All markets

Fed Decision in October?

• No change80%YesNo
• 25 bps increase20%YesNo

Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?

• 360-379>99%YesNo
• 380-399<1%YesNo

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%YesNo
• Jon Ossoff14%YesNo

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

• October 1597%YesNo
• October 3182%YesNo

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

• Harry Kane62%YesNo
• Lamine Yamal31%YesNo

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

• October 15>99%YesNo
• October 3186%YesNo

Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona - More Markets

• O/U 0.599%YesNo
• FC Barcelona O/U 0.597%YesNo

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC

• Atletico Madrid52%
• Manchester United FC49%

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

• Barcelona23%YesNo
• Arsenal14%YesNo

Next French Presidential Election

• Marine Le Pen44%YesNo
• Édouard Philippe20%YesNo

Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona

• Galatasaray SK10%
• Barcelona91%

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

• ↑ 85,00080%YesNo
• ↓ 80,00055%YesNo

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

• December 314%YesNo
• October 312%YesNo

Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets

• O/U 0.599%YesNo
• O/U 1.595%YesNo

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

• June 30, 202710%YesNo
• December 31, 20263%YesNo

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

• December 31, 202827%YesNo
• December 31, 202721%YesNo

Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC - More Markets

• O/U 0.597%YesNo
• Arsenal FC O/U 0.594%YesNo

Brazil Presidential Election

• Flávio Bolsonaro86%YesNo
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva14%YesNo

Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• HULIGANI>99%
• Nemiga Gaming<1%

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

• No Hormuz Agreement88%YesNo
• Hormuz Agreement; D Senate6%YesNo

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

• Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%46%YesNo
• Flávio Bolsonaro <4%28%YesNo

Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?

• 240-25926%YesNo
• 220-23922%YesNo

NBA: 2027 Champion

• San Antonio Spurs23%YesNo
• Oklahoma City Thunder20%YesNo

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep62%YesNo
• R Senate, D House28%YesNo

Presidential Election Winner 2028

• JD Vance22%YesNo
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%YesNo

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Kalmychata (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• Yellow Submarine>99%
• Kalmychata<1%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

• March 3167%YesNo
• December 3143%YesNo

Ethereum above ___ on October 13?

• 2,200>99%YesNo
• 2,300>99%YesNo

Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Camila Osorio

• 2A. Li100%
• 0C. Osorio0%

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

• ↑ 90,00063%YesNo
• ↑ 95,00042%YesNo

FC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV - More Markets

• O/U 0.598%YesNo
• FC Internazionale Milano O/U 0.595%YesNo

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

• San Francisco 49ers13%YesNo
• Buffalo Bills12%YesNo

Shanghai Port FC vs. Daejeon Citizen FC - More Markets

• O/U 0.5>99%YesNo
• O/U 1.5>99%YesNo

Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group B

• 100 Thieves>99%
• JiJieHao<1%

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

• October 1498%YesNo
• October 1591%YesNo

Kyoto Sanga FC vs. Ratchaburi FC - More Markets

• O/U 0.5>99%YesNo
• Kyoto Sanga FC O/U 0.5>99%YesNo

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

• Gadi Eizenkot46%YesNo
• Benjamin Netanyahu32%YesNo

Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zenith (BO3) - DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• Yakult Brothers100%
• Zenith0%

LALIGA: 2027 Champion

• Barcelona80%YesNo
• Real Madrid16%YesNo

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

• J.D. Vance49%YesNo
• Marco Rubio15%YesNo

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

• Oil ≥ $85; D Senate52%YesNo
• Oil ≥ $85; R Senate27%YesNo

What price will Bitcoin hit October 12-18?

• ↑ 86,00040%YesNo
• ↓ 80,00030%YesNo

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

• November 30>99%YesNo
• October 31>99%YesNo

MLB World Series Champion 2026

• Milwaukee Brewers45%YesNo
• Los Angeles Dodgers23%YesNo

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

• Oil ≥ $80; D Senate55%YesNo
• Oil ≥ $80; R Senate31%YesNo

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

• Aleksandar Vučić73%YesNo
• Ilija Srdanović17%YesNo

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

• ↓ $9082%YesNo
• ↑ $9570%YesNo

Shanghai Port FC vs. Daejeon Citizen FC

• Shanghai Port FC<1%
• Daejeon Citizen FC>99%

FC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV

• Inter79%
• Club Brugge22%

Texas Senate Election Winner

• James Talarico (D)65%YesNo
• Ken Paxton (R)37%YesNo

Elon Musk # tweets October 12 - October 14, 2026?

• 65-8964%YesNo
• 90-11424%YesNo

What price will Ethereum hit in October?

• ↑ 2,60070%YesNo
• ↓ 2,40069%YesNo

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

• October 1598%YesNo
• October 3186%YesNo

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

• December 3125%YesNo
• October 319%YesNo

Bitcoin above ___ on October 14?

• 74,000>99%YesNo
• 76,000>99%YesNo

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

• H. Hurkacz51%
• A. Fokina50%

Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München

• Viking FK4%
• FC Bayern München96%

What price will Ethereum hit October 12-18?

• ↑ 2,60046%YesNo
• ↓ 2,40045%YesNo

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 13?

• ↓ 83,00077%YesNo
• ↓ 82,00023%YesNo

Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang

• M. Pohankova30%
• Xiyu Wang71%

RB Leipzig vs. PSV

• RB Leipzig61%
• PSV Eindhoven40%

Bitcoin price on October 13?

• 82,000-84,00076%YesNo
• 84,000-86,00017%YesNo

Blues vs. Senators

• Blues48%
• Senators53%

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 13?

• 29°C>99%YesNo
• 20°C or below<1%YesNo

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $2.0–$2.25T26%YesNo
• $1.75–$2.0T26%YesNo

Bitcoin above ___ on October 15?

• 72,000>99%YesNo
• 74,000>99%YesNo

Bristol City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC - More Markets

• O/U 0.592%YesNo
• Bristol City FC O/U 0.579%YesNo

FC Pohang Steelers vs. Johor Darul Ta'zim

• FC Pohang Steelers<1%
• Johor Darul Ta'zim>99%

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party91%YesNo
• Republican Party10%YesNo

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

• December 318%YesNo
• October 31<1%YesNo

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

• Team Falcons77%
• NIP24%

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google70%YesNo
• Anthropic27%YesNo

Fed Decision in December?

• 25 bps increase76%YesNo
• No change23%YesNo

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

• A. Gea39%
• J. Mensik62%

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

• Alberto Núñez Feijóo81%YesNo
• Pedro Sánchez15%YesNo

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

• December 31, 202922%YesNo
• December 31, 202819%YesNo

EPL: 2027 Champion

• Arsenal63%YesNo
• Manchester City21%YesNo

Next leader out of power before 2027?

• None before 202748%YesNo
• Netanyahu - Israel PM30%YesNo

MLB: 2026 National League Champion

• Milwaukee Brewers71%YesNo
• Los Angeles Dodgers30%YesNo

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

• Tampa Bay Rays68%YesNo
• Cleveland Guardians31%YesNo

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on October 12?

• 68-69°F96%YesNo
• 70-71°F5%YesNo

Fed Decision in January?

• No change64%YesNo
• 25 bps increase33%YesNo

Red Bull Bragantino vs. Cruzeiro EC - Exact Score

• Red Bull Bragantino 5 - 5 Cruzeiro EC50%YesNo
• Any Other Score50%YesNo

September Inflation US - Annual

• 3.7%42%YesNo
• 3.6%40%YesNo

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

• Democratic Party64%YesNo
• Republican Party38%YesNo

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

• 166%YesNo
• 233%YesNo

Bundesliga: 2027 Champion

• Bayern Munich83%YesNo
• Borussia Dortmund7%YesNo

Seahawks vs. Broncos

• Seahawks60%
• Broncos41%

Santa Cruz 2: Bernardo Munk vs Hugo Dellien

• 0Bernardo Munk0%
• 2H. Dellien100%

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

• June 30, 202755%YesNo
• March 31, 202740%YesNo

Test Match: Afghanistan vs Bangladesh

• Afghanistan2%
• Bangladesh98%

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

• Chiang Wan-an66%YesNo
• Puma Shen35%YesNo

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

• December 31, 202746%YesNo
• June 30, 202733%YesNo

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov

• A. Minaur55%
• K. Khachanov46%

Worlds 2026: Winner

• Gen.G31%YesNo
• T119%YesNo

Bitcoin above ___ on October 16?

• 72,00098%YesNo
• 74,00098%YesNo

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 13?

• 21°C69%YesNo
• 22°C28%YesNo

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

• December 31, 202767%YesNo
• November 30, 202766%YesNo

Highest temperature in Miami on October 12?

• 88-89°F>99%YesNo
• 79°F or below<1%YesNo

Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

• 1F. Comesana91%
• 0N. Hardt10%

Bitcoin above ___ on October 18?

• 74,00097%YesNo
• 76,00094%YesNo

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?

• December 31, 202826%YesNo
• December 31, 202718%YesNo

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 12?

• 31°C>99%YesNo
• 24°C or below<1%YesNo

F1 Drivers' Champion

• Kimi Antonelli98%YesNo
• Max Verstappen1%YesNo

Grêmio Novorizontino vs. AA Ponte Preta - Exact Score

• Grêmio Novorizontino 5 - 1 AA Ponte Preta>99%YesNo
• Grêmio Novorizontino 0 - 0 AA Ponte Preta<1%YesNo

Nacional Asuncion vs. Recoleta FC

• Nacional Asuncion>99%
• Recoleta FC<1%

Wuhan Tennis Open: Maria Sakkari vs Marta Kostyuk

• M. Sakkari35%
• M. Kostyuk66%

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

• December 3148%YesNo
• November 3041%YesNo

Highest temperature in Austin on October 12?

• 90-91°F>99%YesNo
• 81°F or below<1%YesNo

Highest temperature in London on October 12?

• 18°C>99%YesNo
• 15°C<1%YesNo

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

• ↓ 2,25059%YesNo
• ↑ 3,00039%YesNo

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T94%YesNo
• ↑$1.75T80%YesNo

Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026: Winner

• KT Rolster46%YesNo
• BNK FEARX24%YesNo

Highest temperature in Chicago on October 12?

• 86-87°F>99%YesNo
• 73°F or below<1%YesNo

Michigan Senate Election Winner

• Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%YesNo
• Mike Rogers (R)30%YesNo

Saudi airspace closed by...?

• December 3118%YesNo
• October 318%YesNo

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

• 081%YesNo
• 112%YesNo

NCAA Football: 2027 National Champion

• Georgia Bulldogs19%YesNo
• Miami Hurricanes14%YesNo

# of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?

• 55M+63%YesNo
• 50–55M26%YesNo

What price will Solana hit in October?

• ↓ 10080%YesNo
• ↑ 11051%YesNo

Iran leadership change by...?

• June 30, 202721%YesNo
• December 3111%YesNo

Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?

• 200-21917%YesNo
• 180-19913%YesNo

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

• 0 (0 bps)96%YesNo
• 1 (25 bps)2%YesNo