All markets
Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?
30%chance
- Yes29.5%
Outcomes
- Yes30%
29.5¢ per share
- No71%
70.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 29.5¢Spread 3¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 28¢ | 150 | $42.00 |
| 27¢ | 216.66 | $58.50 |
| 26¢ | 288 | $74.88 |
| 7¢ | 29,048.42 | $2,033.39 |
| 6¢ | 2,500 | $150.00 |
| 5¢ | 53,755.67 | $2,687.78 |
| 4¢ | 4,687.5 | $187.50 |
| 3¢ | 90,208.33 | $2,706.25 |
| 2¢ | 162,187.5 | $3,243.75 |
| 1¢ | 26,260.04 | $262.60 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 31¢ | 20.5 | $6.35 |
| 32¢ | 240.66 | $77.01 |
| 35¢ | 166 | $58.10 |
| 36¢ | 184 | $66.24 |
| 40¢ | 137 | $54.80 |
| 41¢ | 47.5 | $19.47 |
| 42¢ | 16 | $6.72 |
| 43¢ | 84 | $36.12 |
| 45¢ | 168 | $75.60 |
| 48¢ | 32.76 | $15.72 |
Rules
The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.