All markets
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
17%chance
- Yes17%
Outcomes
- Yes17%
17.0¢ per share
- No83%
83.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 17¢Spread 4¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 15¢ | 12.12 | $1.82 |
| 14¢ | 20.1 | $2.81 |
| 12¢ | 20 | $2.40 |
| 11¢ | 9.52 | $1.05 |
| 10¢ | 754.55 | $75.46 |
| 9¢ | 61.55 | $5.54 |
| 8¢ | 5 | $0.40 |
| 7¢ | 483.27 | $33.83 |
| 6¢ | 133.3 | $8.00 |
| 5¢ | 1,407 | $70.35 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 19¢ | 20.1 | $3.82 |
| 20¢ | 22 | $4.40 |
| 21¢ | 60 | $12.60 |
| 25¢ | 15 | $3.75 |
| 37¢ | 82.77 | $30.62 |
| 47¢ | 100 | $47.00 |
| 57¢ | 15 | $8.55 |
| 58¢ | 20 | $11.60 |
| 65¢ | 800 | $520.00 |
| 66¢ | 2,941.17 | $1,941.17 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.