All markets
Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?
48%chance
- Yes47.5%
Outcomes
- Yes48%
47.5¢ per share
- No53%
52.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 47.5¢Spread 13¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 41¢ | 200 | $82.00 |
| 40¢ | 158.57 | $63.43 |
| 35¢ | 150 | $52.50 |
| 30¢ | 150 | $45.00 |
| 22¢ | 51 | $11.22 |
| 16¢ | 625 | $100.00 |
| 15¢ | 516.64 | $77.50 |
| 11¢ | 852.27 | $93.75 |
| 10¢ | 488 | $48.80 |
| 7¢ | 1,339.29 | $93.75 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 54¢ | 67.53 | $36.47 |
| 58¢ | 10 | $5.80 |
| 59¢ | 8 | $4.72 |
| 62¢ | 62.76 | $38.91 |
| 70¢ | 100 | $70.00 |
| 71¢ | 95 | $67.45 |
| 72¢ | 20 | $14.40 |
| 81¢ | 5.36 | $4.34 |
| 82¢ | 500 | $410.00 |
| 83¢ | 20 | $16.60 |
Rules
The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.