All markets

Fed Decision in October?

• No change56%YesNo
• 25 bps increase44%YesNo

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

• Team Falcons89%
• NIP12%

Wuhan Tennis Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ann Li

• 1A. Sabalenka<1%
• 2A. Li>99%

Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC

• Manchester City48%
• Paris Saint Germain53%

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

• Barcelona24%YesNo
• Arsenal14%YesNo

Brazil Presidential Election

• Flávio Bolsonaro86%YesNo
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva14%YesNo

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

• Harry Kane62%YesNo
• Lamine Yamal30%YesNo

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

• October 1598%YesNo
• October 1796%YesNo

Wuhan Tennis Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Lanlana Tararudee

• 2A. Krueger100%
• 1L. Tararudee0%

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep63%YesNo
• R Senate, D House28%YesNo

Bitcoin above ___ on October 14?

• 74,000>99%YesNo
• 76,000>99%YesNo

AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF

• AS Roma27%
• Real Madrid74%

Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?

• 260-27932%YesNo
• 280-29922%YesNo

Seahawks vs. Broncos

• Seahawks56%
• Broncos44%

Next French Presidential Election

• Marine Le Pen44%YesNo
• Édouard Philippe20%YesNo

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

• December 31, 202827%YesNo
• December 31, 202718%YesNo

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Zizou Bergs

• 2T. Paul>99%
• 0Z. Bergs<1%

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

• October 1599%YesNo
• October 3186%YesNo

Elon Musk # tweets October 12 - October 14, 2026?

• 90-11498%YesNo
• 115-1392%YesNo

Bears vs. Seahawks

• Bears62%
• Seahawks39%

Dota 2: Power Rangers vs CyberHero (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• Power Rangers100%
• CyberHero0%

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party91%YesNo
• Republican Party10%YesNo

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%YesNo
• Gavin Newsom14%YesNo

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

• No Hormuz Agreement91%YesNo
• Hormuz Agreement; D Senate5%YesNo

FK Bodø/Glimt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund

• Bodo/Glimt33%
• Borussia Dortmund68%

Eagles vs. Commanders

• Eagles50%
• Commanders51%

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

• ↓ 82,50086%YesNo
• ↑ 85,00080%YesNo

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

• Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%42%YesNo
• Flávio Bolsonaro <4%33%YesNo

Wuhan Tennis Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Jessica Pegula

• 0J. Ostapenko12%
• 1J. Pegula89%

LASK Linz vs. Liverpool FC - More Markets

• O/U 0.597%YesNo
• Liverpool FC O/U 0.591%YesNo

Wuhan Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Hanyu Guo

• 0K. Volynets56%
• 1H. Guo45%

NBA: 2027 Champion

• San Antonio Spurs22%YesNo
• Oklahoma City Thunder20%YesNo

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

• San Francisco 49ers12%YesNo
• Buffalo Bills12%YesNo

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

• June 30, 202710%YesNo
• December 31, 20264%YesNo

Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

• Inner Circle37%
• Team Lynx64%

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B

• Legacy57%
• PARIVISION43%

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

• December 315%YesNo
• October 31<1%YesNo

Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC - More Markets

• O/U 0.597%YesNo
• O/U 1.587%YesNo

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

• Oil ≥ $85; D Senate52%YesNo
• Oil ≥ $85; R Senate26%YesNo

Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?

• 240-25914%YesNo
• 260-27914%YesNo

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

• J.D. Vance49%YesNo
• Marco Rubio15%YesNo

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

• December 31, 202821%YesNo
• December 31, 202711%YesNo

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

• Chiang Wan-an66%YesNo
• Puma Shen34%YesNo

LALIGA: 2027 Champion

• Barcelona80%YesNo
• Real Madrid16%YesNo

Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zenith (BO3) - DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• Yakult Brothers100%
• Zenith0%

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

• ↑ 90,00065%YesNo
• ↑ 95,00044%YesNo

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

• ↓ $9068%YesNo
• ↑ $10050%YesNo

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

• Magdalena Andersson81%YesNo
• Ulf Kristersson15%YesNo

Texas Senate Election Winner

• James Talarico (D)64%YesNo
• Ken Paxton (R)37%YesNo

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google70%YesNo
• Anthropic28%YesNo

Ethereum above ___ on October 14?

• 2,100>99%YesNo
• 2,200>99%YesNo

Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by...?

• December 3131%YesNo
• October 3111%YesNo

Largest Company end of December 2026?

• NVIDIA81%YesNo
• Apple15%YesNo

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

• Gadi Eizenkot48%YesNo
• Benjamin Netanyahu31%YesNo

Alaska Governor Election Winner

• Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins76%YesNo
• Bernadette Wilson25%YesNo

Wuhan Tennis Open: Iva Jovic vs Dayana Yastremska

• 1I. Jovic91%
• 0D. Yastremska10%

Dana White's Contender Series: Aline Pereira vs. Smilla Sundell (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)

• Aline Pereira0%
• Smilla Sundell100%

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group D

• MIBR56%
• BC.Game Esports45%

Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907 - More Markets

• O/U 0.597%YesNo
• O/U 1.587%YesNo

MLB World Series Champion 2026

• Milwaukee Brewers44%YesNo
• Los Angeles Dodgers22%YesNo

What price will Bitcoin hit October 12-18?

• ↑ 84,00083%YesNo
• ↓ 82,00062%YesNo

Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Nikola Bartunkova

• 2J. Paolini33%
• 3N. Bartunkova68%

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

• Luca Niculescu83%YesNo
• Sorin Grindeanu6%YesNo

Jinan: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov

• 3I. Ivashka100%
• 4M. Sharipov0%

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

• Aleksandar Vučić71%YesNo
• Ilija Srdanović17%YesNo

Wuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova vs Caty McNally

• 0K. Muchova44%
• 1C. McNally56%

Ohio Governor Election Winner

• Amy Acton (D)72%YesNo
• Vivek Ramaswamy (R)28%YesNo

Dana White's Contender Series: Jason Asher vs. Greg Foster (Featherweight, Main Card)

• Jason Asher0%
• Greg Foster100%

Fed Decision in January?

• No change67%YesNo
• 25 bps increase30%YesNo

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group C

• Astralis85%
• Sashi Esport16%

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

• December 318%YesNo
• October 311%YesNo

Worlds 2026: Winner

• Gen.G32%YesNo
• T119%YesNo

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

• December 3197%YesNo
• October 2486%YesNo

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

• Democratic Party64%YesNo
• Republican Party37%YesNo

NCAA Football: 2027 National Champion

• Georgia Bulldogs19%YesNo
• Ohio State Buckeyes18%YesNo

Serie A: 2027 Champion

• Inter Milan62%YesNo
• Roma15%YesNo

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group C

• HOTU46%
• fnatic55%

Iowa Governor Election Winner

• Rob Sand (D)91%YesNo
• Zach Lahn (R)10%YesNo

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

• 4.25%63%YesNo
• 4.0%24%YesNo

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 14?

• 30°C86%YesNo
• 31°C13%YesNo

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

• C. Ruud43%
• F. Auger-Aliassime57%

CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

• December 31, 202927%YesNo
• December 31, 202821%YesNo

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

• December 3137%YesNo
• November 3028%YesNo

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

• December 3127%YesNo
• October 318%YesNo

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

• December 31, 202924%YesNo
• December 31, 202819%YesNo

Bitcoin above ___ on October 15?

• 72,000>99%YesNo
• 74,000>99%YesNo

Wuhan Tennis Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Diana Shnaider

• 2Y. Putintseva14%
• 5D. Shnaider87%

Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907

• Feyenoord Rotterdam28%
• Como 190773%

Anthropic IPO by __?

• December 31, 202670%YesNo
• December 15, 202666%YesNo

California Governor Election Winner

• Xavier Becerra96%YesNo
• Steve Hilton4%YesNo

What price will Ethereum hit October 12-18?

• ↑ 2,60041%YesNo
• ↓ 2,40039%YesNo

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B

• FURIA71%
• BetBoom Team30%

LASK Linz vs. Liverpool FC

• LASK Linz12%
• Liverpool89%

Highest temperature in Toronto on October 14?

• 18°C89%YesNo
• 19°C9%YesNo

AD San Carlos vs. Inter San Carlos

• 1AD San Carlos<1%
• 2Inter San Carlos>99%

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

• Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems38%YesNo
• Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems16%YesNo

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 14?

• 19°C90%YesNo
• 20°C8%YesNo

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

• No Hormuz Agreement84%YesNo
• Hormuz Agreement; D Senate9%YesNo

M15 Heraklion: Petros Tsitsipas vs Rodrigo Alujas

• Petros Tsitsipas98%
• Rodrigo Alujas2%

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

• Dilution of Iran's Uranium16%YesNo
• Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)14%YesNo

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

• Jared Kushner42%YesNo
• Steve Witkoff42%YesNo

Michigan Governor Election Winner

• Jocelyn Benson (D)95%YesNo
• John James (R)5%YesNo

F1 Drivers' Champion

• Kimi Antonelli97%YesNo
• Max Verstappen1%YesNo

D.C. United SC vs. New York Red Bulls - More Markets

• O/U 0.596%YesNo
• D.C. United SC O/U 0.585%YesNo

Next leader out of power before 2027?

• None before 202742%YesNo
• Netanyahu - Israel PM32%YesNo

M25 Qian Daohu: Anthony Susanto vs Kuan-Yi Lee

• Anthony Susanto>99%
• Kuan-Yi Lee<1%

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 14?

• 26°C>99%YesNo
• 27°C<1%YesNo

Highest temperature in Beijing on October 14?

• 21°C77%YesNo
• 22°C25%YesNo

AD San Carlos vs. Inter San Carlos - More Markets

• O/U 2.5>99%YesNo
• O/U 0.5>99%YesNo

Bitcoin price on October 14?

• 82,000-84,00059%YesNo
• 84,000-86,00028%YesNo

Saudi airspace closed by...?

• December 3116%YesNo
• October 317%YesNo

September Inflation US - Annual

• 3.6%42%YesNo
• 3.7%41%YesNo

Iran leadership change by...?

• June 30, 202721%YesNo
• December 3112%YesNo

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 14?

• 24°C>99%YesNo
• 25°C<1%YesNo

LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

• Team WE48%
• HANJIN BRION53%

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

• Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia63%YesNo
• Student List – Students Win39%YesNo

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

• December 3117%YesNo
• November 3011%YesNo

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

• No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate62%YesNo
• No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate32%YesNo

Jinan: Andre Ilagan vs Yosuke Watanuki

• 2A. Ilagan<1%
• 0Y. Watanuki>99%

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $2.0–$2.25T27%YesNo
• $1.75–$2.0T26%YesNo

Alaska Senate Election Winner

• Mary Peltola74%YesNo
• Sen. Dan Sullivan27%YesNo

Bitcoin above ___ on October 16?

• 74,000>99%YesNo
• 72,000>99%YesNo

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic43%YesNo
• Google42%YesNo

Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

• Meta11%YesNo
• Anthropic10%YesNo

Stars vs. Avalanche

• Stars43%
• Avalanche57%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

• December 31, 202768%YesNo
• November 30, 202767%YesNo

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

• Oil ≥ $80; D Senate55%YesNo
• Oil ≥ $80; R Senate31%YesNo

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

• ↓ 2,25049%YesNo
• ↑ 3,00044%YesNo

Villarreal CF vs. SSC Napoli - More Markets

• O/U 0.595%YesNo
• Villarreal CF O/U 0.582%YesNo

Santa Cruz 2: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna

• H. Casanova40%
• J. Serna61%

Sariyer SK vs. Bodrum FK

• Sariyer SK<1%
• Bodrum FK>99%

Highest temperature in London on October 13?

• 20°C>99%YesNo
• 13°C or below<1%YesNo

NHL: 2027 Champion

• Colorado Avalanche12%YesNo
• Carolina Hurricanes10%YesNo

National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Tala'ea El Gaish SC

• 3National Bank of Egypt>99%
• 0Tala'ea El Gaish<1%

Sabah FK vs. SK Slavia Praha - Exact Score

• Sabah FK 5 - 0 SK Slavia Praha50%YesNo
• Sabah FK 5 - 1 SK Slavia Praha50%YesNo

Racing Club de Lens vs. Sporting CP - Total Corners

• Total Corners: O/U 7.556%YesNo
• Sporting CP Corners: O/U 2.555%YesNo

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

• No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate58%YesNo
• No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate33%YesNo

Slovenia vs. Turkiye - More Markets

• Slovenia (-1.5)>99%YesNo
• O/U 0.5>99%YesNo

What price will Ethereum hit on October 13?

• ↑ 2,55010%YesNo
• ↓ 2,4509%YesNo

Gemini Argon released by...?

• October 31>99%YesNo
• November 30>99%YesNo

Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München - Exact Score

• Any Other Score12%YesNo
• Viking FK 0 - 3 FC Bayern München9%YesNo

Highest temperature in Lucknow on October 13?

• 32°C99%YesNo
• 27°C or below<1%YesNo

Wuhan Tennis Open: Mayar Sherif vs Maja Chwalinska

• M. Sherif18%
• M. Chwalinska83%

Ethereum above ___ on October 16?

• 2,000>99%YesNo
• 2,10099%YesNo

Wuhan Tennis Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsa

• D. Yastremska55%
• C. Bucsa46%

Jets vs. Patriots

• Jets25%
• Patriots76%

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

• No change92%YesNo
• 25 bps increase9%YesNo

What price will XRP hit in October?

• ↑ 1.4051%YesNo
• ↓ 1.2045%YesNo

HUS Agadir vs. AS FAR

• 2Hassania Agadir0%
• 2AS FAR100%

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 13?

• 27°C63%YesNo
• 26°C24%YesNo

CF Universidad de Chile vs. CD Ñublense

• 6U. de Chile>99%
• 0Ñublense<1%

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?

• December 31, 202826%YesNo
• December 31, 202721%YesNo

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

• D. Medvedev68%
• S. Tsitsipas33%

Swiss National Bank decision in December?

• No Change75%YesNo
• 25 bps increase23%YesNo

Highest temperature in Atlanta on October 12?

• 82-83°F>99%YesNo
• 73°F or below<1%YesNo

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik

• A. Zverev71%
• A. Bublik30%

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on October 12?

• 16°C>99%YesNo
• 12°C or below<1%YesNo

W100 Edmond, OK: Chukwumelije Clarke vs Briana Szabo

• Chukwumelije Clarke>99%
• Briana Szabo<1%