All markets
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
13%chance
- Yes13.5%
Outcomes
- Yes13%
13.4¢ per share
- No87%
86.7¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 13.5¢Spread 0.6¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 13.2¢ | 689 | $90.95 |
| 13¢ | 13 | $1.69 |
| 12.9¢ | 180 | $23.22 |
| 12.7¢ | 25 | $3.18 |
| 12.6¢ | 5 | $0.63 |
| 12.5¢ | 20 | $2.50 |
| 12.4¢ | 50 | $6.20 |
| 11.9¢ | 5 | $0.60 |
| 11.6¢ | 300 | $34.80 |
| 11.5¢ | 445 | $51.18 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 13.8¢ | 18.8 | $2.59 |
| 13.9¢ | 20 | $2.78 |
| 14¢ | 105 | $14.70 |
| 14.1¢ | 135 | $19.03 |
| 14.2¢ | 55 | $7.81 |
| 14.4¢ | 150 | $21.60 |
| 14.5¢ | 105.97 | $15.37 |
| 14.6¢ | 121.34 | $17.72 |
| 14.8¢ | 100 | $14.80 |
| 15.5¢ | 358 | $55.49 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.