World

$27.2M Vol.2 months left

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202711%
December 31, 20264%

$29.3M Vol.

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$277.2K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson81%
Ulf Kristersson16%

$10.1M Vol.

Netanyahu out by...?

41%chance

$2.7M Vol.2 months left

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

No change96%
25 bps increase4%

$214.3K Vol.annual

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%54%
Remain 60–80%33%

$32.2K Vol.

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

No change74%
25 bps increase27%

$121.3K Vol.annual

French Presidential Election First Round Winner

Marine Le Pen87%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon7%

$26.0K Vol.

Russia military action against EU country by...?

December 31, 202721%
December 31, 20268%

$262.7K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova87%
Аndrey Gyurov14%

$1.2M Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei87%
No Head of State4%

$40.2M Vol.

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Mohammed bin Salman80%
Vladimir Putin80%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

December 3196%
October 3194%

$886.8K Vol.

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

$400.4K Vol.2 months left

Spain General Election Winner

PP85%
PSOE14%

$107.5K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Yisrael Beiteinu54%
The Democrats54%

$56.4K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas <5%15%
Ruas 20%+10%

$28.6K Vol.

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

December 31, 202749%
June 30, 202735%

$2.9M Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

$40.0K Vol.

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%
US2%

$3.7M Vol.

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

$563.0K Vol.2 months left

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Tally Gotliv13%

$49.3K Vol.

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China77%
No meeting by December 3118%

$1.8M Vol.

Klitschko out as Kyiv mayor by...?

June 30, 202728%
December 31, 202614%

$3.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

69%chance

$3.8K Vol.13 days left

Israel Election: Together vote share?

9-11%40%
7-9%26%

$5.0K Vol.

French election called by...?

9%chance

$10.5K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

<0.75%53%
0.75-1.25%40%

$5.8K Vol.

Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

<2.75%43%
2.75-3.25%27%

$3.4K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

Linke62%
Grüne59%

$22.2K Vol.

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

$3.5M Vol.2 months left

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.00-5.49%50%
5.50-5.99%21%

$162.9K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Matan Kahana17%

$44.2K Vol.

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

22-2324%
26-2721%

$19.2K Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

$3.5M Vol.1 year left

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon39%
Édouard Philippe36%

$11.9K Vol.

Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Celina 20-25%48%
Celina 25%+25%

$5.0K Vol.

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

46%chance

$53.4K Vol.2 months left

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout

78-80%60%
76-78%18%

$12.0K Vol.

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

$2.9M Vol.2 months left

Macron out by...?

$534.7K Vol.2 months left

$39.9K Vol.2 months left

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

28%chance

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

<2.5%34%
2.5-3.25%30%

$4.9K Vol.

Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?

52%chance

$1.4K Vol.46 days left

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

92%chance

$173.2K Vol.2 months left

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon41%
Édouard Philippe25%

$7.9K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$16.7K Vol.8 months left

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

467%
514%

$7.6M Vol.

Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?

85%chance

$24.6K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?

6-7%40%
5-6%39%

$7.7K Vol.

Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?

7-866%
9-1014%

$11.7K Vol.

China Annual Inflation 2026

0.6 – 1.0%50%
1.1 – 1.5%27%

$113.6K Vol.

Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Jaime Stein67%
Sunita Dhir27%

$2.7K Vol.

Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner

$7.4K Vol.

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Allyson 10-15%27%
Cadu wins24%

$9.1K Vol.

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

$274.5K Vol.2 months left

Tocantins Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Vicentinho 4%+27%
Vicentinho <4%26%

$3.4K Vol.

Estonia Parliamentary Election Winner

Isamaa49%
Centre Party34%

$1.6K Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

<461%
4-632%

$11.2K Vol.

Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Kevin Acton82%
Harwinder Sandhu16%

$6.1K Vol.

Modi out by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$26.4K Vol.8 months left

Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?

6-741%
8-937%

$4.8K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?

AfD69%
Grüne32%

$59.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Together # of seats?

14-1632%
11-1332%

$7.7K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

No Next Minister by Feb 2834%
Yaron Zelekha17%

$45.6K Vol.

Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

December 313%
October 31<1%

$7.2K Vol.

Iran Nuke before 2027?

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

6.5-7.5%34%
5.5-6.5%29%

$2.9K Vol.

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

June 30, 20279%
December 312%

$4.3M Vol.

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

$1.3M Vol.2 months left

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

$82.7K Vol.

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

December 31, 202617%
October 31, 202612%

$363.2K Vol.

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

14%chance

$7.2K Vol.13 days left

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$11.9K Vol.8 months left

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?

15%chance

$36.5K Vol.2 months left

Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

David Xie51%
Paul Choi39%

$1.4K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

$14.4K Vol.

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

$1.1M Vol.2 months left

Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?

UAE41%
Turkey22%

$33.2K Vol.

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

$167.4K Vol.2 months left

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

23%chance

$15.9K Vol.1 year left

New pandemic in 2026?

$1.2M Vol.2 months left

Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Garry Thind67%
Garry Begg33%

$2.2K Vol.

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027

$15.5K Vol.

Acre Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Mailza 20%+35%
Mailza 10-15%30%

$4.3K Vol.

Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Margareta Dovgal48%
Terry Yung31%

$3.9K Vol.

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

$225.9K Vol.2 months left

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202721%
December 31, 20266%

$172.8K Vol.

Which party will gain most seats in El Salvador Legislative Election?

Nuevas Ideas (NI)80%
PCN4%

$5.6K Vol.

Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Ra'am96%
RZP-Zehut86%

$14.6K Vol.

Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

532%
425%

$9.5K Vol.

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

$43.2K Vol.2 months left

El Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place

PCN31%
Vamos20%

$6.8K Vol.

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

$235.0K Vol.2 months left

$1.3M Vol.2 months left

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Japan18%
Germany17%

$680.9K Vol.annual

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

9%chance

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

6-7%32%
5-6%28%

$4.3K Vol.

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

$862.2K Vol.2 months left

EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?

20%chance

$7.2K Vol.2 months left

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December

No change71%
25 bps increase22%

$10.1K Vol.annual

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

$125.1K Vol.2 months left

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

25 bps increase52%
No change43%

$93.8K Vol.annual

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

$799.3K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?

10+35%
8-929%

$8.0K Vol.

Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

SDP BiH84%
SNSD10%

$8.1K Vol.

El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place

PCN39%
ARENA30%

$10.2K Vol.

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

<1%chance

$23.7K Vol.17 days left

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

$378.5K Vol.5 days left

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Li Xi6%
Ding Xuexiang5%

$251.5K Vol.

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

$191.9K Vol.2 months left

Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner

$135.0K Vol.

Bank of Korea decision in October?

No Change96%
25 bps hike3%

$38.6K Vol.annual

Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?

75%chance

$7.2K Vol.5 months left

Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

5-6%38%
6%+34%

$4.4K Vol.

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

14%chance

$182.2K Vol.2 months left

Ukraine election held by...?

$239.2K Vol.2 months left

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

$169.2K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Shas vote share?

6-7%42%
<6%31%

$3.5K Vol.

Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

6-731%
4-530%

$11.4K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

SPD98%
Grüne96%

$21.6K Vol.

Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?

$21.4K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump rename an ocean by...?

December 31, 202728%
December 31, 20265%

$33.4K Vol.

Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Harj Dhaliwal45%
Jessie Sunner37%

$3.5K Vol.

Courtenay-Comox British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Brennan Day63%
Will Cole-Hamilton33%

$1.9K Vol.

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202719%
December 31, 202611%

$2.1M Vol.

Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Garry Purewal54%
Jagrup Brar37%

$2.2K Vol.

China coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202714%
December 31, 20264%

$163.5K Vol.

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

$448.4K Vol.2 months left

Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?

$174.1K Vol.

Espírito Santo Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Pazolini 20%+34%
Pazolini 5-10%27%

$4.2K Vol.

Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?

December 319%
October 313%

$58.3K Vol.

Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?

4-4.75%47%
4.75-5.5%17%

$5.0K Vol.

US x China Military clash before 2027?

$218.6K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Shas # of seats?

8-937%
6-732%

$7.1K Vol.

El Salvador Presidential Election Winner

Nayib Bukele97%
Rafael Aguirre2%

$2.4K Vol.

Bank of Japan Decision in December?

25 bps increase66%
No change31%

$13.6K Vol.annual

Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Kristina Loewen69%
Loyal Wooldridge24%

$2.0K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Latvia?

Andris Kulbergs98%
Viktors Valainis1%

$12.8K Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

$2.6M Vol.2 months left

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

14%chance

$65.9K Vol.2 months left

Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

20%chance

$3.9K Vol.2 years left

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?

$34.9K Vol.2 months left

Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Debra Toporowski41%
Bert Chen28%

$1.1K Vol.

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

$535.2K Vol.2 months left

Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?

85%chance

$350.0 Vol.46 days left

North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Anna Kindy66%
Sara Lopez35%

$1.5K Vol.

Quebec General Election: PLQ # Seats?

40-4386%
36-3913%

$55.9K Vol.

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)

<1600.0047%
1600.00–1699.9933%

$22.4K Vol.monthly

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?

92%chance

$3.0K Vol.11 days left

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

8-934%
10-1126%

$6.4K Vol.

US x Russia military clash by...?

$1.1M Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?

7.5%+36%
5.5-6.5%27%

$3.7K Vol.

China x India military clash by...?

$222.2K Vol.2 months left

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Mexico17%
Vietnam12%

$401.7K Vol.annual

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

$10.9K Vol.2 months left

Prime Minister of Australia after next election?

Anthony Albanese36%
Pauline Hanson23%

$33.3K Vol.

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

$92.3K Vol.2 months left

Will any country leave NATO by...?

$405.7K Vol.2 months left

Which countries will host an F1 race in 2026?

Qatar75%
UAE25%

$527.7 Vol.

Bank of Korea decision in November?

No Change50%
25 bps hike43%

$32.6K Vol.annual

Erdoğan out by...?

December 31, 202718%
December 31, 20264%

$649.0K Vol.

NATO article 5 before 2027?

$283.0K Vol.2 months left

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

$228.3K Vol.2 months left

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

$251.6K Vol.2 months left

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

$641.5K Vol.2 months left

Will NATO countries clash with each other by...?

December 31, 202714%
December 31, 20263%

$63.5K Vol.

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Italy10%
New Zealand9%

$762.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?

8-948%
6-722%

$5.7K Vol.

Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

SNSD95%
DF3%

$11.0K Vol.

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?

1600.00+46%
1550.00–1599.9935%

$12.0K Vol.monthly

Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Zeeshan Wahla41%
Amna Shah36%

$2.1K Vol.

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

$161.0K Vol.2 months left

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

25 bps increase57%
No change37%

$38.9K Vol.annual

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

$77.6K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Unity vote share?

<0.5%97%
0.5-0.75%2%

$5.4K Vol.

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

$115.8K Vol.2 months left

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by...?

December 31, 202719%
June 30, 202713%

$4.8K Vol.daily

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

$113.4K Vol.2 months left

Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner

$161.0K Vol.

Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?

$53.9K Vol.2 months left

Will the TFFF reach $10 billion in 2026?

20%chance

$1.0K Vol.3 months left

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

30.0-34.9%66%
25-29.9%31%

$79.9K Vol.monthly

Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?

$34.5K Vol.2 months left

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

61%chance

$2.1K Vol.2 months left

Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?

48%chance

$95.6 Vol.5 days left

EU dissolves before 2027?

$181.1K Vol.2 months left

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

$52.8K Vol.2 months left

Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Gordon Zhang78%
Bruce Kong18%

$3.4K Vol.

Ukraine lowers conscription age by...?

March 3118%
December 316%

$4.0K Vol.

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

$397.8K Vol.2 months left

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

$99.6K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

7-8%30%
6-7%24%

$2.1K Vol.

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Cape Verde election?

62%chance

$31.1 Vol.32 days left

Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Lisa Beare41%
Doug Morneau36%

$2.9K Vol.

Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Ryan Peterson64%
Jodie Wickens30%

$964.3 Vol.

Any G20 leader out in 2026?

12%chance

$201.2 Vol.2 months left

Abdul-Malik al-Houthi out by...?

December 3117%
November 3013%

$32.0 Vol.

Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?

88%chance

$392.9 Vol.5 months left

Israel Election: Likud or Yashar in Government?

51%chance

$379.7 Vol.4 months left

El Salvador Legislative Election Winner

Nuevas Ideas (NI)98%
Vamos2%

$5.0K Vol.

Trump and Pezeshkian meet by December 31?

$153.2 Vol.2 months left

Quebec General Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?

PQ 10-1962%
PQ 20-2937%

$7.4K Vol.

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?

$7.5K Vol.2 months left

Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election Winner

SDA97%
SDS4%

$11.5K Vol.

Israel Election: Yashar vote share?

18-20%42%
<16%26%

$5.0K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Morocco? (Invested)

$34.2K Vol.

Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?

$5.6K Vol.2 months left

Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?

19%chance

$414.5 Vol.2 months left

Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?

55-5971%
60-6421%

$30.9K Vol.

Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?

December 315%
October 31<1%

$118.0K Vol.

Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?

Israel15%
Sudan9%

$2.3K Vol.

Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?

$238.0 Vol.2 months left

Jimmy Lai released by...?

$25.4K Vol.2 months left

Will Alberta join the US?

$2.2M Vol.2 months left

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

9%chance

$9.7K Vol.4 months left

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

16%chance

$2.6K Vol.6 months left

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

45%Up

Up Down

$2.2K Vol.

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

$80.4K Vol.2 months left

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

24%chance

$13.3K Vol.2 months left

Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?

13%chance

$38.4K Vol.2 months left

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

24%chance

$1.6K Vol.2 months left

Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?

10%chance

$18.7K Vol.2 months left

Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by...?

$29.7K Vol.2 months left

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

$247.2K Vol.2 months left

$15.2K Vol.2 months left

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

13%chance

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

13%chance

$15.0K Vol.2 months left

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

$177.5K Vol.2 months left

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

$191.8K Vol.2 months left

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

$71.0K Vol.2 months left

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

$198.4K Vol.2 months left

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

$449.2K Vol.2 months left

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

$1.5K Vol.2 months left

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

$167.5K Vol.2 months left

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?