Middle East

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 1597%
- October 3182%
$12.2M Vol.monthly

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

October 15>99%
October 1895%

$1.8M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

18%chance

$74.0M Vol.2 months left

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot48%
Benjamin Netanyahu31%

$45.9M Vol.

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

78%chance

$232.7K Vol.21 days left

Saudi airspace closed by...?

December 3119%
October 316%

$260.0K Vol.

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

December 3139%
November 3038%

$322.7K Vol.

Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?

December 3114%
October 315%

$22.8K Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei87%
No Head of State4%

$40.2M Vol.

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 3120%
October 314%

$7.4M Vol.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 3114%
November 307%

$19.9M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%chance

$27.1M Vol.2 months left

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

No Next Minister by Feb 2833%
Ofer Winter17%

$37.7K Vol.

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Venezuela17%
Kuwait8%

$904.9K Vol.

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

October 3170%
October 1561%

$19.8K Vol.

Turkey military action against Yemen by...?

December 3111%
October 311%

$5.8K Vol.

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

3.0 - 3.5M28%
2.5 - 3.0M27%

$115.5K Vol.monthly

Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?

December 31, 202622%
October 31, 20267%

$115.2K Vol.

Will Iran target Iraq by...?

October 3164%
October 1561%

$14.5K Vol.

Riyadh airport reopens (50+ departures) by...?

October 3165%
October 2027%

$4.2K Vol.

Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?

December 3113%
October 315%

$86.5K Vol.

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

October 13>99%
October 486%

$846.6K Vol.monthly

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2840%
Tally Gotliv17%

$48.3K Vol.

USD x Iranian rials End of October?

2.8M+56%
2.7-2.8M20%

$44.5K Vol.monthly

Iran Nuke before 2027?

3%chance

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Iran invades Kuwait by...?

December 315%
October 312%

$1.1M Vol.

Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

October 3115%
October 158%

$39.2K Vol.

Netanyahu out by...?

41%chance

$2.7M Vol.2 months left

Houthis target Pakistan by...?

December 3112%
October 315%

$2.6K Vol.

$139.8K Vol.

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

December 3125%
October 317%

$150.0K Vol.

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

October 598%
October 896%

$64.6K Vol.monthly

Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

2%chance

$8.5K Vol.18 days left

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

<460%
4-637%

$10.3K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

No Next Minister by Feb 2837%
Yaron Zelekha17%

$44.7K Vol.

USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?

November 3098%
November 1585%

$8.8K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$54.8K Vol.

Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

Kuwait11%
Egypt10%

$79.8K Vol.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

11%chance

$1.9M Vol.2 months left

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

10%chance

$605.2K Vol.2 months left

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

9%chance

$197.6K Vol.2 months left

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

65%chance

$2.1K Vol.2 months left

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yoram Cohen13%

$42.5K Vol.

Syrian troops enter Yemen by...?

December 3110%
October 314%

$4.7K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

No Next Minister by Feb 2838%
Yoav Ben-Tzur26%

$13.9K Vol.

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

5%chance

$102.5K Vol.2 months left

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

October 3141%
October 1512%

$131.7K Vol.

USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?

December 3169%
November 3066%

$39.5K Vol.

Israel military action against Iraq by...?

23%chance

$2.3K Vol.17 days left

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland16%
Kuwait7%

$1.8M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$15.4K Vol.8 months left

Houthis target Syria by...?

December 315%
October 314%

$4.1K Vol.

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

473%
513%

$7.6M Vol.

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

September 2979%
September 2675%

$213.0K Vol.monthly

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

22-2326%
24-2521%

$17.1K Vol.

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

11%chance

$125.1K Vol.2 months left

Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?

December 3129%
October 3113%

$64.1K Vol.

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 317%
October 31<1%

$18.0M Vol.

Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?

November 3056%
October 3124%

$17.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Together # of seats?

14-1635%
11-1324%

$6.8K Vol.

Will Iran target Jordan by...?

17%chance

$6.2K Vol.17 days left

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202719%
December 31, 202611%

$2.1M Vol.

Will Iran target Qatar by...?

5%chance

$974.4 Vol.17 days left

Houthi military action against Mecca by...?

December 315%
October 314%

$7.0K Vol.

USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...?

November 3079%
October 3175%

$9.1K Vol.

How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?

255%
121%

$5.4K Vol.

Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

December 3117%
October 315%

$5.0K Vol.

Will Iran target Oman by...?

November 3021%
October 314%

$45.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?

8-949%
6-723%

$5.7K Vol.

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

89%chance

$171.9K Vol.2 months left

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

5%chance

$26.6K Vol.2 months left

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

8%chance

$53.4K Vol.2 months left

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

6%chance

$688.9K Vol.2 months left

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

4%chance

$186.4K Vol.2 months left

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

3%chance

$861.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Iran target Syria by...?

3%chance

$2.1K Vol.17 days left

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

4%chance

$248.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Iran target Kuwait by...?

October 1519%
October 3119%

$24.1K Vol.

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

4%chance

$92.3K Vol.2 months left

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

13%chance

$325.7K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?

7-868%
9-1018%

$10.4K Vol.

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

5%chance

$535.2K Vol.2 months left

Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?

November 3030%
October 317%

$97.2K Vol.

Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

December 3117%
October 312%

$64.8K Vol.

Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by...?

December 3116%
October 312%

$14.0K Vol.

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

December 3124%
October 318%

$250.6K Vol.

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

9%chance

$473.2K Vol.2 months left

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

10%chance

$234.6K Vol.2 months left

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

23%chance

$15.4K Vol.1 year left

Israel Election: Shas # of seats?

8-937%
6-730%

$7.0K Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

3%chance

$2.6M Vol.2 months left

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

3%chance

$641.4K Vol.2 months left

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

September 2527%
September 2418%

$122.1K Vol.monthly

Iran releases Trump Hormuz voicemail by...?

October 313%
October 15<1%

$13.8K Vol.

Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?

8-934%
6-730%

$3.9K Vol.

Middle East

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Netanyahu out by...?

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

Israel military action against Iraq by...?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Will Iran target Jordan by...?

Will Iran target Qatar by...?

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will Iran target Syria by...?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?