All markets
NATO article 5 before 2027?
5%chance
- Yes5.3%
Outcomes
- Yes5%
5.3¢ per share
- No95%
94.7¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 5.3¢Spread 0.7¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5¢ | 10,019.46 | $500.97 |
| 4.9¢ | 50.31 | $2.47 |
| 4.6¢ | 140.86 | $6.48 |
| 4.5¢ | 251.41 | $11.31 |
| 4.4¢ | 51.13 | $2.25 |
| 4¢ | 30,000 | $1,200.00 |
| 3.9¢ | 50 | $1.95 |
| 3.2¢ | 1,172.24 | $37.51 |
| 3.1¢ | 10 | $0.31 |
| 3¢ | 284.91 | $8.55 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5.7¢ | 159.84 | $9.11 |
| 5.8¢ | 22.99 | $1.33 |
| 5.9¢ | 150.31 | $8.87 |
| 6¢ | 200 | $12.00 |
| 6.2¢ | 60.28 | $3.74 |
| 6.7¢ | 100 | $6.70 |
| 6.8¢ | 200 | $13.60 |
| 6.9¢ | 100 | $6.90 |
| 7¢ | 100 | $7.00 |
| 7.2¢ | 156.37 | $11.26 |
Rules
If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.