Trump

$546.6K Vol.9 months left

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

32%chance

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

6%chance

$24.0M Vol.2 months left

Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?

December 3131%
October 317%

$40.5K Vol.

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31, 202642%
November 30, 202632%

$703.4K Vol.

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

13%chance

$74.4K Vol.2 months left

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?

140-15931%
120-13928%

$44.5K Vol.daily

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Vladimir Putin80%
Mohammed bin Salman78%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

Trump approval rating at least ___ on October 16?

36.8+>99%
37.0+92%

$9.9K Vol.weekly

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%chance

$27.1M Vol.2 months left

Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

December 31>99%
October 3196%

$14.1K Vol.monthly

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Jared Kushner42%
Steve Witkoff42%

$1.4M Vol.

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

$2.4M Vol.2 months left

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China77%
No meeting by December 3119%

$1.8M Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

200+27%
180-19914%

$23.4K Vol.daily

US military draft authorized in 2026?

$544.3K Vol.2 months left

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

None before 202745%
Pete Hegseth11%

$106.3K Vol.annual

What will Trump's approval rating hit by June 30, 2027?

↓ 37%94%
↓ 36%68%

$5.5K Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?

200+23%
160-17920%

$4.4K Vol.daily

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

18%chance

$502.7K Vol.2 months left

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%
US2%

$3.7M Vol.

Kash Patel out by...?

December 3124%
October 314%

$1.8M Vol.

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Jon Ossoff97%
Barack Obama96%

$112.1K Vol.monthly

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.7%16%
Below 4.6%6%

$353.8K Vol.

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

73%chance

$111.0K Vol.2 years left

Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by...?

December 3122%
October 315%

$3.1K Vol.

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

December 3112%
November 304%

$30.2K Vol.

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

South Korea18%
Germany15%

$680.9K Vol.annual

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

No Endorsement80%
Likud17%

$62.6K Vol.

Will Trump be impeached by...?

December 31, 202769%
June 30, 202748%

$1.1M Vol.

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Friedrich Merz93%
Ursula von der Leyen91%

$209.9K Vol.monthly

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

11%chance

$1.8M Vol.2 months left

Trump approval rating on October 16?

38.4+28%
38.2–38.318%

$2.5K Vol.weekly

Will Trump visit Greenland by...?

December 319%
October 31<1%

$352.3K Vol.

Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?

Flávio Bolsonaro84%
Delcy Rodriguez74%

$70.3K Vol.monthly

JD Vance out as VP by...?

$155.7K Vol.2 months left

Who will be arrested before 2027?

Mahmoud Khalil21%
John Brennan20%

$495.6K Vol.

Trump meets with Putin by...?

December 3181%
November 3075%

$391.7K Vol.

Will Trump rename an ocean by...?

December 31, 202730%
December 31, 20265%

$33.2K Vol.

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?

280M69%
270M7%

$32.6K Vol.monthly

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

October 2896%
October 1796%

$38.2K Vol.monthly

What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18)

Nobel81%
Mardi Gras75%

$3.2K Vol.weekly

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Donald Brodie36%
Stefan Brodie17%

$510.2K Vol.

Maduro Prison Time?

No prison time55%
60+24%

$915.0K Vol.

Which states will Trump visit before the midterms?

Alaska>99%
North Carolina>99%

$24.0K Vol.

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

$409.8K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Tennessee?

082%
113%

$1.1K Vol.

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

CATL26%
CXMT25%

$475.6K Vol.

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

4.25%21%
4.75%14%

$19.7K Vol.

U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by...?

December 3182%
October 3157%

$7.5K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Virginia?

834%
731%

$10.9K Vol.

Who will Trump meet with by October 31?

Sam Altman42%
Mark Carney14%

$52.4K Vol.monthly

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?

638%
7+29%

$31.6K Vol.

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

No Meeting by December 3156%
Qatar19%

$155.4K Vol.

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

November 3084%
October 3170%

$7.8K Vol.annual

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

$42.7K Vol.2 months left

Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?

December 31, 202744%
December 31, 202637%

$16.6K Vol.

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

$746.8K Vol.2 months left

$1.3M Vol.2 months left

Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?

85%chance

$23.9K Vol.2 months left

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

10%chance

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

4-690%
7-95%

$104.7K Vol.

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

7%chance

$28.8K Vol.2 months left

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

11%chance

$1.9M Vol.2 months left

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

$87.1K Vol.2 months left

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Unusual Machines42%
Anduril21%

$214.9K Vol.

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

$167.3K Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in New Jersey?

1070%
11+20%

$13.3K Vol.

US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

December 3111%
October 312%

$507.5K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$15.4K Vol.8 months left

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

$182.4K Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Iowa?

349%
228%

$24.3K Vol.

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

6%chance

$799.0K Vol.2 months left

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

December 3114%
November 307%

$10.3K Vol.

Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?

18%chance

$31.6K Vol.2 months left

Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

$30.4K Vol.2 months left

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

$271.9K Vol.2 months left

$378.5K Vol.6 days left

Which bills will become law in 2026?

$183.3K Vol.

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

16%chance

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?

717%
12+12%

$13.1K Vol.

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

$10.9M Vol.2 months left

James Comey charges dropped by December 31?

40%chance

$5.4K Vol.2 months left

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

$26.9K Vol.2 months left

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 317%
October 31<1%

$18.0M Vol.

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

$35.7M Vol.2 months left

What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18)

Mexico36%
Rigged27%

$890.6 Vol.weekly

Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

December 3118%
November 306%

$23.7K Vol.

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202719%
December 31, 202611%

$2.1M Vol.

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

$63.5K Vol.2 months left

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Below 19024%
205-20922%

$325.0K Vol.

Next US Senate Minority Leader?

John Thune46%
Chuck Schumer34%

$9.6K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?

1140%
923%

$23.4K Vol.

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

$173.9K Vol.2 months left

$53.5K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump meet with Marcos by December 31, 2026?

93%chance

$1.4K Vol.2 months left

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?

Healthcare 3+ times84%
Russia / Ukraine83%

$159.4 Vol.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

1%chance

$226.3K Vol.21 days left

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

14%chance

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

$119.8K Vol.2 months left

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

12%chance

$177.0K Vol.2 months left

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Dan Scavino29%
Kristi Noem28%

$1.4M Vol.monthly

Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?

55%chance

$3.8K Vol.18 days left

Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?

28%chance

$205.5K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

$545.4K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump visit North Korea by...?

8%chance

$133.9K Vol.2 months left

Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...?

December 3146%
November 3013%

$26.6K Vol.

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

10-1294%
13-156%

$62.4K Vol.

Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

$337.5K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

41%chance

$1.7K Vol.Ended

FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?

$57.9K Vol.2 months left

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

$255.9K Vol.2 months left

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Mexico18%
Vietnam12%

$401.7K Vol.annual

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?