All markets
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
7%chance
- Yes6.5%
Outcomes
- Yes7%
6.5¢ per share
- No94%
93.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 6.5¢Spread 3¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5¢ | 21.2 | $1.06 |
| 4¢ | 108.07 | $4.32 |
| 3¢ | 692.85 | $20.79 |
| 2¢ | 806.66 | $16.13 |
| 1¢ | 2,446.06 | $24.46 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 8¢ | 28.7 | $2.30 |
| 10¢ | 29.87 | $2.99 |
| 13¢ | 70 | $9.10 |
| 14¢ | 50 | $7.00 |
| 15¢ | 91.75 | $13.76 |
| 16¢ | 100 | $16.00 |
| 19¢ | 5 | $0.95 |
| 20¢ | 99.38 | $19.88 |
| 36¢ | 8 | $2.88 |
| 49¢ | 20 | $9.80 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) issues a new combined license (COL) for the construction and operation of a nuclear power plant by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A combined license must be clearly identified as such and documented in official NRC releases. Only initial issuances count; amendments, renewals, or partial approvals do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.