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Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
9%chance
- Yes9.2%
Outcomes
- Yes9%
9.3¢ per share
- No91%
90.7¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 9.1¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 8.6¢ | 14 | $1.20 |
| 8.5¢ | 99.99 | $8.50 |
| 8.3¢ | 22 | $1.83 |
| 8.2¢ | 92.65 | $7.60 |
| 8.1¢ | 1,766.23 | $143.06 |
| 7.8¢ | 42.99 | $3.35 |
| 7.7¢ | 5 | $0.39 |
| 7.1¢ | 50 | $3.55 |
| 7¢ | 300 | $21.00 |
| 6.8¢ | 100 | $6.80 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 9.6¢ | 15 | $1.44 |
| 9.7¢ | 13 | $1.26 |
| 9.8¢ | 5.62 | $0.55 |
| 9.9¢ | 6.5 | $0.64 |
| 10.6¢ | 22 | $2.33 |
| 10.7¢ | 42 | $4.49 |
| 10.8¢ | 100 | $10.80 |
| 10.9¢ | 100 | $10.90 |
| 11.1¢ | 82.67 | $9.18 |
| 11.7¢ | 50 | $5.85 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.