All markets
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
13%chance
- Yes13%
Outcomes
- Yes13%
13.0¢ per share
- No87%
87.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 13¢Spread 2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 12¢ | 283.01 | $33.96 |
| 11¢ | 480 | $52.80 |
| 10¢ | 144.09 | $14.41 |
| 9¢ | 26.36 | $2.37 |
| 7¢ | 100 | $7.00 |
| 6¢ | 25.73 | $1.54 |
| 5¢ | 20 | $1.00 |
| 4¢ | 200 | $8.00 |
| 3¢ | 186.9 | $5.61 |
| 2¢ | 76.27 | $1.53 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 14¢ | 205.85 | $28.82 |
| 15¢ | 212.68 | $31.90 |
| 16¢ | 20 | $3.20 |
| 18¢ | 100 | $18.00 |
| 39¢ | 40 | $15.60 |
| 49¢ | 60 | $29.40 |
| 59¢ | 60 | $35.40 |
| 69¢ | 60 | $41.40 |
| 79¢ | 60 | $47.40 |
| 88¢ | 120 | $105.60 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.