All markets
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
32%chance
- Yes31.5%
Outcomes
- Yes32%
31.5¢ per share
- No69%
68.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 31¢Spread 2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 470.53 | $141.16 |
| 29¢ | 450.3 | $130.59 |
| 28¢ | 62 | $17.36 |
| 27¢ | 10 | $2.70 |
| 26¢ | 5 | $1.30 |
| 25¢ | 120.12 | $30.03 |
| 24¢ | 489.44 | $117.47 |
| 22¢ | 5.21 | $1.15 |
| 21¢ | 130 | $27.30 |
| 17¢ | 15.46 | $2.63 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 32¢ | 55.12 | $17.64 |
| 33¢ | 498.86 | $164.62 |
| 34¢ | 222.8 | $75.75 |
| 35¢ | 5 | $1.75 |
| 36¢ | 108.23 | $38.96 |
| 37¢ | 281.09 | $104.00 |
| 38¢ | 462.63 | $175.80 |
| 39¢ | 329.62 | $128.55 |
| 40¢ | 333 | $133.20 |
| 41¢ | 52.71 | $21.61 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 12 12:00 PM ET to October 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.