World

Édouard Philippe21%

$150.1M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

$769.6K Vol.

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202710%
December 31, 20264%

$29.0M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot46%
Benjamin Netanyahu32%

$45.8M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election

$180.5M Vol.

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3125%
October 319%

$8.9M Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

2%chance

$44.0M Vol.2 months left

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson81%
Ulf Kristersson16%

$10.0M Vol.

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

December 31, 202746%
June 30, 202734%

$2.9M Vol.

$14.2K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova86%
Аndrey Gyurov14%

$1.2M Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei88%
No Head of State5%

$40.2M Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$54.7K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas 5-10%17%
Ruas 10-15%13%

$23.6K Vol.

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Vladimir Putin80%
Mohammed bin Salman77%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

No change74%
25 bps increase25%

$108.4K Vol.annual

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China79%
No meeting by December 3118%

$1.8M Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round Winner

Marine Le Pen89%
Édouard Philippe6%

$7.7K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

$43.6K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Édouard Philippe35%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon24%

$6.6K Vol.

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%62%
Remain 20–40%19%

$17.9K Vol.

Spain General Election Winner

PP85%
PSOE14%

$101.1K Vol.

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%
US1%

$3.7M Vol.

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

3%chance

$1.3M Vol.2 months left

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon37%
Édouard Philippe28%

$4.1K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%chance

$27.1M Vol.2 months left

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

57%chance

$49.9K Vol.2 months left

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2833%
Tally Gotliv14%

$45.8K Vol.

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

1%chance

$23.4K Vol.18 days left

El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place

PCN47%
ARENA26%

$10.0K Vol.

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

12%chance

$225.3K Vol.2 months left

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$251.5K Vol.

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

9%chance

$2.9M Vol.2 months left

Will Trump rename an ocean by...?

December 31, 202735%
December 31, 20265%

$33.1K Vol.

Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?

$174.0K Vol.

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

5%chance

$222.8K Vol.2 months left

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yoram Cohen13%

$42.0K Vol.

Iran Nuke before 2027?

3%chance

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

81%chance

$823.6K Vol.2 months left

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

2%chance

$378.3K Vol.6 days left

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

5%chance

$555.7K Vol.2 months left

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

28%chance

$532.9K Vol.2 months left

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

$30.5K Vol.

Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Kevin Acton78%
Harwinder Sandhu18%

$5.1K Vol.

EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...?

December 3197%
October 3195%

$7.0K Vol.monthly

Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?

7-869%
9-1022%

$10.4K Vol.

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

5%chance

$3.5M Vol.2 months left

Netanyahu out by...?

42%chance

$2.7M Vol.2 months left

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

30.0-34.9%60%
25-29.9%35%

$79.9K Vol.monthly

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

December 31, 202616%
October 31, 202612%

$362.6K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

SPD98%
Grüne92%

$21.4K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Yashar56%
The Democrats54%

$51.3K Vol.

Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?

5-6%36%
6-7%34%

$6.0K Vol.

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

June 30, 20279%
December 313%

$4.3M Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

11%chance

$3.5M Vol.1 year left

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?

91%chance

$2.9K Vol.12 days left

Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?

AfD60%
Grüne34%

$57.1K Vol.

El Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place

PCN28%
PAIS28%

$6.3K Vol.

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

16%chance

$6.1K Vol.14 days left

Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Amna Shah56%
Zeeshan Wahla37%

$2.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

<459%
4-640%

$9.1K Vol.

Amazonas Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Aziz 6-10%30%
Aziz 10-15%28%

$5.7K Vol.

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December

No change67%
25 bps increase26%

$9.6K Vol.annual

Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner

$6.1K Vol.

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Japan18%
Germany16%

$678.5K Vol.annual

Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Jaime Stein58%
Sunita Dhir35%

$1.4K Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

3%chance

$2.6M Vol.2 months left

Ukraine election called by...?

6%chance

$97.5K Vol.2 months left

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?

7%chance

$7.5K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Together # of seats?

14-1633%
11-1328%

$6.8K Vol.

Israel Election: Yashar vote share?

18-20%42%
16-18%26%

$5.0K Vol.

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

10%chance

$191.7K Vol.2 months left

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland16%
Kuwait7%

$1.7M Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

$13.7K Vol.

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

5%chance

$272.2K Vol.2 months left

Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

SPD90%
Grüne73%

$19.8K Vol.

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

22-2326%
<2021%

$17.1K Vol.

Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Gordon Zhang78%
Bruce Kong18%

$3.3K Vol.

Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Celina 20-25%34%
Celina 10-15%28%

$3.0K Vol.

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$8.7K Vol.8 months left

Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?

UAE43%
Turkey21%

$32.6K Vol.

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

25 bps increase57%
No change35%

$38.9K Vol.annual

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Iotova 20-30%50%
Iotova 10-20%32%

$13.0K Vol.

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Li Xi7%
Ding Xuexiang5%

$251.1K Vol.

China Annual Inflation 2026

0.6 – 1.0%42%
1.1 – 1.5%26%

$112.1K Vol.

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Allyson 15%+33%
Allyson 3-6%26%

$7.8K Vol.

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

3%chance

$1.1M Vol.2 months left

Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Ra'am96%
RZP-Zehut87%

$14.1K Vol.

North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Anna Kindy59%
Sara Lopez48%

$1.2K Vol.

Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Margareta Dovgal47%
Terry Yung37%

$3.2K Vol.

Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

532%
625%

$9.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?

7.5%+32%
5.5-6.5%28%

$3.6K Vol.

Acre Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Mailza 20%+34%
Mailza 10-15%31%

$3.7K Vol.

Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Garry Thind56%
Garry Begg23%

$1.6K Vol.

Bank of Korea decision in October?

No Change95%
25 bps hike5%

$38.4K Vol.annual

Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Debra Toporowski40%
Bert Chen38%

$964.6 Vol.

Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Kristina Loewen58%
Loyal Wooldridge28%

$1.9K Vol.

Israel Election: Shas vote share?

6-7%40%
<6%35%

$3.3K Vol.

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

25 bps increase53%
No change43%

$93.5K Vol.annual

NATO article 5 before 2027?

5%chance

$267.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

5%chance

$182.2K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

7%chance

$115.8K Vol.2 months left

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout

78-80%60%
80-82%20%

$10.2K Vol.

Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?

69%chance

$5.9K Vol.5 months left

Ukraine lowers conscription age by...?

March 3119%
December 316%

$4.0K Vol.

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202720%
December 31, 202611%

$2.1M Vol.

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.00-5.49%46%
4.50-4.99%35%

$160.2K Vol.

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?

16%chance

$35.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?

5%chance

$34.9K Vol.2 months left

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202720%
December 31, 20265%

$172.3K Vol.

Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

SDP BiH82%
HDZ BiH11%

$7.9K Vol.

Espírito Santo Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Pazolini 20%+33%
Pazolini 5-10%24%

$4.0K Vol.

World

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Netanyahu out by...?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Ukraine election called by...?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

NATO article 5 before 2027?

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?