Kevin Warsh

Fed Decision in October?
- No change84%
- 25 bps increase17%
$32.2M Vol.monthly

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Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

77%chance

$642.5K Vol.58 days left

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)96%
1 (25 bps)2%

$54.0M Vol.

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase75%
No change23%

$3.0M Vol.monthly

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

2 (50 bps)70%
1 (25 bps)22%

$939.3K Vol.

Fed Decision in January?

No change66%
25 bps increase32%

$295.7K Vol.monthly

Fed rate cut by...?

July 2027 Meeting54%
June 2027 Meeting37%

$3.8M Vol.

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.4%62%
5.5%40%

$960.2K Vol.weekly

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↑ 4.25%78%
↑ 4.5%13%

$1.9M Vol.

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

4.25%68%
4.0%21%

$6.9M Vol.

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

December 3113%
November 308%

$10.0K Vol.

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Pause-Hike-Pause64%
Pause-Pause-Pause11%

$28.0K Vol.daily

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

4.25%16%
4.0%14%

$15.9K Vol.

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

034%
125%

$18.6K Vol.daily

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

045%
122%

$28.8K Vol.daily

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Hike–Pause–Hike67%
Hike–Pause–Pause22%

$269.5K Vol.daily

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

June 30, 202710%
December 31, 20262%

$49.3K Vol.

Fed abolished before 2027?

1%chance

$8.2K Vol.2 months left

How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

056%
324%

$21.1K Vol.daily

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

2%chance

$30.3K Vol.2 months left