Trump

$27.2M Vol.2 months left

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

CXMT31%
CATL26%

$506.2K Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 202768%
November 30, 202767%

$8.6M Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

US imports Russian diesel by October 31?

12%chance

$216.6K Vol.17 days left

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Jon Ossoff97%
Kaitlan Collins89%

$132.0K Vol.monthly

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?

Shit / Ass79%
Nevada79%

$20.3K Vol.

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

4.25%58%
≥ 4.5%20%

$7.1M Vol.

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

$664.9K Vol.2 months left

$24.0M Vol.2 months left

Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?

December 3119%
October 315%

$51.3K Vol.

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

December 3110%
October 312%

$2.4M Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?

180-19938%
200+38%

$50.5K Vol.daily

Trump approval rating at least ___ on October 16?

36.8+>99%
37.0+98%

$17.3K Vol.weekly

Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by...?

December 3112%
October 313%

$10.6K Vol.

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Montana?

Coal / Diesel87%
Shit / Ass73%

$9.6K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

December 3126%
October 316%

$6.7M Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

200+42%
180-19925%

$27.8K Vol.daily

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Vladimir Putin80%
Mohammed bin Salman79%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

>99%chance

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31, 202639%
November 30, 202632%

$706.8K Vol.

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

17%chance

$76.7K Vol.2 months left

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?

200+27%
120-13919%

$9.7K Vol.daily

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

None before 202749%
Pete Hegseth9%

$109.0K Vol.annual

Who will be arrested before 2027?

John Brennan20%
Mahmoud Khalil18%

$500.1K Vol.

What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18)

Handsome75%
Mardi Gras71%

$6.9K Vol.weekly

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 318%
October 31<1%

$18.1M Vol.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

10%chance

$1.9M Vol.2 months left

What will Trump's approval rating hit by June 30, 2027?

↓ 37%86%
↓ 36%75%

$7.4K Vol.

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

December 319%
November 304%

$30.3K Vol.

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

$35.7M Vol.2 months left

SBF released from custody in 2026?

$468.2K Vol.2 months left

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China78%
No meeting by December 3118%

$1.8M Vol.

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

No Endorsement65%
Likud34%

$65.1K Vol.

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

$10.9M Vol.2 months left

Will Trump visit Greenland by...?

December 319%
October 31<1%

$354.8K Vol.

Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?

Flávio Bolsonaro84%
Delcy Rodriguez57%

$71.9K Vol.monthly

US strike on Colombia by...?

25%chance

$1.2M Vol.2 months left

Trump meets with Putin by...?

December 3181%
November 3077%

$393.0K Vol.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

1%chance

$228.3K Vol.20 days left

Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

7%chance

$31.9K Vol.2 months left

Next US Senate Minority Leader?

John Thune46%
Chuck Schumer37%

$11.3K Vol.

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

4.5%19%
4.25%16%

$21.3K Vol.

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

$258.6K Vol.2 months left

Kash Patel out by...?

December 3121%
October 313%

$1.8M Vol.

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

October 1498%
October 2197%

$39.5K Vol.monthly

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Friedrich Merz93%
Ursula von der Leyen88%

$211.0K Vol.monthly

Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

36%chance

$29.3K Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump meet with by October 31?

Sam Altman32%
Mohammed bin Salman18%

$53.4K Vol.monthly

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$16.7K Vol.8 months left

Trump approval rating on October 16?

38.2–38.332%
38.4+20%

$3.6K Vol.weekly

Which states will Trump visit before the midterms?

North Carolina>99%
Georgia>99%

$24.9K Vol.

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Japan18%
Germany16%

$680.9K Vol.annual

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 17?

38%chance

$1.3K Vol.3 days left

Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?

85%chance

$24.5K Vol.2 months left

Maduro Prison Time?

No prison time56%
60+28%

$915.2K Vol.

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%
US2%

$3.7M Vol.

Lai Ching-te visits US by...?

June 3011%
December 314%

$3.0K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Virginia?

834%
731%

$11.0K Vol.

Weed rescheduled by...?

7%chance

$208.7K Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?

638%
7+27%

$31.6K Vol.

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

$1.3M Vol.2 months left

Which bills will become law in 2026?

$183.9K Vol.

Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?

96%chance

$640.1 Vol.2 months left

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

5%chance

$2.4M Vol.2 months left

Trump goes to space in 2026?

$167.4K Vol.2 months left

$56.8K Vol.2 months left

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

5%chance

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

23%chance

$15.9K Vol.1 year left

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

$87.1K Vol.2 months left

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Unusual Machines44%
Anduril17%

$215.1K Vol.

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Below 19024%
205-20918%

$325.4K Vol.

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Donald Brodie32%
Stefan Brodie17%

$510.3K Vol.

Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?

36%chance

$4.1K Vol.17 days left

John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?

24%chance

$2.4K Vol.2 months left

What will Trump say in October?

Caddie62%
Weave61%

$10.5K Vol.monthly

Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?

Flávio Bolsonaro19%
Romeu Zema1%

$53.8K Vol.

U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by...?

December 3183%
October 3157%

$7.7K Vol.

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?

280M57%
270M6%

$32.7K Vol.monthly

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

No Meeting by December 3157%
Qatar20%

$155.6K Vol.

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

$799.3K Vol.2 months left

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

$378.5K Vol.5 days left

JD Vance out as VP by...?

$155.7K Vol.2 months left

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

10%chance

$747.0K Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Tennessee?

082%
116%

$1.3K Vol.

Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?

<1%chance

$63.3K Vol.Ended

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

$182.4K Vol.2 months left

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

36%67%
35%27%

$164.1K Vol.

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

$27.0K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump rename an ocean by...?

December 31, 202728%
December 31, 20265%

$33.4K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?

1123%
1223%

$18.0K Vol.

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202719%
December 31, 202611%

$2.1M Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?

1140%
923%

$23.4K Vol.

US strike on Mexico by...?

$765.4K Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Minnesota?

470%
517%

$17.3K Vol.

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

74%chance

$111.2K Vol.2 years left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?

552%
422%

$25.8K Vol.

US x China Military clash before 2027?

$218.6K Vol.2 months left

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

96%chance

$14.9K Vol.20 days left

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Kristi Noem28%
Dan Scavino25%

$1.4M Vol.monthly

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

$177.2K Vol.2 months left

$552.3 Vol.17 days left

Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...?

December 3146%
November 3011%

$26.7K Vol.

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

13%chance

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

November 3086%
October 3173%

$7.8K Vol.annual

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

19%chance

$272.0K Vol.2 months left

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

18%chance

$502.8K Vol.2 months left

U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?

5–15%79%
15–25%9%

$10.1K Vol.

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

$119.9K Vol.2 months left

Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?

18%chance

$31.6K Vol.2 months left

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

31%chance

$546.7K Vol.9 months left

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

7%chance

$28.8K Vol.2 months left

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

14%chance

$65.9K Vol.2 months left

Trump renames New Mexico to New America by...?

$50.9K Vol.2 months left

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.7%16%
Below 4.6%6%

$353.8K Vol.

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

12%chance

$1.8M Vol.2 months left

Next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?

No HR in 202663%
William Ruger16%

$28.6K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?

4875%
4721%

$27.9K Vol.

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

12%chance

$12.6K Vol.2 months left

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

$33.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

19%chance

$1.8K Vol.Ended

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

$3.1K Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump endorse?

$148.7K Vol.20 days left

Russia nuclear test by...?