All markets
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
18%chance
- Yes17.5%
Outcomes
- Yes18%
17.5¢ per share
- No83%
82.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 17.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 17¢ | 97.93 | $16.65 |
| 16¢ | 1,563.39 | $250.14 |
| 15¢ | 1,108.55 | $166.28 |
| 14¢ | 2,093.08 | $293.03 |
| 13¢ | 99.98 | $13.00 |
| 12¢ | 28.59 | $3.43 |
| 10¢ | 15 | $1.50 |
| 9¢ | 15.47 | $1.39 |
| 8¢ | 10 | $0.80 |
| 7¢ | 932.63 | $65.28 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 18¢ | 475.63 | $85.61 |
| 19¢ | 688.4 | $130.80 |
| 20¢ | 1,184 | $236.80 |
| 21¢ | 200 | $42.00 |
| 22¢ | 10 | $2.20 |
| 23¢ | 145.88 | $33.55 |
| 24¢ | 121 | $29.04 |
| 25¢ | 256 | $64.00 |
| 26¢ | 165.36 | $42.99 |
| 27¢ | 98 | $26.46 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.