World

$27.2M Vol.2 months left

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3126%
October 316%

$9.0M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%chance

$74.1M Vol.2 months left

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

10%chance

$3.5M Vol.1 year left

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202711%
December 31, 20264%

$29.3M Vol.

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$298.2K Vol.

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

June 30, 20279%
December 313%

$4.3M Vol.

Netanyahu out by...?

40%chance

$2.7M Vol.2 months left

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova87%
Аndrey Gyurov12%

$1.2M Vol.

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

December 31, 202749%
June 30, 202735%

$2.9M Vol.

Iran Nuke before 2027?

$834.7K Vol.2 months left

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China77%
No meeting by December 3121%

$1.8M Vol.

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%chance

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland12%
Kuwait7%

$1.8M Vol.

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

No change86%
25 bps increase14%

$130.0K Vol.annual

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

No change96%
25 bps increase4%

$222.3K Vol.annual

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

$403.4K Vol.2 months left

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon37%
Édouard Philippe31%

$15.8K Vol.

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

$385.1K Vol.4 days left

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

$257.5K Vol.2 months left

New pandemic in 2026?

$1.2M Vol.2 months left

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas 20%+16%
Ruas 5-10%14%

$32.6K Vol.

Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?

<1%chance

$59.0K Vol.7 hours left

Russia military action against EU country by...?

December 31, 202722%
December 31, 20268%

$262.7K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2834%
Matan Kahana15%

$47.6K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

No Next Minister by Feb 2831%
Ofer Winter16%

$44.8K Vol.

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

14%chance

$70.1K Vol.2 months left

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

25%chance

$19.4K Vol.1 year left

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Iotova 20-30%62%
Iotova 10-20%22%

$17.6K Vol.

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%56%
Remain 60–80%30%

$33.0K Vol.

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

December 3194%
October 3191%

$889.6K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Édouard Philippe39%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon33%

$15.2K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

The Democrats55%
Yashar55%

$59.7K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$66.2K Vol.

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

7%chance

$2.9M Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

58%chance

$4.3K Vol.12 days left

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

$231.0K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?

7-872%
<712%

$14.0K Vol.

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?

$37.4K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

<2.75%51%
2.75-3.25%25%

$5.8K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

SPD98%
Grüne95%

$23.5K Vol.

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.00-5.49%50%
5.50-5.99%21%

$165.0K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout

78-80%46%
76-78%19%

$14.0K Vol.

Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?

48%chance

$3.1K Vol.45 days left

Spain General Election Winner

PP85%
PSOE16%

$109.1K Vol.

El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place

PCN36%
ARENA28%

$11.6K Vol.

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Wang Huning8%
Li Xi5%

$252.9K Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

<2.5%51%
2.5-3.25%28%

$6.2K Vol.

Will any country leave NATO by...?

$407.0K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

<0.75%53%
0.75-1.25%36%

$6.9K Vol.

Klitschko out as Kyiv mayor by...?

June 30, 202733%
December 31, 202614%

$3.9K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2836%
Tally Gotliv16%

$50.6K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

SPD55%
Linke54%

$22.5K Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei87%
No Head of State5%

$40.2M Vol.

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Mohammed bin Salman80%
Vladimir Putin80%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

11%chance

$145.3K Vol.2 months left

Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?

UAE36%
Turkey23%

$34.2K Vol.

Estonia Parliamentary Election Winner

Isamaa49%
Centre Party34%

$2.6K Vol.

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

$183.1K Vol.2 months left

$53.8K Vol.2 months left

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

13%chance

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

$642.3K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

6-734%
4-529%

$12.2K Vol.

Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?

85%chance

$25.3K Vol.2 months left

China coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202712%
December 31, 20263%

$164.2K Vol.

Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

5-6%50%
4-5%21%

$5.1K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

No Next Minister by Feb 2840%
Yoav Ben-Tzur20%

$15.1K Vol.

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027

$16.2K Vol.

Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?

4-4.75%40%
4.75-5.5%39%

$5.6K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yaron Zelekha17%

$46.2K Vol.

Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?

77%chance

$7.7K Vol.5 months left

Prime Minister of Australia after next election?

Anthony Albanese42%
Pauline Hanson25%

$33.8K Vol.

El Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place

PCN39%
PDC22%

$7.1K Vol.

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Finland11%
Belgium10%

$762.9K Vol.

Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Margareta Dovgal51%
Terry Yung29%

$4.3K Vol.

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

$381.0K Vol.2 months left

Jimmy Lai released by...?

$25.9K Vol.2 months left

China Annual Inflation 2026

0.6 – 1.0%53%
1.1 – 1.5%25%

$114.1K Vol.

Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Kevin Acton83%
Harwinder Sandhu9%

$6.6K Vol.

Quebec General Election: PLQ # Seats?

40-4392%
36-399%

$56.3K Vol.

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

48%chance

$53.8K Vol.2 months left

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

$3.5M Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?

6-7%40%
5-6%39%

$7.8K Vol.

Israel Election: Together # of seats?

14-1631%
8-1023%

$8.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

23%chance

$7.6K Vol.12 days left

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December

No change70%
25 bps increase19%

$10.3K Vol.annual

Will Trump rename an ocean by...?

December 31, 202735%
December 31, 20265%

$33.8K Vol.

Israel Election: Shas vote share?

<6%30%
9%+25%

$3.8K Vol.

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

25 bps increase53%
No change43%

$94.2K Vol.annual

Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

David Xie43%
Paul Choi40%

$1.8K Vol.

Israel Election: Together vote share?

9-11%34%
7-9%26%

$5.3K Vol.

Macron out by...?

$40.2K Vol.2 months left

Tocantins Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Vicentinho 4%+33%
Vicentinho <4%28%

$3.7K Vol.

Bank of Japan Decision in December?

25 bps increase66%
No change31%

$13.9K Vol.annual

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Germany15%
Japan14%

$681.2K Vol.annual

French election called by...?

9%chance

$10.8K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

8-934%
<826%

$6.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

539%
621%

$9.8K Vol.

Israel Election: Shas # of seats?

8-937%
6-731%

$7.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

<465%
4-633%

$11.5K Vol.

Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?

85%chance

$604.0 Vol.45 days left

Courtenay-Comox British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Brennan Day60%
Will Cole-Hamilton27%

$2.1K Vol.

Will Alberta join the US?

$2.2M Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

22-2322%
24-2519%

$19.4K Vol.

Acre Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Mailza 20%+39%
Mailza 10-15%35%

$4.5K Vol.

Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?

6.5-7.5%33%
4.5-5.5%27%

$4.0K Vol.

Bank of Korea decision in November?

No Change53%
25 bps hike28%

$32.9K Vol.annual

Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?

80%chance

$618.4 Vol.5 months left

Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round?

$224.6 Vol.6 months left

US x China Military clash before 2027?

$218.8K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

5.5-6.5%41%
6.5-7.5%36%

$3.1K Vol.

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

$226.1K Vol.2 months left

$1.3M Vol.2 months left

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)

<1600.0056%
1600.00–1699.9933%

$22.7K Vol.monthly

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

12%chance

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

28%chance

$534.9K Vol.2 months left

Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?

AfD56%
BSW44%

$59.6K Vol.

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

$1.1M Vol.2 months left

Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Celina 20-25%47%
Celina 25%+28%

$5.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?

6-740%
8-937%

$5.0K Vol.

Erdoğan out by...?

December 31, 202717%
December 31, 20264%

$649.2K Vol.

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

$82.8K Vol.

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

$169.4K Vol.2 months left

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

$142.9K Vol.2 months left

China x India military clash by...?

$222.3K Vol.2 months left

NATO article 5 before 2027?

$283.1K Vol.2 months left

Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?