Fed

Fed Decision in October?
- No change84%
- 25 bps increase17%
$32.1M Vol.monthly

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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)96%
1 (25 bps)2%

$54.0M Vol.

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

76%chance

$632.1K Vol.59 days left

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase75%
No change23%

$3.0M Vol.monthly

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

2 (50 bps)71%
1 (25 bps)22%

$938.1K Vol.

Fed Decision in January?

No change66%
25 bps increase32%

$295.7K Vol.monthly

Fed rate cut by...?

July 2027 Meeting53%
June 2027 Meeting36%

$3.8M Vol.

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↑ 4.25%77%
↑ 4.5%13%

$1.9M Vol.

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

045%
127%

$28.8K Vol.daily

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Hike–Pause–Hike67%
Hike–Pause–Pause22%

$269.5K Vol.daily

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

12%chance

$176.9K Vol.2 months left

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

4.25%64%
4.0%22%

$6.9M Vol.

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

030%
325%

$18.5K Vol.daily

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

4.25%16%
4.0%14%

$15.7K Vol.

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

4%chance

$244.9K Vol.2 months left

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

December 315%
November 303%

$27.1K Vol.

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

December 3116%
November 308%

$9.4K Vol.

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

December 3113%
October 313%

$36.3K Vol.

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

June 30, 202710%
December 31, 20262%

$49.3K Vol.

No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

88%chance

$32.2K Vol.15 days left