
30%chance
29.5¢ per share
70.5¢ per share
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 29.2¢ | 880.82 | $257.20 |
| 29.1¢ | 12.97 | $3.77 |
| 29¢ | 7 | $2.03 |
| 28.9¢ | 220 | $63.58 |
| 28.7¢ | 7 | $2.01 |
| 28.6¢ | 50 | $14.30 |
| 28.3¢ | 11 | $3.11 |
| 28.2¢ | 20.61 | $5.81 |
| 28.1¢ | 200.6 | $56.37 |
| 28¢ | 311 | $87.08 |
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 29.8¢ | 78.7 | $23.45 |
| 29.9¢ | 37.18 | $11.12 |
| 30¢ | 3,055.71 | $916.71 |
| 30.1¢ | 274 | $82.47 |
| 30.2¢ | 295.6 | $89.27 |
| 30.3¢ | 11 | $3.33 |
| 30.4¢ | 105 | $31.92 |
| 30.5¢ | 5 | $1.53 |
| 30.6¢ | 50 | $15.30 |
| 30.7¢ | 5.33 | $1.64 |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 6 12:00 PM ET to October 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.