
12%chance
11.5¢ per share
88.5¢ per share
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 11¢ | 298.61 | $32.85 |
| 10¢ | 127.27 | $12.73 |
| 9¢ | 100 | $9.00 |
| 8¢ | 170 | $13.60 |
| 7¢ | 90 | $6.30 |
| 6¢ | 159.29 | $9.56 |
| 5¢ | 120 | $6.00 |
| 4¢ | 142.2 | $5.69 |
| 3¢ | 432 | $12.96 |
| 2¢ | 321.5 | $6.43 |
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 12¢ | 269.31 | $32.32 |
| 13¢ | 126.61 | $16.46 |
| 14¢ | 109 | $15.26 |
| 15¢ | 105 | $15.75 |
| 16¢ | 31 | $4.96 |
| 17¢ | 16.43 | $2.79 |
| 18¢ | 240.94 | $43.37 |
| 19¢ | 50 | $9.50 |
| 20¢ | 80 | $16.00 |
| 21¢ | 92.44 | $19.41 |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 12 12:00 PM ET to October 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.