Trump

$27.2M Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Jon Ossoff97%
Kaitlan Collins89%

$131.5K Vol.monthly

Trump out as President before 2027?

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

December 3135%
November 3024%

$1.8M Vol.

Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?

December 3120%
October 315%

$48.5K Vol.

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31, 202641%
November 30, 202632%

$706.1K Vol.

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

$664.9K Vol.2 months left

$24.0M Vol.2 months left

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?

180-19937%
160-17936%

$48.7K Vol.daily

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

13%chance

$74.6K Vol.2 months left

Trump approval rating at least ___ on October 16?

36.8+>99%
37.0+89%

$12.6K Vol.weekly

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?

Shit / Ass81%
Nevada71%

$8.3K Vol.

Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by...?

December 3112%
October 315%

$8.0K Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

200+33%
160-17924%

$26.2K Vol.daily

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

>99%chance

Will Trump visit Greenland by...?

December 319%
October 31<1%

$354.8K Vol.

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

None before 202751%
Pete Hegseth8%

$107.0K Vol.annual

Who will be arrested before 2027?

John Brennan20%
Mahmoud Khalil18%

$499.0K Vol.

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Montana?

Coal / Diesel76%
Shit / Ass74%

$4.5K Vol.

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Vladimir Putin81%
Mohammed bin Salman79%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

No Endorsement72%
Likud28%

$63.9K Vol.

What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18)

Nobel79%
Handsome75%

$6.8K Vol.weekly

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

December 3131%
October 318%

$6.6M Vol.

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China77%
No meeting by December 3118%

$1.8M Vol.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

10%chance

$1.9M Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?

Flávio Bolsonaro84%
Delcy Rodriguez65%

$71.6K Vol.monthly

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

December 319%
November 304%

$30.2K Vol.

What will Trump's approval rating hit by June 30, 2027?

↓ 37%86%
↓ 36%75%

$6.6K Vol.

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

$35.7M Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Friedrich Merz94%
Ursula von der Leyen87%

$210.4K Vol.monthly

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

October 1499%
October 1697%

$39.4K Vol.monthly

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.7%16%
Below 4.6%6%

$353.8K Vol.

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

11%chance

$1.8M Vol.2 months left

Kash Patel out by...?

December 3121%
October 313%

$1.8M Vol.

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

$10.9M Vol.2 months left

Will Trump be impeached by...?

December 31, 202768%
June 30, 202759%

$1.1M Vol.

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Japan18%
Germany16%

$680.9K Vol.annual

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?

200+27%
160-17919%

$6.4K Vol.daily

$392.9K Vol.

Trump approval rating on October 16?

37.0–37.126%
37.4–37.525%

$3.4K Vol.weekly

Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

7%chance

$31.9K Vol.2 months left

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%
US2%

$3.7M Vol.

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?

280M59%
270M6%

$32.7K Vol.monthly

Who will Trump meet with by October 31?

Sam Altman24%
Mark Carney14%

$53.1K Vol.monthly

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

$258.6K Vol.2 months left

Maduro Prison Time?

No prison time56%
60+27%

$915.1K Vol.

Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?

85%chance

$24.5K Vol.2 months left

Which states will Trump visit before the midterms?

Georgia>99%
North Carolina>99%

$24.2K Vol.

Lai Ching-te visits US by...?

June 3011%
December 314%

$2.9K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Virginia?

834%
731%

$10.9K Vol.

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Donald Brodie32%
Stefan Brodie17%

$510.2K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?

638%
7+29%

$31.6K Vol.

U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by...?

December 3183%
October 3156%

$7.6K Vol.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

18%chance

$502.7K Vol.2 months left

Which bills will become law in 2026?

$183.9K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$15.7K Vol.8 months left

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

$2.4M Vol.2 months left

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

No Meeting by December 3156%
Qatar19%

$155.4K Vol.

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

November 3085%
October 3172%

$7.8K Vol.annual

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

$1.3M Vol.2 months left

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Unusual Machines39%
Anduril18%

$215.0K Vol.

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

8%chance

$28.8K Vol.2 months left

US strike on Colombia by...?

22%chance

$1.2M Vol.2 months left

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

$87.1K Vol.2 months left

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

$167.3K Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in New Jersey?

1070%
11+21%

$13.3K Vol.

Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?

38%chance

$4.1K Vol.17 days left

US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

December 3110%
October 312%

$507.5K Vol.

What will Trump say in October?

Caddie61%
Weave61%

$10.5K Vol.monthly

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

31%chance

$546.7K Vol.9 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Iowa?

349%
228%

$24.3K Vol.

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

$799.0K Vol.2 months left

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

4-691%
7-94%

$104.7K Vol.

Will Trump rename an ocean by...?

December 31, 202729%
December 31, 20265%

$33.4K Vol.

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

December 3114%
November 307%

$10.3K Vol.

Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?

18%chance

$31.6K Vol.2 months left

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

$177.1K Vol.2 months left

$378.5K Vol.5 days left

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

4.25%21%
4.75%14%

$19.8K Vol.

James Comey charges dropped by December 31?

35%chance

$5.4K Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?

Flávio Bolsonaro18%
Romeu Zema1%

$53.6K Vol.

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

12%chance

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Minnesota?

471%
518%

$17.3K Vol.

Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

December 3117%
November 307%

$23.7K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?

1140%
923%

$23.4K Vol.

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

$182.4K Vol.2 months left

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

$63.5K Vol.2 months left

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

$173.9K Vol.2 months left

$53.5K Vol.2 months left

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 317%
October 31<1%

$18.0M Vol.

Will Trump meet with Marcos by December 31, 2026?

92%chance

$1.4K Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?

717%
812%

$13.1K Vol.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

1%chance

$226.3K Vol.20 days left

John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?

28%chance

$2.1K Vol.2 months left

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

14%chance

U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?

5–15%79%
15–25%9%

$10.1K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?

553%
422%

$25.8K Vol.

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Dan Scavino29%
Kristi Noem28%

$1.4M Vol.monthly

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

$205.5K Vol.2 months left

$552.3 Vol.17 days left

Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?

28%chance

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?

1123%
1223%

$17.9K Vol.

Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...?

December 3146%
November 3012%

$26.6K Vol.

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

10-1294%
13-155%

$62.4K Vol.

US x China Military clash before 2027?

$218.6K Vol.2 months left

Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

$337.5K Vol.2 months left

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

$119.9K Vol.2 months left

Next US Senate Minority Leader?

John Thune46%
Chuck Schumer30%

$9.6K Vol.

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 13?

$800.7 Vol.Ended

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

40%chance

$1.7K Vol.Ended

FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?

$57.9K Vol.2 months left

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

$255.9K Vol.2 months left

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

$3.1K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

$545.4K Vol.2 months left

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

15%chance

$65.9K Vol.2 months left

Next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?

No HR in 202652%
William Ruger14%

$28.5K Vol.

Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?

16%chance

$1.4K Vol.17 days left

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Below 19024%
205-20919%

$325.0K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?

4875%
4721%

$27.9K Vol.

Who will Trump endorse?

$148.7K Vol.20 days left

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

1.2m57%
1.3m14%

$188.0K Vol.

Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

22%chance

$18.4K Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

J.D. Vance51%
Marco Rubio28%

$21.7K Vol.

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

$163.7K Vol.2 months left

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31?

10+30%
20+10%

$4.3K Vol.monthly

How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

400-500k59%
500-600k12%

$130.6K Vol.annual

NATO dissolves before 2027?

1%chance

$125.1K Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?

935%
824%

$32.8K Vol.

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

36%65%
35%27%

$163.9K Vol.

Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...?

December 3138%
November 3031%

$3.1K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?

344%
432%

$9.9K Vol.

US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

8%chance

$30.1K Vol.17 days left

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

$408.7K Vol.

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Mexico18%
Israel13%

$401.7K Vol.annual

How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?

166%
231%

$12.4K Vol.

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?