All markets
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
5%chance
- Yes5%
Outcomes
- Yes5%
5.0¢ per share
- No95%
95.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 5¢Spread 2.6¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.7¢ | 40 | $1.48 |
| 3.6¢ | 28 | $1.01 |
| 3.5¢ | 189.37 | $6.63 |
| 3.4¢ | 362.25 | $12.32 |
| 2.8¢ | 54 | $1.51 |
| 2.7¢ | 5.88 | $0.16 |
| 2.6¢ | 333.53 | $8.67 |
| 2.5¢ | 721.17 | $18.03 |
| 2.4¢ | 1,542.76 | $37.03 |
| 2.3¢ | 2,215.71 | $50.96 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 6.3¢ | 20 | $1.26 |
| 6.4¢ | 40 | $2.56 |
| 7.2¢ | 68.08 | $4.90 |
| 7.8¢ | 10 | $0.78 |
| 7.9¢ | 98.37 | $7.77 |
| 8¢ | 110 | $8.80 |
| 12.9¢ | 200 | $25.80 |
| 13¢ | 23.84 | $3.10 |
| 20¢ | 83.4 | $16.68 |
| 29¢ | 10 | $2.90 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.