Elections

Next French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen43%
- Édouard Philippe20%
$150.3M Vol.

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Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep62%
R Senate, D House28%

$22.9M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
Jon Ossoff15%

$1.3B Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

$867.7K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

$207.4K Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance22%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%

$715.9M Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%

$16.7M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$1.2M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance49%
Marco Rubio15%

$711.3M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

$148.4K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson81%
Ulf Kristersson15%

$10.1M Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)65%
Ken Paxton (R)37%

$3.5M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot48%
Benjamin Netanyahu31%

$45.9M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić71%
Ilija Srdanović17%

$1.2M Vol.

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)72%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)28%

$404.7K Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)91%
Zach Lahn (R)10%

$239.5K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Luca Niculescu80%
Sorin Grindeanu4%

$5.0M Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party64%
Republican Party37%

$6.4M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$84.3K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$163.3K Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$115.4K Vol.

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra96%
Steve Hilton4%

$41.9M Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola74%
Sen. Dan Sullivan27%

$1.3M Vol.

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

$1.2M Vol.

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

99%chance

$662.0K Vol.2 months left

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar59%
Likud42%

$657.8K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo82%
Pedro Sánchez15%

$1.8M Vol.

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow74%
Brad Bradford27%

$349.0K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

TX-04 House Election Winner

Pat Fallon (R)96%
Jason Pearce (D)2%

$79.1K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$46.1K Vol.

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an66%
Puma Shen34%

$893.5K Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)62%
Jon Husted (R)40%

$1.2M Vol.

Next Premier of British Columbia

Lorne Doerkson80%
David Eby19%

$153.5K Vol.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)73%
Independent28%

$608.8K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%
Mike Rogers (R)30%

$1.6M Vol.

MT-01 House Election Winner

Aaron Flint (R)69%
Sam Forstag (D)32%

$79.4K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)63%
Adam Hamilton (D)38%

$897.8K Vol.

TN-04 House Election Winner

$103.2K Vol.

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-2444%
25-2926%

$500.9K Vol.

NC-08 House Election Winner

Mark Harris (R)97%
Colby Watson (D)3%

$45.3K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Peggy Flanagan (D)87%
Michele Tafoya (R)14%

$230.5K Vol.

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Elif Eralp67%
Stefan Evers27%

$231.3K Vol.

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Independent/Technocrat86%
PSD8%

$342.3K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon42%
Édouard Philippe36%

$9.7K Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)60%
Susan Collins (R)42%

$2.2M Vol.

How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

47–49 and 193–20723%
≤46 and ≤19222%

$72.8K Vol.

CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)

Sydney Kamlager-Dove97%
Samantha Mota3%

$43.7K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas

Lula59%
Flavio Bolsonaro41%

$62.4K Vol.

TX-35 House Election Winner

Johnny Garcia (D)59%
Carlos De La Cruz (R)41%

$52.7K Vol.

Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?

Chris Thomas99%
Alfred Cannan<1%

$65.6K Vol.

Minnesota Attorney General Election Winner

Keith Ellison (D)71%
Ronald J. Schutz (R)30%

$13.8K Vol.

TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 6-9%21%
Democrat 9-12%20%

$18.9K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory

Turek 0-3%35%
Hinson 0-3%27%

$18.8K Vol.

NY-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%23%
Republican 3-6%18%

$26.1K Vol.

GA-09 House Election Winner

Andrew Clyde (R)96%
Caitlyn Gegen (D)2%

$42.4K Vol.

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

$540.4K Vol.

TX-25 House Election Winner

Roger Williams (R)94%
Dione Sims (D)2%

$41.2K Vol.

MN-05 House Election Winner

Ilhan Omar (D)94%
John Nagel (R)6%

$68.3K Vol.

New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Lee Shu-chuan49%
Su Chiao-hui49%

$106.0K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad

Lula67%
Flavio Bolsonaro32%

$63.0K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Peltola 3-6%34%
Peltola 0-3%31%

$13.1K Vol.

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Marine Le Pen89%
Édouard Philippe48%

$352.7K Vol.

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ulrich Siegmund80%
Sven Schulze3%

$459.7K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon51%
Édouard Philippe23%

$6.1K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

No Next Minister by Feb 2840%
Ofer Winter16%

$35.7K Vol.

TX-26 House Election Winner

Brandon Gill (R)97%
Steven Shook (D)2%

$62.4K Vol.

Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

$21.1K Vol.monthly

Alabama Governor Election Winner

Tommy Tuberville (R)94%
Doug Jones (D)6%

$39.7K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

$50.5K Vol.

Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%25%
Republican 25-30%21%

$37.1K Vol.

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Talarico 0-3%28%
Talarico 3-6%27%

$21.1K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory

Moody 6-9%24%
Moody 9-12%23%

$20.7K Vol.

FL-08 House Election Winner

$60.0K Vol.

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman54%
Karen Bass47%

$15.3M Vol.

TN-05 House Election Winner

Charlie Hatcher (R)95%
Chaz Molder (D)5%

$71.7K Vol.

Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

S + MP + C + V21%
S + MP19%

$89.9K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place

Yisrael Beiteinu42%
The Democrats32%

$4.8K Vol.

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

Jon Ossoff59%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez20%

$48.6K Vol.

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Rahm Emanuel25%
Gavin Newsom14%

$1.2M Vol.

OH-14 House Election Winner

David Joyce (R)96%
Maria Jukic (D)4%

$79.7K Vol.

New Hampshire Governor Election Winner

$47.5K Vol.

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

National + ACT + NZF43%
Labour + Green28%

$64.7K Vol.

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

PSD73%
UDMR31%

$51.6K Vol.

WI-05 House Election Winner

$93.2K Vol.

Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner

Ana Brnabić23%
Miloš Vučević22%

$80.1K Vol.

New Jersey Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 21%+49%
Democrat 18-21%14%

$17.1K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais

Flavio Bolsonaro90%
Lula5%

$11.5K Vol.

TN-08 House Election Winner

David Kustoff (R)97%
Heidi Kuhn (D)2%

$48.3K Vol.

WI-07 House Election Winner

Michael Alfonso (R)95%
Fred Clark (D)4%

$62.0K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

Flavio Bolsonaro84%
Lula17%

$53.5K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R)57%
Josh Turek (D)43%

$873.5K Vol.

TX-15 House Election Winner

Bobby Pulido (D)83%
Monica De La Cruz (R)18%

$58.8K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Andrey Gyurov91%
Yanaki Stoilov5%

$3.8K Vol.

TX-21 House Election Winner

Mark Teixeira (R)96%
Kristin Hook (D)4%

$69.2K Vol.

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%61%
Remain 60–80%21%

$18.1K Vol.

MO-06 House Election Winner

Chris Stigall (R)96%
Josh Smead (D)5%

$57.8K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Kostadin Kostadinov82%
Yanaki Stoilov11%

$3.7K Vol.

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei55%
Axel Kicillof33%

$840.5K Vol.

OH-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%18%
Democrat 3-6%18%

$25.1K Vol.

AZ-05 House Election Winner

Mark Lamb (R)90%
Elizabeth Lee (D)12%

$42.2K Vol.

OH-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%21%
Democrat 3-6%19%

$15.2K Vol.

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Pete Fry62%
Ken Sim35%

$272.4K Vol.

South Dakota Senate Election Winner

Mike Rounds (R)94%
Brian Bengs (I)5%

$58.5K Vol.

NY-11 House Election Winner

$38.5K Vol.

NJ-07 House Election Winner

$47.7K Vol.

ND-AL House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%27%
Republican 30-35%19%

$15.9K Vol.

NY-14 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 40-45%31%
Democrat 45-50%31%

$15.5K Vol.

Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner

Lee Fairclough44%
Navdeep Bains38%

$13.6K Vol.

Montana Senate Election Winner

Kurt Alme (R) 93%
Independent7%

$166.5K Vol.

Spain General Election Winner

PP86%
PSOE14%

$102.4K Vol.

OR-02 House Election Winner

Cliff Bentz (R)96%
Chris Beck (D)5%

$20.5K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

No Next Minister by Feb 2837%
Yaron Zelekha17%

$44.7K Vol.

KY-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%32%
Republican 25-30%31%

$25.3K Vol.

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

31%chance

$12.6K Vol.21 days left

GA-09 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Republican 30-35%23%
Republican 20-25%22%

$20.1K Vol.

MN-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%22%
Democrat 0-3%21%

$19.5K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas 5-10%16%
Ruas 10-15%14%

$23.7K Vol.

NC-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%23%
Republican 3-6%22%

$11.9K Vol.

FL-19 House Election Winner

Jim Schwartzel (R)95%
Victor Arias (D)6%

$31.4K Vol.

New South Wales Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Liberal–National31%
One Nation28%

$5.4K Vol.

NJ-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%24%
Republican 9-12%21%

$10.8K Vol.

El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place

PCN47%
ARENA26%

$10.0K Vol.

PA-11 House Election Winner

Lloyd Smucker (R)95%
Nancy Mannion (D)4%

$55.1K Vol.

Minnesota Governor Election Winner

Amy Klobuchar (D)96%
Lisa Demuth (R)5%

$91.1K Vol.

WA-04 House Election Winner

$63.1K Vol.

Florida Governor Election Winner

Byron Donalds (R) 79%
David Jolly (D)21%

$295.9K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner

Iliana Iotova97%
Andrey Gyurov2%

$13.6K Vol.

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

55%chance

$51.4K Vol.2 months left

Spain General Election: Turnout

62-64%30%
70%+24%

$2.6K Vol.

RI-01 House Election Winner

Gabe Amo (D)>99%
Kellie Keenan (R)<1%

$46.2K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election: Turnout

4.6M-4.8M32%
4.8M-5M32%

$23.9K Vol.

NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 65-70%38%
Democrat 70-75%26%

$25.2K Vol.

TX-17 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%33%
Republican 15-20%23%

$10.7K Vol.

TN-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%36%
Republican 10-15%25%

$8.6K Vol.

Surrey Mayoral Election

Brenda Locke84%
Linda Annis12%

$38.8K Vol.