All markets
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
4%chance
- Yes3.5%
Outcomes
- Yes4%
3.5¢ per share
- No97%
96.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3.5¢Spread 1.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.9¢ | 184.48 | $5.35 |
| 2.8¢ | 359 | $10.05 |
| 2.7¢ | 437.58 | $11.81 |
| 2.6¢ | 346 | $9.00 |
| 2.5¢ | 900 | $22.50 |
| 2.1¢ | 620 | $13.02 |
| 2¢ | 1,283.97 | $25.68 |
| 1.3¢ | 1,231 | $16.00 |
| 1.2¢ | 1,185.6 | $14.23 |
| 1.1¢ | 472.95 | $5.20 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4.1¢ | 7.18 | $0.29 |
| 4.6¢ | 70 | $3.22 |
| 4.7¢ | 62.95 | $2.96 |
| 5.6¢ | 302 | $16.91 |
| 5.8¢ | 220 | $12.76 |
| 5.9¢ | 2,562.42 | $151.18 |
| 6¢ | 50 | $3.00 |
| 6.8¢ | 400 | $27.20 |
| 7¢ | 1,021.35 | $71.49 |
| 7.6¢ | 6 | $0.46 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.