Economy

Fed Decision in October?
- No change84%
- 25 bps increase17%
$32.1M Vol.monthly

Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 50

Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

16%chance

$14.6M Vol.2 months left

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)96%
1 (25 bps)2%

$54.0M Vol.

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

76%chance

$632.1K Vol.59 days left

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase75%
No change23%

$3.0M Vol.monthly

September Inflation US - Annual

3.7%44%
3.6%42%

$150.6K Vol.monthly

Core CPI MoM - September 2026

0.2%49%
0.3%35%

$44.3K Vol.monthly

Largest Company end of October 2026?

NVIDIA96%
Apple4%

$241.7K Vol.monthly

3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?

Microsoft49%
Alphabet34%

$61.8K Vol.monthly

2026 World GDP Growth

3.0%29%
3.1%26%

$74.4K Vol.

Bank of England decision in November?

25 bps increase89%
No change10%

$304.2K Vol.annual

South Africa Annual Inflation 2026

>5.0%61%
4.7-5.0%12%

$86.1K Vol.

Fed Decision in January?

No change66%
25 bps increase32%

$295.7K Vol.monthly

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026

43.0 to 45.953%
46.0 to 48.947%

$25.4K Vol.monthly

Price of Dozen Eggs in September?

$2.20 to $2.3053%
$2.10 to $2.2026%

$31.0K Vol.monthly

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?

280M64%
270M8%

$18.8K Vol.monthly

September Inflation US - Monthly

0.6%48%
0.5%37%

$65.9K Vol.monthly

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

4.0–5.0%92%
5.0–6.0%4%

$928.4K Vol.

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.7%16%
Below 4.6%7%

$350.3K Vol.

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

25 bps increase50%
No change38%

$91.5K Vol.annual

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.4%64%
5.5%40%

$960.0K Vol.weekly

Fed rate cut by...?

July 2027 Meeting53%
June 2027 Meeting36%

$3.8M Vol.

3rd Largest Company end of October?

Alphabet88%
Microsoft13%

$36.8K Vol.monthly

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.10%88%
5.25%39%

$98.2K Vol.

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Unusual Machines47%
Anduril24%

$213.8K Vol.

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

No change95%
25 bps increase4%

$197.2K Vol.annual

US recession by end of 2026?

7%chance

$2.3M Vol.3 months left

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

No change93%
25 bps increase7%

$522.2K Vol.annual

EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?

30M+92%
31M+85%

$32.6K Vol.monthly

Moody's or S&P downgrades France by...?

October 3173%
November 3072%

$4.4K Vol.

Bank of Russia decision in October?

No Change89%
Decrease11%

$71.8K Vol.annual

Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

-0.3% to -0.1%31%
0.0% to 0.2%18%

$31.1K Vol.annual

October Unemployment Rate

4.2%37%
4.1%30%

$4.9K Vol.monthly

USD x Iranian rials End of October?

2.8M+65%
2.6-2.7M22%

$37.1K Vol.monthly

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

3.50% to 3.99%34%
4.00% to 4.49%32%

$81.1K Vol.

Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)

0.2 to 0.3%43%
0.0 to 0.1%30%

$27.0K Vol.monthly

What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?

<$403K21%
$403K - $407K20%

$16.0K Vol.monthly

EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?

30M+96%
31M+90%

$34.7K Vol.monthly

Bank of Russia decision in December?

25 bps decrease44%
No change44%

$7.5K Vol.annual