World

$14.9M Vol.2 months left

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson79%
Ulf Kristersson17%

$10.1M Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

$44.1M Vol.2 months left

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland13%
Kuwait7%

$1.8M Vol.

$29.3M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%chance

$74.1M Vol.2 months left

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$834.6K Vol.2 months left

$27.2M Vol.2 months left

Netanyahu out by...?

39%chance

$2.7M Vol.2 months left

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%
US2%

$3.8M Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round Winner

Marine Le Pen87%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon7%

$26.0K Vol.

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

No change86%
25 bps increase13%

$130.0K Vol.annual

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$288.2K Vol.

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%chance

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

December 31, 202750%
June 30, 202735%

$2.9M Vol.

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

No change96%
25 bps increase4%

$220.3K Vol.annual

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%56%
Remain 60–80%27%

$32.7K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon38%
Édouard Philippe30%

$15.4K Vol.

Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?

<1%chance

$58.9K Vol.18 hours left

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova87%
Аndrey Gyurov14%

$1.2M Vol.

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

$403.4K Vol.2 months left

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

December 3194%
October 3188%

$889.0K Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

$257.5K Vol.2 months left

Russia military action against EU country by...?

December 31, 202722%
December 31, 20268%

$262.7K Vol.

Spain General Election Winner

PP85%
PSOE16%

$108.0K Vol.

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China75%
No meeting by December 3119%

$1.8M Vol.

New pandemic in 2026?

$1.2M Vol.2 months left

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas 20%+13%
Ruas 5-10%13%

$31.4K Vol.

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Mohammed bin Salman80%
Vladimir Putin80%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Yisrael Beiteinu54%
The Democrats54%

$59.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

62%chance

$4.0K Vol.12 days left

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$63.7K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Édouard Philippe39%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon37%

$13.0K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Iotova 20-30%54%
Iotova 10-20%30%

$16.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

<2.75%53%
2.75-3.25%21%

$5.8K Vol.

Iran Nuke before 2027?

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

Grüne73%
SPD58%

$22.4K Vol.

Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?

48%chance

$2.3K Vol.45 days left

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei87%
No Head of State5%

$40.2M Vol.

Israel Election: Together vote share?

9-11%38%
7-9%26%

$5.2K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

$41.2K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Matan Kahana17%

$44.7K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

SPD98%
Grüne93%

$23.5K Vol.

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

June 30, 20279%
December 313%

$4.3M Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

<2.5%46%
2.5-3.25%29%

$5.5K Vol.

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

8%chance

$2.9M Vol.2 months left

Estonia Parliamentary Election Winner

Isamaa49%
Centre Party35%

$2.6K Vol.

Klitschko out as Kyiv mayor by...?

June 30, 202729%
December 31, 202614%

$3.9K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

23%chance

$16.8K Vol.1 year left

China Annual Inflation 2026

0.6 – 1.0%52%
1.1 – 1.5%27%

$114.1K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2836%
Tally Gotliv13%

$50.4K Vol.

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

466%
516%

$7.6M Vol.

Will any country leave NATO by...?

$407.0K Vol.2 months left

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

49%chance

$53.8K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?

7-870%
<713%

$11.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

27%chance

$7.6K Vol.12 days left

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

13%chance

$183.1K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?

6-7%42%
5-6%39%

$7.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Together # of seats?

14-1633%
11-1329%

$7.8K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$16.7K Vol.8 months left

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Wang Huning5%
Dong Jun5%

$252.5K Vol.

Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Kevin Acton85%
Harwinder Sandhu10%

$6.3K Vol.

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

$274.5K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?

6-743%
8-937%

$4.8K Vol.

Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Celina 20-25%46%
Celina 25%+22%

$5.1K Vol.

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027

$15.7K Vol.

El Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place

PCN35%
PDC24%

$7.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

<0.75%48%
0.75-1.25%43%

$6.0K Vol.

Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Margareta Dovgal52%
Terry Yung38%

$4.3K Vol.

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?

$226.0K Vol.2 months left

$35.5K Vol.2 months left

Tocantins Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Vicentinho 4%+29%
Vicentinho <4%27%

$3.6K Vol.

Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

5-6%48%
4-5%32%

$5.0K Vol.

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?

15%chance

$36.5K Vol.2 months left

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

12%chance

Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?

AfD70%
Grüne40%

$59.6K Vol.

Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Garry Thind68%
Garry Begg31%

$2.3K Vol.

Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?

85%chance

$25.0K Vol.2 months left

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout

78-80%60%
76-78%19%

$12.5K Vol.

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Finland12%
Belgium10%

$762.9K Vol.

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202720%
December 31, 20266%

$172.8K Vol.

Which party will gain most seats in El Salvador Legislative Election?

Nuevas Ideas (NI)80%
PCN4%

$5.6K Vol.

Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

544%
622%

$9.7K Vol.

French election called by...?

9%chance

$10.5K Vol.2 months left

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

December 31, 202614%
October 31, 202611%

$363.3K Vol.

Jimmy Lai released by...?

$25.8K Vol.2 months left

Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

David Xie45%
Paul Choi39%

$1.8K Vol.

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

$380.7K Vol.2 months left

Bank of Japan Decision in December?

25 bps increase66%
No change31%

$13.9K Vol.annual

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December

No change70%
25 bps increase24%

$10.3K Vol.annual

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

<463%
4-632%

$11.3K Vol.

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

$799.4K Vol.2 months left

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

$534.7K Vol.2 months left

$53.2K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

6-741%
4-533%

$11.6K Vol.

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

28%chance

El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place

PCN43%
ARENA31%

$10.4K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

No Next Minister by Feb 2841%
Yoav Ben-Tzur17%

$14.6K Vol.

Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Jaime Stein72%
Sunita Dhir27%

$2.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Shas vote share?

6-7%36%
<6%31%

$3.7K Vol.

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Japan26%
Germany16%

$681.2K Vol.annual

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

$378.8K Vol.4 days left

EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?

14%chance

$7.2K Vol.2 months left

Courtenay-Comox British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Brennan Day63%
Will Cole-Hamilton28%

$2.1K Vol.

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

$1.1M Vol.2 months left

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

$169.2K Vol.2 months left

Will Alberta join the US?

$2.2M Vol.2 months left

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

$3.5M Vol.2 months left

Modi out by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$26.4K Vol.8 months left

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

22-2323%
20-2121%

$19.3K Vol.

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

$1.3M Vol.2 months left

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

25 bps increase52%
No change43%

$94.0K Vol.annual

Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?

UAE39%
Turkey22%

$33.2K Vol.

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)

<1600.0053%
1600.00–1699.9933%

$22.7K Vol.monthly

Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?

83%chance

$592.9 Vol.5 months left

US x China Military clash before 2027?

$218.8K Vol.2 months left

Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner

$7.4K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yaron Zelekha17%

$45.6K Vol.

Acre Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Mailza 20%+46%
Mailza 10-15%37%

$4.4K Vol.

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202723%
December 31, 202611%

$2.1M Vol.

Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?

4-4.75%48%
4.75-5.5%34%

$5.2K Vol.

Erdoğan out by...?

December 31, 202717%
December 31, 20264%

$649.2K Vol.

China x India military clash by...?

$222.3K Vol.2 months left

NATO article 5 before 2027?

$283.1K Vol.2 months left

Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner

$135.1K Vol.

Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?

$34.6K Vol.2 months left

Next Prime Minister of Morocco? (Invested)

$34.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?

10+33%
6-729%

$8.1K Vol.

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Allyson 3-6%28%
Allyson <3%24%

$9.2K Vol.

Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?

December 319%
October 313%

$58.3K Vol.

El Salvador Presidential Election Winner

Nayib Bukele97%
Rafael Aguirre2%

$2.4K Vol.

Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

December 313%
October 31<1%

$7.2K Vol.

China coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202711%
December 31, 20264%

$163.5K Vol.

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.00-5.49%50%
5.50-5.99%30%

$162.9K Vol.

Ukraine lowers conscription age by...?

March 3119%
December 315%

$4.1K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?

89%chance

$3.1K Vol.10 days left

Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?

75%chance

$7.2K Vol.5 months left

Bank of Korea decision in October?

No Change97%
25 bps hike3%

$38.7K Vol.annual

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

8-935%
12-1330%

$6.5K Vol.

Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Gordon Zhang80%
Bruce Kong19%

$3.5K Vol.

Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

5.5-6.5%35%
6.5-7.5%35%

$2.9K Vol.

Israel Election: Shas # of seats?

8-937%
6-732%

$7.1K Vol.

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

$142.8K Vol.2 months left

Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

22%chance

$4.0K Vol.2 years left

Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?

$174.2K Vol.

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

8%chance

$191.9K Vol.2 months left

Amazonas Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Aziz 10-15%37%
Aziz 6-10%31%

$5.9K Vol.

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?

8-948%
6-722%

$5.7K Vol.

Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Bert Chen41%
Debra Toporowski37%

$1.1K Vol.

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

857%
932%

$1.7M Vol.

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?

$7.5K Vol.2 months left

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

$80.4K Vol.2 months left

US x Russia military clash by...?

$1.1M Vol.2 months left

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

25 bps increase60%
No change37%

$38.9K Vol.annual

North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Anna Kindy62%
Sara Lopez28%

$1.5K Vol.

Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Garry Purewal53%
Jagrup Brar47%

$2.3K Vol.

Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?

6.5-7.5%41%
5.5-6.5%33%

$3.8K Vol.

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

$167.4K Vol.2 months left

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

24%chance

$13.4K Vol.2 months left

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

11%chance

$144.3K Vol.2 months left

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

30.0-34.9%66%
25-29.9%30%

$79.9K Vol.monthly

Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Harj Dhaliwal44%
Jessie Sunner36%

$3.5K Vol.

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

$90.8K Vol.2 months left

Bank of Korea decision in November?

No Change48%
25 bps hike42%

$32.6K Vol.annual

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

$688.9K Vol.2 months left

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

$641.5K Vol.2 months left

Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Zeeshan Wahla40%
Amna Shah35%

$2.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

6-7%35%
5-6%28%

$4.4K Vol.

Will Trump rename an ocean by...?

December 31, 202727%
December 31, 20265%

$33.4K Vol.

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

$161.0K Vol.2 months left

Yoon out of custody before 2027?