All markets
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?
20%chance
- Yes20%
Outcomes
- Yes20%
20.0¢ per share
- No80%
80.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 20¢Spread 2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 19¢ | 15 | $2.85 |
| 18¢ | 400 | $72.00 |
| 17¢ | 1,884.58 | $320.38 |
| 14¢ | 36 | $5.04 |
| 12¢ | 300 | $36.00 |
| 10¢ | 223.83 | $22.38 |
| 7¢ | 805.94 | $56.42 |
| 6¢ | 1,500 | $90.00 |
| 5¢ | 2,854.92 | $142.75 |
| 4¢ | 2,593.75 | $103.75 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 21¢ | 10 | $2.10 |
| 22¢ | 698.64 | $153.70 |
| 23¢ | 2,431.17 | $559.17 |
| 30¢ | 14.8 | $4.44 |
| 32¢ | 80 | $25.60 |
| 37¢ | 57 | $21.09 |
| 40¢ | 5.42 | $2.17 |
| 50¢ | 20 | $10.00 |
| 66¢ | 294 | $194.04 |
| 67¢ | 800 | $536.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.