Elections

Next French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen45%
- Édouard Philippe20%
$150.6M Vol.

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Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep62%
R Senate, D House28%

$23.0M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
Jon Ossoff14%

$1.3B Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%

$16.9M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$1.3M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

$1.0M Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance22%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%

$715.9M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance49%
Marco Rubio15%

$711.3M Vol.

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an66%
Puma Shen34%

$1.0M Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)63%
Ken Paxton (R)38%

$3.6M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson81%
Ulf Kristersson15%

$10.1M Vol.

Alaska Governor Election Winner

$1.5M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot48%
Benjamin Netanyahu31%

$45.9M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Luca Niculescu87%
Sorin Grindeanu5%

$5.0M Vol.

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)72%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)28%

$405.4K Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party64%
Republican Party37%

$6.5M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

$216.1K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić70%
Ilija Srdanović17%

$1.2M Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)91%
Zach Lahn (R)10%

$239.6K Vol.

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra96%
Steve Hilton4%

$41.9M Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$119.9K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$163.3K Vol.

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Jocelyn Benson (D)95%
John James (R)5%

$302.2K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

$154.5K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$86.9K Vol.

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

$1.2M Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola74%
Sen. Dan Sullivan27%

$1.3M Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Peggy Flanagan (D)88%
Michele Tafoya (R)13%

$252.5K Vol.

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

>99%chance

$662.8K Vol.2 months left

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar59%
Likud43%

$657.9K Vol.

New York Governor Election Winner

Kathy Hochul (D)96%
Bruce Blakeman (R)5%

$199.6K Vol.

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)80%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 19%

$549.6K Vol.

TX-04 House Election Winner

Pat Fallon (R)96%
Jason Pearce (D)3%

$79.1K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo82%
Pedro Sánchez15%

$1.8M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$46.1K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)62%
Jon Husted (R)40%

$1.2M Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)69%
Mike Rogers (R)31%

$1.6M Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

NH-02 House Election Winner

$41.7K Vol.

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow74%
Brad Bradford27%

$349.3K Vol.

KS-04 House Election Winner

Ron Estes (R)95%
Katy Tyndell (D)5%

$105.0K Vol.

TX-08 House Election Winner

$53.9K Vol.

Next Premier of British Columbia

Lorne Doerkson80%
David Eby20%

$153.6K Vol.

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez44%
Jon Ossoff43%

$63.1K Vol.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)73%
Independent28%

$608.8K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

New Mexico Governor Election Winner

Deb Haaland (D)96%
Gregg Hull (R)6%

$65.3K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)63%
Adam Hamilton (D)38%

$898.2K Vol.

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Paxton 0-3%34%
Talarico 0-3%26%

$28.7K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova87%
Аndrey Gyurov14%

$1.2M Vol.

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Elif Eralp73%
Stefan Evers22%

$233.2K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R)57%
Josh Turek (D)42%

$884.1K Vol.

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$263.8K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas

Lula66%
Flavio Bolsonaro36%

$69.1K Vol.

MO-04 House Election Winner

Mark Alford (R)96%
Jordan Herrera (D)3%

$73.2K Vol.

Minnesota Attorney General Election Winner

Keith Ellison (D)76%
Ronald J. Schutz (R)24%

$16.7K Vol.

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Independent/Technocrat90%
PSD7%

$342.5K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round Winner

Marine Le Pen88%
David Lisnard4%

$13.3K Vol.

How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

47–49 and 193–20723%
≤46 and ≤19222%

$74.1K Vol.

Oklahoma Governor Election Winner

Mike Mazzei (R)90%
Cyndi Munson (D)9%

$43.5K Vol.

CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)

Sydney Kamlager-Dove96%
Samantha Mota3%

$43.8K Vol.

MT-01 House Election Winner

Aaron Flint (R)69%
Sam Forstag (D)32%

$85.5K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

Together70%
The Democrats16%

$18.8K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory

Turek 0-3%34%
Hinson 0-3%26%

$19.6K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election Winner

Jon Ossoff (D) 96%
Mike Collins (R)4%

$230.7K Vol.

TX-35 House Election Winner

Johnny Garcia (D)59%
Carlos De La Cruz (R)41%

$52.7K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

No Next Minister by Feb 2834%
Ofer Winter16%

$38.5K Vol.

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$358.4K Vol.

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Pete Fry58%
Ken Sim43%

$278.4K Vol.

TX-15 House Election Winner

Bobby Pulido (D)81%
Monica De La Cruz (R)19%

$62.9K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Peltola 3-6%38%
Peltola 0-3%35%

$15.4K Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory

Graham 0-5%32%
Graham 5-10%29%

$18.0K Vol.

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

PSD84%
UDMR30%

$54.4K Vol.

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

Other40%
PSD28%

$62.9K Vol.

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-2444%
25-2926%

$502.0K Vol.

GA-10 House Election Winner

Houston Gaines (R)96%
Pam Delancy (D)2%

$55.4K Vol.

Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?

<1%chance

$49.9K Vol.1 day left

IL-05 House Election Winner

Mike Quigley (D)97%
Tommy Hanson (R)2%

$35.2K Vol.

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

↑ 40%56%
↓ 30%47%

$73.6K Vol.

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Marine Le Pen90%
Édouard Philippe46%

$354.8K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad

Lula67%
Flavio Bolsonaro34%

$63.1K Vol.

Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

$21.3K Vol.monthly

Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner

Miloš Vučević24%
Ana Brnabić22%

$81.7K Vol.

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ulrich Siegmund79%
Sven Schulze3%

$460.1K Vol.

Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%25%
Republican 40-45%21%

$37.4K Vol.

NC-08 House Election Winner

Mark Harris (R)97%
Colby Watson (D)3%

$50.3K Vol.

New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Lee Shu-chuan51%
Su Chiao-hui50%

$106.9K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon45%
Édouard Philippe37%

$9.9K Vol.

CO-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%20%
Republican 3-6%19%

$23.3K Vol.

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Jean-Luc Mélenchon94%
Marine Le Pen92%

$545.0K Vol.

TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 6-9%21%
Democrat 9-12%18%

$20.5K Vol.

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

National + ACT + NZF40%
Labour + Green28%

$65.1K Vol.

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

25%chance

$3.9M Vol.20 days left

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

$50.6K Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)60%
Susan Collins (R)42%

$2.2M Vol.

Ljubljana Mayoral Election Winner

Zoran Janković68%
Anton Rop13%

$15.2K Vol.

AZ-02 House Election Winner

Eli Crane (R)75%
Jonathan Nez (D)25%

$15.5K Vol.

NY-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%22%
Republican 3-6%18%

$26.1K Vol.

Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

S21%
S + MP + C + V21%

$90.4K Vol.

New Hampshire Governor Election Winner

$47.5K Vol.

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%61%
Remain 60–80%25%

$21.5K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$59.0K Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

$142.8K Vol.

OH-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%19%
Democrat 0-3%19%

$25.7K Vol.

South Dakota Senate Election Winner

Mike Rounds (R)94%
Brian Bengs (I)5%

$59.3K Vol.

TX-22 House Election Winner

$35.2K Vol.

TX-23 House Election Winner

$82.9K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Yisrael Beiteinu53%
The Democrats45%

$55.1K Vol.

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner

Allyson77%
Cadu de Lula25%

$67.4K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Douglas Ruas98%
Eduardo Paes<1%

$784.6K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place

The Democrats43%
Together33%

$7.1K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

Flavio Bolsonaro84%
Lula16%

$53.7K Vol.

MI-03 House Election Winner

$55.0K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory

El-Sayed 3-6%24%
El-Sayed 0-3%23%

$13.1K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory

Moody 6-9%23%
Moody 9-12%22%

$21.6K Vol.

AZ-05 House Election Winner

Mark Lamb (R)90%
Elizabeth Lee (D)12%

$42.3K Vol.

ND-AL House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%27%
Republican 30-35%21%

$16.0K Vol.

NJ-07 House Election Winner

$47.7K Vol.

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman54%
Karen Bass46%

$15.3M Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas <5%17%
Ruas 20%+13%

$26.9K Vol.

Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner

Lee Fairclough44%
Navdeep Bains38%

$13.6K Vol.

NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 65-70%36%
Democrat 70-75%31%

$26.0K Vol.

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D)89%
Andy Biggs (R)12%

$135.1K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2836%
Tally Gotliv16%

$49.0K Vol.

Vermont Governor Election Winner

Phil Scott (R)76%
Amanda Janoo (D)25%

$234.5K Vol.

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

93%chance

$52.6K Vol.13 days left

GA-09 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Republican 30-35%26%
Republican 20-25%22%

$21.0K Vol.

Montana Senate Election Winner

Kurt Alme (R) 93%
Independent7%

$166.5K Vol.

New Jersey Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 21%+49%
Democrat 18-21%14%

$17.3K Vol.

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

26%chance

$12.8K Vol.20 days left

MN-05 House Election Winner

Ilhan Omar (D)94%
John Nagel (R)6%

$68.9K Vol.

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

$541.2K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place

Likud57%
Yashar32%

$18.7K Vol.

Amazonas Governor Election Winner

Omar Aziz92%
Professora Maria do Carmo4%

$51.8K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon39%
Édouard Philippe23%

$6.7K Vol.

2026 Williamson County Judge Election Winner

Heather Jefts73%
Steven Snell25%

$22.7K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner

Iliana Iotova97%
Andrey Gyurov2%

$13.7K Vol.

Minnesota Governor Election Winner

Amy Klobuchar (D)96%
Lisa Demuth (R)5%

$91.1K Vol.

WA-04 House Election Winner

$63.1K Vol.

Spain General Election Winner

PP86%
PSOE14%

$102.6K Vol.

KY-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%35%
Republican 20-25%33%

$25.4K Vol.

RI-01 House Election Winner

Gabe Amo (D)>99%
Kellie Keenan (R)<1%

$46.2K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election: Turnout

4.6M-4.8M29%
4.8M-5M28%

$24.2K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Andrey Gyurov90%
Kostadin Kostadinov5%

$3.9K Vol.

Alabama Governor Election Winner

Tommy Tuberville (R)94%
Doug Jones (D)6%

$40.2K Vol.

NC-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%23%
Republican 3-6%22%

$12.0K Vol.

Spain General Election: Turnout

<62%31%
62-64%24%

$3.9K Vol.

OH-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 6-9%19%
Democrat 9-12%18%

$18.8K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 5-10%32%
Democrat 0-5%23%

$2.8K Vol.

Kelowna Mayoral Election

Ron Cannan72%
Tom Dyas28%

$23.1K Vol.

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei55%
Axel Kicillof33%

$840.6K Vol.

Oklahoma Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%24%
Republican 5-10%19%

$18.5K Vol.

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

Chris Pappas (D)89%
John E. Sununu (R)13%

$330.2K Vol.

New South Wales Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

One Nation33%
Liberal–National31%

$6.4K Vol.

SC-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%22%
Democrat 3-6%18%

$16.0K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending oil above or below $80?

$10.5K Vol.

NY-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%31%
Democrat 10-15%21%

$17.3K Vol.

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

52%chance

$52.1K Vol.2 months left

MI-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%29%
Republican 15-20%22%

$25.8K Vol.

MN-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%24%
Democrat 0-3%21%

$19.5K Vol.