%
89.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 10.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 10¢ | 18,747.07 | $1,874.71 |
| 9¢ | 18,921.51 | $1,702.94 |
| 8¢ | 40,001.89 | $3,200.15 |
| 7¢ | 29,998.03 | $2,099.86 |
| 6¢ | 36,842.28 | $2,210.54 |
| 5¢ | 19,957.4 | $997.87 |
| 4¢ | 26,065.5 | $1,042.62 |
| 3¢ | 47,473.45 | $1,424.20 |
| 2¢ | 65,960.59 | $1,319.21 |
| 1¢ | 2,352,403.28 | $23,524.03 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 11¢ | 8,623.23 | $948.56 |
| 12¢ | 28,958.37 | $3,475.00 |
| 13¢ | 33,339.7 | $4,334.16 |
| 14¢ | 6,505.5 | $910.77 |
| 15¢ | 3,511.86 | $526.78 |
| 16¢ | 3,644.71 | $583.15 |
| 17¢ | 4,779.6 | $812.53 |
| 18¢ | 11,886.44 | $2,139.56 |
| 19¢ | 22,213.13 | $4,220.49 |
| 20¢ | 2,794.99 | $559.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.