All markets
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
22%chance
- Yes21.5%
Outcomes
- Yes22%
21.5¢ per share
- No79%
78.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 21.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 21¢ | 105.06 | $22.06 |
| 20¢ | 405.01 | $81.00 |
| 19¢ | 584.56 | $111.07 |
| 18¢ | 704.91 | $126.88 |
| 17¢ | 785.95 | $133.61 |
| 16¢ | 855.72 | $136.92 |
| 15¢ | 1,423.94 | $213.59 |
| 14¢ | 133.54 | $18.70 |
| 13¢ | 70 | $9.10 |
| 12¢ | 33.49 | $4.02 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 22¢ | 107.32 | $23.61 |
| 23¢ | 632.48 | $145.47 |
| 24¢ | 682 | $163.68 |
| 25¢ | 403.19 | $100.80 |
| 26¢ | 778.65 | $202.45 |
| 27¢ | 155 | $41.85 |
| 28¢ | 155 | $43.40 |
| 29¢ | 496.94 | $144.11 |
| 30¢ | 1,077.44 | $323.23 |
| 31¢ | 202 | $62.62 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.