All markets
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
3%chance
- Yes2.6%
Outcomes
- Yes3%
2.6¢ per share
- No97%
97.4¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 2.6¢Spread 0.3¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5¢ | 5.1 | $0.13 |
| 2.1¢ | 116.24 | $2.44 |
| 2¢ | 192.66 | $3.85 |
| 1.8¢ | 5.1 | $0.09 |
| 1.6¢ | 154.1 | $2.47 |
| 1.5¢ | 1,005 | $15.08 |
| 1.4¢ | 9,625.02 | $134.75 |
| 1.3¢ | 1,828.48 | $23.77 |
| 1.2¢ | 3,775.16 | $45.30 |
| 1.1¢ | 3,867.15 | $42.54 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.8¢ | 206.13 | $5.77 |
| 2.9¢ | 10,303.08 | $298.79 |
| 3¢ | 400 | $12.00 |
| 3.1¢ | 247.67 | $7.68 |
| 3.2¢ | 516 | $16.51 |
| 3.3¢ | 200 | $6.60 |
| 3.4¢ | 718.88 | $24.44 |
| 3.5¢ | 9,095.25 | $318.33 |
| 3.7¢ | 5 | $0.19 |
| 3.8¢ | 415.15 | $15.78 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.