All markets
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
3%chance
- Yes3.1%
Outcomes
- Yes3%
3.1¢ per share
- No97%
96.9¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3.1¢Spread 3.6¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3¢ | 76 | $0.99 |
| 1.2¢ | 37 | $0.44 |
| 1.1¢ | 50 | $0.55 |
| 1¢ | 15 | $0.15 |
| 0.8¢ | 20 | $0.16 |
| 0.6¢ | 50 | $0.30 |
| 0.5¢ | 1,050 | $5.25 |
| 0.4¢ | 2,100 | $8.40 |
| 0.3¢ | 3,300 | $9.90 |
| 0.2¢ | 5,800 | $11.60 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4.9¢ | 5 | $0.25 |
| 5¢ | 682.64 | $34.13 |
| 7.5¢ | 5 | $0.38 |
| 7.6¢ | 12 | $0.91 |
| 7.7¢ | 5 | $0.39 |
| 7.8¢ | 40 | $3.12 |
| 8.2¢ | 12 | $0.98 |
| 8.6¢ | 50 | $4.30 |
| 9.5¢ | 271.9 | $25.83 |
| 10.9¢ | 30 | $3.27 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 12 12:00 PM ET to October 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.