All markets
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
11%chance
- Yes10.5%
Outcomes
- Yes11%
10.5¢ per share
- No90%
89.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 10.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 10¢ | 682.42 | $68.24 |
| 9¢ | 1,192.06 | $107.29 |
| 8¢ | 7,098.11 | $567.85 |
| 7¢ | 336.5 | $23.56 |
| 6¢ | 6,011.6 | $360.70 |
| 5¢ | 24,696 | $1,234.80 |
| 4¢ | 255 | $10.20 |
| 3¢ | 990.6 | $29.72 |
| 2¢ | 250 | $5.00 |
| 1¢ | 1,525 | $15.25 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 11¢ | 77.62 | $8.54 |
| 12¢ | 322.63 | $38.72 |
| 13¢ | 458 | $59.54 |
| 14¢ | 99 | $13.86 |
| 15¢ | 80.15 | $12.02 |
| 16¢ | 356.25 | $57.00 |
| 17¢ | 138 | $23.46 |
| 18¢ | 105 | $18.90 |
| 19¢ | 138.25 | $26.27 |
| 20¢ | 350 | $70.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 13 12:00 PM ET to October 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.