All markets
Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027?
20%chance
- Yes20%
Outcomes
- Yes20%
20.0¢ per share
- No80%
80.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 19.5¢Spread 17¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 11¢ | 59.57 | $6.55 |
| 10¢ | 105.09 | $10.51 |
| 9¢ | 30 | $2.70 |
| 7¢ | 6.82 | $0.48 |
| 6¢ | 6.92 | $0.42 |
| 5¢ | 36 | $1.80 |
| 4¢ | 60 | $2.40 |
| 3¢ | 56.85 | $1.71 |
| 2¢ | 275 | $5.50 |
| 1¢ | 1,412.3 | $14.12 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 28¢ | 12 | $3.36 |
| 29¢ | 186.71 | $54.15 |
| 30¢ | 100 | $30.00 |
| 31¢ | 250 | $77.50 |
| 45¢ | 31.47 | $14.16 |
| 46¢ | 18.05 | $8.30 |
| 55¢ | 20 | $11.00 |
| 56¢ | 95 | $53.20 |
| 64¢ | 20 | $12.80 |
| 65¢ | 72 | $46.80 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.