All markets
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Cape Verde election?
69%chance
- Yes68.5%
Outcomes
- Yes69%
68.5¢ per share
- No32%
31.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 68.5¢Spread 43¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 47¢ | 43.72 | $20.55 |
| 46¢ | 20 | $9.20 |
| 8¢ | 8.37 | $0.67 |
| 7¢ | 300 | $21.00 |
| 6¢ | 1,666 | $99.96 |
| 4¢ | 325 | $13.00 |
| 3¢ | 546.66 | $16.40 |
| 2¢ | 912.5 | $18.25 |
| 1¢ | 1,811.49 | $18.11 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 90¢ | 52.97 | $47.67 |
| 91¢ | 51 | $46.41 |
| 94¢ | 9.03 | $8.49 |
| 95¢ | 195 | $185.25 |
| 96¢ | 325 | $312.00 |
| 97¢ | 549.47 | $532.99 |
| 98¢ | 937.5 | $918.75 |
| 99¢ | 1,815.84 | $1,797.68 |
Rules
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round on November 29, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Cape Verdean government, specifically the National Commission of Elections (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://cne.cv/).