Fed Rates

Fed Decision in October?
- No change84%
- 25 bps increase17%
$32.1M Vol.monthly

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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)96%
1 (25 bps)2%

$54.0M Vol.

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

76%chance

$632.2K Vol.59 days left

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase75%
No change23%

$3.0M Vol.monthly

Fed Decision in January?

No change66%
25 bps increase32%

$295.7K Vol.monthly

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.7%16%
Below 4.6%7%

$350.3K Vol.

Fed rate cut by...?

July 2027 Meeting53%
June 2027 Meeting36%

$3.8M Vol.

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.4%64%
5.5%40%

$960.0K Vol.weekly

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.10%88%
5.25%39%

$98.2K Vol.

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↑ 4.25%77%
↑ 4.5%13%

$1.9M Vol.

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

045%
127%

$28.8K Vol.daily

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Hike–Pause–Hike67%
Hike–Pause–Pause22%

$269.5K Vol.daily

How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.90%45%
5.00%42%

$14.6K Vol.

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 5.20%22%
Below 5.15%17%

$59.5K Vol.

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

12%chance

$176.9K Vol.2 months left

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?

Below 5.18%66%
Below 5.15%53%

$11.1K Vol.weekly

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

4.25%64%
4.0%22%

$6.9M Vol.

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.70%77%
5.80%60%

$205.1K Vol.

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.50%15%
Below 4.45%10%

$83.8K Vol.

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?

5.32%65%
5.35%65%

$20.9K Vol.weekly