All markets
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
10%chance
- Yes9.9%
Outcomes
- Yes10%
9.9¢ per share
- No90%
90.1¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 9.9¢Spread 1.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 9.3¢ | 594.35 | $55.27 |
| 9.2¢ | 6,147.27 | $565.55 |
| 9.1¢ | 300 | $27.30 |
| 8.7¢ | 81 | $7.05 |
| 8.6¢ | 264 | $22.70 |
| 8.3¢ | 734.94 | $61.00 |
| 8.2¢ | 66.47 | $5.45 |
| 7.8¢ | 213 | $16.61 |
| 7.6¢ | 119 | $9.04 |
| 7.5¢ | 200 | $15.00 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5¢ | 701.97 | $73.71 |
| 10.6¢ | 5,147.27 | $545.61 |
| 10.8¢ | 329.58 | $35.59 |
| 11¢ | 200 | $22.00 |
| 11.2¢ | 264 | $29.57 |
| 11.4¢ | 1,200 | $136.80 |
| 11.5¢ | 907 | $104.31 |
| 12.9¢ | 103.62 | $13.37 |
| 13¢ | 100 | $13.00 |
| 13.2¢ | 200 | $26.40 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT. The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.