Trump

$435.2K Vol.Ended

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3128%
October 318%

$9.0M Vol.

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

October 15>99%
October 1897%

$1.9M Vol.

Fed Decision in January?

No change55%
25 bps increase41%

$484.0K Vol.monthly

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

December 3136%
November 3025%

$3.1M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$74.0M Vol.2 months left

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

December 3132%
November 3024%

$1.9M Vol.

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro68%
Delcy Rodríguez24%

$98.3M Vol.

$506.3K Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 202769%
November 30, 202768%

$8.6M Vol.

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?

AI / Artificial Intelligence>99%
TSMC / Taiwan85%

$28.1K Vol.

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Jon Ossoff95%
Kaitlan Collins89%

$132.3K Vol.monthly

US imports Russian diesel by October 31?

11%chance

$216.7K Vol.17 days left

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

December 3110%
October 312%

$2.4M Vol.

Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?

December 3121%
October 314%

$51.4K Vol.

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

4.25%59%
≥ 4.5%22%

$7.1M Vol.

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Montana?

Coal / Diesel90%
Shit / Ass73%

$12.0K Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?

180-19942%
200+36%

$51.0K Vol.daily

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

Trump approval rating at least ___ on October 16?

36.8+>99%
37.2+99%

$17.5K Vol.weekly

Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by...?

December 3112%
October 312%

$10.6K Vol.

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

December 3126%
October 317%

$6.7M Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

200+35%
180-19926%

$29.0K Vol.daily

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?

200+27%
120-13920%

$10.8K Vol.daily

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Mohammed bin Salman80%
Vladimir Putin80%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

$664.9K Vol.2 months left

$24.0M Vol.2 months left

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

>99%chance

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

$76.7K Vol.2 months left

Who will be arrested before 2027?

John Brennan21%
Mahmoud Khalil18%

$500.6K Vol.

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31, 202640%
November 30, 202632%

$707.0K Vol.

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

None before 202749%
Pete Hegseth9%

$109.1K Vol.annual

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%
US2%

$3.7M Vol.

What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18)

Mardi Gras71%
Swim / Swimming65%

$6.9K Vol.weekly

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 318%
October 31<1%

$18.1M Vol.

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China77%
No meeting by December 3118%

$1.8M Vol.

What will Trump's approval rating hit by June 30, 2027?

↓ 37%87%
↓ 36%75%

$7.5K Vol.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

10%chance

$1.9M Vol.2 months left

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

December 319%
November 304%

$30.3K Vol.

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

$35.7M Vol.2 months left

SBF released from custody in 2026?

$468.2K Vol.2 months left

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

No Endorsement67%
Likud34%

$65.2K Vol.

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

$10.9M Vol.2 months left

Will Trump visit Greenland by...?

December 319%
October 31<1%

$354.8K Vol.

US strike on Colombia by...?

25%chance

$1.2M Vol.2 months left

Trump meets with Putin by...?

December 3181%
November 3077%

$393.0K Vol.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

1%chance

$228.3K Vol.20 days left

Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

$31.9K Vol.2 months left

Next US Senate Minority Leader?

John Thune46%
Chuck Schumer37%

$11.3K Vol.

Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?

Flávio Bolsonaro84%
Delcy Rodriguez57%

$71.9K Vol.monthly

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

4.5%19%
4.25%15%

$21.5K Vol.

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Friedrich Merz94%
Ursula von der Leyen88%

$211.1K Vol.monthly

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

$258.6K Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump meet with by October 31?

Sam Altman48%
Mohammed bin Salman19%

$53.5K Vol.monthly

Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

36%chance

$29.4K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

October 1499%
October 1697%

$39.5K Vol.monthly

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

$503.7K Vol.2 months left

$16.7K Vol.8 months left

Trump approval rating on October 16?

37.2–37.326%
37.4–37.524%

$3.6K Vol.weekly

Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?

85%chance

$24.6K Vol.2 months left

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 17?

39%chance

$1.3K Vol.3 days left

Maduro Prison Time?

No prison time56%
60+28%

$915.2K Vol.

Which states will Trump visit before the midterms?

Georgia>99%
North Carolina>99%

$24.9K Vol.

Who will be the next US Ambassador to Greece?

Nicole Malliotakis45%
Dean Spanos31%

$1.2K Vol.

Lai Ching-te visits US by...?

June 3011%
December 314%

$3.0K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Virginia?

834%
731%

$11.0K Vol.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

18%chance

Weed rescheduled by...?

13%chance

$208.7K Vol.2 months left

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

$287.1K Vol.2 months left

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

$1.3M Vol.2 months left

Which bills will become law in 2026?

$183.9K Vol.

Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?

98%chance

$640.1 Vol.2 months left

Trump goes to space in 2026?

$56.8K Vol.2 months left

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

$167.4K Vol.2 months left

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

23%chance

$15.9K Vol.1 year left

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

$87.1K Vol.2 months left

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Below 19024%
195-19919%

$325.5K Vol.

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Unusual Machines39%
Anduril17%

$215.1K Vol.

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Donald Brodie32%
Stefan Brodie17%

$510.3K Vol.

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Japan18%
Germany16%

$680.9K Vol.annual

John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?

24%chance

$2.4K Vol.2 months left

What will Trump say in October?

Caddie62%
Weave61%

$10.5K Vol.monthly

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

No Meeting by December 3156%
Qatar19%

$155.6K Vol.

U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by...?

December 3184%
October 3156%

$7.7K Vol.

Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?

Flávio Bolsonaro19%
Romeu Zema1%

$53.8K Vol.

Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?

$63.5K Vol.Ended

Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?

36%chance

$4.1K Vol.17 days left

US strike on Mexico by...?

$765.6K Vol.2 months left

Kash Patel out by...?

December 3121%
October 313%

$1.8M Vol.

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?

280M57%
270M6%

$32.7K Vol.monthly

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

$799.3K Vol.2 months left

US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

December 3111%
October 312%

$507.7K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?

638%
7+27%

$31.6K Vol.

JD Vance out as VP by...?

$155.7K Vol.2 months left

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

$747.0K Vol.2 months left

$378.5K Vol.5 days left

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

10%chance

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Tennessee?

082%
117%

$1.3K Vol.

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

36%67%
35%27%

$164.1K Vol.

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

$27.0K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump rename an ocean by...?

December 31, 202727%
December 31, 20265%

$33.4K Vol.

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

$765.8K Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?

1123%
1223%

$18.0K Vol.

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202719%
December 31, 202611%

$2.1M Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?

1140%
923%

$23.4K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Minnesota?

470%
518%

$17.3K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?

552%
422%

$25.8K Vol.

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

74%chance

$111.2K Vol.2 years left

US x China Military clash before 2027?

$218.6K Vol.2 months left

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

97%chance

$14.9K Vol.20 days left

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

$174.0K Vol.2 months left

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Kristi Noem28%
Dan Scavino26%

$1.4M Vol.monthly

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

$552.3 Vol.17 days left

Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...?

December 3146%
November 3012%

$26.7K Vol.

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

$119.9K Vol.2 months left

Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?

18%chance

$31.6K Vol.2 months left

U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?

5–15%79%
15–25%9%

$10.1K Vol.

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

31%chance

$546.7K Vol.9 months left

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

14%chance

$65.9K Vol.2 months left

Trump renames New Mexico to New America by...?

$50.9K Vol.2 months left

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.7%16%
Below 4.6%6%

$353.8K Vol.

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

12%chance

$1.8M Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?

4875%
4721%

$27.9K Vol.

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

13%chance

$12.6K Vol.2 months left

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

$33.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

19%chance

$1.8K Vol.Ended

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

$3.1K Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump endorse?

$148.7K Vol.20 days left

Russia nuclear test by...?

$122.4K Vol.2 months left

Next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?

No HR in 202663%
William Ruger16%

$28.6K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?

935%
824%

$32.8K Vol.

Epstein client list released by...?

October 315%
December 310%

$4.4M Vol.

Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Kansas97%
Montana96%

$329.3K Vol.

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

$409.9K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?

371%
425%

$20.6K Vol.

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 14?

$1.6K Vol.6 hours left

Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

23%chance

$18.4K Vol.2 months left

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

10-1294%
13-155%

$62.5K Vol.

How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

400-500k49%
500-600k12%

$130.6K Vol.annual

U.S. nuclear test by...?

$77.6K Vol.2 months left

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

4-694%
7-93%

$104.7K Vol.

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 15?

69%chance

$342.6 Vol.1 day left

US x Russia military clash by...?

$1.1M Vol.2 months left

Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...?

December 3137%
November 3028%

$3.1K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?

344%
432%

$9.9K Vol.

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

$205.5K Vol.2 months left

$42.7K Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?

166%
230%

$12.4K Vol.

Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?

28%chance

Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

$337.5K Vol.2 months left

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?

Adam Telle35%
Sean Parnell16%

$4.5K Vol.

Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?

$10.1K Vol.Ended

US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

December 3136%
October 318%

$53.2K Vol.

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Mexico17%
Israel12%

$401.7K Vol.annual

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

$295.5K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump resign before 2027?

$25.7K Vol.2 months left

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

$408.7K Vol.

SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?

11%chance

$2.9K Vol.2 months left

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

$641.5K Vol.2 months left

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

$63.5K Vol.2 months left

Will NATO countries clash with each other by...?

December 31, 202714%
December 31, 20263%

$63.5K Vol.

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

$37.6K Vol.2 months left

Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?

December 31, 202645%
December 31, 202742%

$16.6K Vol.

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?

9%chance

$2.3K Vol.2 months left

Trump and Pezeshkian meet by December 31?

9%chance

$153.2 Vol.2 months left

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

$163.7K Vol.2 months left

US military draft authorized in 2026?

$544.3K Vol.2 months left

Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

$10.3K Vol.2 months left

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

15%chance

$21.3K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

$115.8K Vol.2 months left

US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

$30.1K Vol.17 days left

Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?

$4.7K Vol.17 days left

Iran releases Trump Hormuz voicemail by...?

October 313%
October 15<1%

$13.8K Vol.

Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?

$62.3K Vol.2 months left

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

$113.4K Vol.2 months left

$14.6K Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

J.D. Vance52%
Marco Rubio25%

$21.7K Vol.

Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?

26%chance

$4.6K Vol.2 months left

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

1%chance

Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?

$51.6K Vol.2 months left

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

$68.6K Vol.2 months left

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

$52.8K Vol.2 months left

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?

$2.8M Vol.2 months left

Will Trump visit North Korea by...?

$133.9K Vol.2 months left

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

$65.0K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?

$12.7K Vol.5 months left

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%chance

$14.4K Vol.20 days left

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

$99.6K Vol.2 months left

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

$34.8K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump visit any pandas in 2026?

9%chance

$853.2 Vol.2 months left

CNN denied entry from White House again by...?

35%chance

$1.4 Vol.17 days left

CNN flies with Trump by..?

October 3113%
October 152%

$18.4K Vol.

Trump Admin held in contempt over press ban by October 31?

21%chance

$427.4 Vol.17 days left

Trump meets with Netanyahu by...?

December 3157%
October 3124%

$6.4K Vol.

Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

December 3112%
November 306%

$23.5K Vol.

Kennedy Center demolition announced by...?

December 3114%
October 314%

$2.1K Vol.

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

December 3111%
November 308%

$10.0K Vol.

Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

$28.4K Vol.17 days left

RFK Jr. Out by October 31?

$2.0K Vol.17 days left

Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?

11%chance

$5.6K Vol.2 months left

Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?

12%chance

$281.1 Vol.2 months left

Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?