Trump

$544.3K Vol.2 months left

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China77%
No meeting by December 3118%

$1.8M Vol.

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

None before 202753%
Pete Hegseth9%

$107.0K Vol.annual

Will Trump visit Greenland by...?

December 319%
October 311%

$354.4K Vol.

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

December 3131%
October 318%

$6.6M Vol.

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Montana?

Job 13+ times85%
Coal / Diesel76%

$3.8K Vol.

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?

Shit / Ass81%
Russia / Ukraine71%

$3.5K Vol.

Trump approval rating on October 16?

37.6–37.724%
38.2–38.318%

$3.3K Vol.weekly

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.7%16%
Below 4.6%6%

$353.8K Vol.

Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?

Flávio Bolsonaro84%
Benjamin Netanyahu71%

$71.4K Vol.monthly

What will Trump's approval rating hit by June 30, 2027?

↓ 37%93%
↓ 34%73%

$6.1K Vol.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

10%chance

$1.9M Vol.2 months left

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

73%chance

$111.0K Vol.2 years left

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

December 319%
November 304%

$30.2K Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?

200+23%
160-17919%

$4.6K Vol.daily

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Germany15%
Japan14%

$680.9K Vol.annual

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

No Endorsement80%
Likud18%

$62.6K Vol.

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Friedrich Merz95%
Ursula von der Leyen89%

$210.3K Vol.monthly

Will Trump be impeached by...?

December 31, 202768%
June 30, 202759%

$1.1M Vol.

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

11%chance

$1.8M Vol.2 months left

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

$35.7M Vol.2 months left

Kash Patel out by...?

December 3124%
October 313%

$1.8M Vol.

Trump meets with Putin by...?

December 3181%
November 3076%

$392.2K Vol.

Who will be arrested before 2027?

John Brennan20%
Mahmoud Khalil18%

$495.8K Vol.

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

October 16>99%
October 2197%

$38.8K Vol.monthly

JD Vance out as VP by...?

$155.7K Vol.2 months left

Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

9%chance

$31.9K Vol.2 months left

What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18)

Pilot85%
Nobel79%

$3.8K Vol.weekly

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?

280M71%
270M7%

$32.7K Vol.monthly

SBF released from custody in 2026?

1%chance

$466.6K Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Donald Brodie33%
Stefan Brodie17%

$510.2K Vol.

Maduro Prison Time?

No prison time55%
60+22%

$915.0K Vol.

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

CXMT31%
CATL26%

$475.6K Vol.

Lai Ching-te visits US by...?

June 3014%
December 312%

$2.9K Vol.

U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by...?

December 3183%
October 3159%

$7.5K Vol.

Which states will Trump visit before the midterms?

North Carolina>99%
Georgia>99%

$24.0K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Virginia?

834%
731%

$10.9K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Tennessee?

082%
112%

$1.1K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?

638%
7+28%

$31.6K Vol.

Who will Trump meet with by October 31?

Dario Amodei14%
Mark Carney14%

$52.4K Vol.monthly

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

No Meeting by December 3155%
Qatar19%

$155.4K Vol.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

18%chance

$502.7K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump rename an ocean by...?

December 31, 202728%
December 31, 20265%

$33.4K Vol.

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

November 3084%
October 3173%

$7.8K Vol.annual

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$15.7K Vol.8 months left

Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?

85%chance

$23.9K Vol.2 months left

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

10%chance

$746.8K Vol.2 months left

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Unusual Machines39%
Anduril21%

$215.0K Vol.

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

8%chance

$28.8K Vol.2 months left

US strike on Colombia by...?

22%chance

$1.2M Vol.2 months left

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

$167.3K Vol.2 months left

$87.1K Vol.2 months left

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

5%chance

How many House seats will the Democrats win in New Jersey?

1070%
11+21%

$13.3K Vol.

Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?

37%chance

$4.1K Vol.17 days left

US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

December 3111%
October 312%

$507.5K Vol.

What will Trump say in October?

Caddie61%
Weave61%

$10.5K Vol.monthly

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Iowa?

349%
228%

$24.3K Vol.

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

6%chance

$799.0K Vol.2 months left

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

4-690%
7-94%

$104.7K Vol.

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

32%chance

$546.6K Vol.9 months left

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

$10.9M Vol.2 months left

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

December 3114%
November 307%

$10.3K Vol.

Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?

18%chance

$31.6K Vol.2 months left

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

$177.1K Vol.2 months left

$378.5K Vol.5 days left

Which bills will become law in 2026?

$183.4K Vol.

James Comey charges dropped by December 31?

35%chance

$5.4K Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?

Flávio Bolsonaro18%
Augusto Cury<1%

$53.6K Vol.

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

4.25%21%
4.75%14%

$19.7K Vol.

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

13%chance

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Minnesota?

471%
517%

$17.3K Vol.

Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

December 3117%
November 306%

$23.7K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?

1140%
923%

$23.4K Vol.

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

$182.4K Vol.2 months left

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

5%chance

$63.5K Vol.2 months left

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

$173.9K Vol.2 months left

$53.5K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump meet with Marcos by December 31, 2026?

92%chance

$1.4K Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?

717%
12+12%

$13.1K Vol.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

1%chance

$226.3K Vol.20 days left

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

16%chance

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?

553%
421%

$25.8K Vol.

John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?

19%chance

$2.1K Vol.2 months left

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Dan Scavino28%
Kristi Noem28%

$1.4M Vol.monthly

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

6%chance

$552.3 Vol.17 days left

Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?

28%chance

$205.5K Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?

1123%
1223%

$17.9K Vol.

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

$545.4K Vol.2 months left

Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...?

December 3146%
November 3012%

$26.6K Vol.

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

10-1294%
13-156%

$62.4K Vol.

Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

$337.5K Vol.2 months left

Next US Senate Minority Leader?

John Thune46%
Chuck Schumer36%

$9.6K Vol.

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 13?

$800.7 Vol.Ended

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

41%chance

$1.7K Vol.Ended

FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?

$57.9K Vol.2 months left

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

$255.9K Vol.2 months left

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?