Elections

180 events

Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Democratic Party91%
- Republican Party10%
$17.3M Vol.

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Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance22%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%

$716.5M Vol.

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen44%
Édouard Philippe20%

$150.8M Vol.

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep63%
R Senate, D House28%

$23.4M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot48%
Benjamin Netanyahu27%

$46.4M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$1.5M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

$1.2M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Luca Niculescu92%
Ilie Bolojan1%

$5.3M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%
Gavin Newsom15%

$1.3B Vol.

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an64%
Puma Shen37%

$1.1M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance48%
Marco Rubio14%

$711.4M Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)63%
Ken Paxton (R)38%

$3.7M Vol.

Alaska Governor Election Winner

$1.5M Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party64%
Republican Party37%

$6.5M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić69%
Ilija Srdanović21%

$1.3M Vol.

Nevada Governor Election Winner

Aaron Ford (D)53%
Joe Lombardo (R)48%

$418.3K Vol.

New York Governor Election Winner

Kathy Hochul (D)95%
Bruce Blakeman (R)5%

$234.6K Vol.

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Jocelyn Benson (D)95%
John James (R)5%

$309.2K Vol.

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

$1.2M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

$192.4K Vol.

NY-23 House Election Winner

Nick Langworthy (R)97%
Aaron Gies (D)2%

$87.8K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

Together83%
The Democrats8%

$49.6K Vol.

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow72%
Brad Bradford28%

$379.8K Vol.

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)78%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 23%

$558.9K Vol.

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$277.2K Vol.

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

PSD71%
Other10%

$87.3K Vol.

MN-06 House Election Winner

Tom Emmer (R)95%
Doug Chapin (D)3%

$90.8K Vol.

NH-02 House Election Winner

$41.7K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo82%
Pedro Sánchez16%

$1.8M Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)60%
Susan Collins (R)42%

$2.3M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

$234.4K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar64%
Likud34%

$676.1K Vol.

KS-04 House Election Winner

Ron Estes (R)95%
Katy Tyndell (D)6%

$105.5K Vol.

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra96%
Steve Hilton4%

$41.9M Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

$785.0K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola74%
Sen. Dan Sullivan27%

$1.3M Vol.

New Mexico Governor Election Winner

Deb Haaland (D)94%
Gregg Hull (R)5%

$68.0K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$180.0K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson81%
Ulf Kristersson16%

$10.1M Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%
Mike Rogers (R)31%

$1.6M Vol.

Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?

88%chance

$28.0K Vol.9 days left

PA-16 House Election Winner

Mike Kelly (R)96%
Justin Wagner (D)4%

$73.6K Vol.

TX-08 House Election Winner

$54.9K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Peggy Flanagan (D)88%
Michele Tafoya (R)13%

$267.9K Vol.

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

PSD91%
UDMR20%

$69.3K Vol.

OH-14 House Election Winner

David Joyce (R)95%
Maria Jukic (D)2%

$94.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-2442%
25-2926%

$516.3K Vol.

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)72%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)28%

$419.1K Vol.

Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?

<1%chance

$58.2K Vol.1 day left

French Presidential Election First Round Winner

Marine Le Pen87%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon7%

$26.0K Vol.

MD-01 House Election Winner

Andy Harris (R)89%
Dan Schwartz (D)11%

$87.0K Vol.

NC-08 House Election Winner

Mark Harris (R)95%
Colby Watson (D)4%

$57.4K Vol.

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%55%
Remain 60–80%26%

$32.4K Vol.

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

Jon Ossoff49%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez35%

$71.0K Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$130.1K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$97.0K Vol.

NE-02 House Election Winner

$59.3K Vol.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)73%
Independent28%

$618.6K Vol.

Next Romania PM appointed by…?

December 3196%
October 3190%

$61.1K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova87%
Аndrey Gyurov14%

$1.2M Vol.

TX-23 House Election Winner

$89.9K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

No Next Minister by Feb 2833%
Gadi Eizenkot18%

$63.5K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R)57%
Josh Turek (D)42%

$886.2K Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

Flavio Bolsonaro74%
Lula28%

$61.9K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon40%
Édouard Philippe25%

$14.9K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)63%
Adam Hamilton (D)38%

$906.3K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ulrich Siegmund78%
Sven Schulze3%

$468.1K Vol.

UT-02 House Election Winner

Blake Moore (R)95%
Peter Crosby (D)5%

$31.0K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará

Lula83%
Flavio Bolsonaro16%

$50.1K Vol.

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

26%chance

$3.9M Vol.20 days left

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Marine Le Pen91%
Édouard Philippe44%

$361.6K Vol.

MT-01 House Election Winner

Aaron Flint (R)69%
Sam Forstag (D)32%

$86.7K Vol.

IL-05 House Election Winner

Mike Quigley (D)97%
Tommy Hanson (R)2%

$35.3K Vol.

HI-01 House Election Winner

Ed Case (D)96%
Adriel Lam (R)3%

$53.0K Vol.

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei56%
Axel Kicillof33%

$846.5K Vol.

Saanich, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Zac de Vries83%
Rishi Sharma16%

$49.7K Vol.

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Jean-Luc Mélenchon94%
Marine Le Pen92%

$550.7K Vol.

WI-05 House Election Winner

$98.9K Vol.

MI-05 House Election Winner

$37.3K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas

Lula59%
Flavio Bolsonaro42%

$74.6K Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

$146.1K Vol.

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Independent/Technocrat95%
PSD3%

$347.8K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)62%
Jon Husted (R)39%

$1.2M Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

$55.8K Vol.

Spain General Election Winner

PP85%
PSOE14%

$107.6K Vol.

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman55%
Karen Bass46%

$15.3M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad

Lula67%
Flavio Bolsonaro31%

$68.0K Vol.

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Elif Eralp82%
Stefan Evers17%

$237.4K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas 20%+16%
Ruas 5-10%13%

$30.8K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Douglas Ruas99%
Eduardo Paes<1%

$786.4K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place

Likud60%
Yashar34%

$21.0K Vol.

TX-22 House Election Winner

$35.7K Vol.

Next Premier of British Columbia

Lorne Doerkson80%
David Eby22%

$157.8K Vol.

TX-15 House Election Winner

Bobby Pulido (D)82%
Monica De La Cruz (R)19%

$63.1K Vol.

FL-28 House Election Winner

Carlos Giménez (R)95%
Phil Ehr (D)5%

$65.1K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner

James Talarico (D)95%
Ken Paxton (R)5%

$25.1K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 5-10%33%
Democrat 0-5%23%

$5.7K Vol.

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Pete Fry59%
Ken Sim41%

$280.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

<2.75%53%
2.75-3.25%23%

$5.1K Vol.

Georgia Governor Election Winner

$192.8K Vol.

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Paxton 0-3%31%
Talarico 0-3%30%

$31.1K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Yashar55%
The Democrats54%

$58.7K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Ossoff 6-9%22%
Ossoff 9-12%21%

$21.6K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$49.7K Vol.

CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)

Aisha Wahab86%
Melissa Hernandez8%

$30.1K Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)91%
Zach Lahn (R)10%

$242.9K Vol.

MN-05 House Election Winner

Ilhan Omar (D)95%
John Nagel (R)5%

$71.9K Vol.

FL-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%31%
Republican 5-10%20%

$14.6K Vol.

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$360.8K Vol.

MN-02 House Election Winner

Matt Little (D)93%
Eric Pratt (R)6%

$63.1K Vol.

MI-12 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 50-55%33%
Democrat 55-60%28%

$17.4K Vol.

NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 65-70%37%
Democrat 70-75%26%

$28.6K Vol.

New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Su Chiao-hui51%
Lee Shu-chuan50%

$109.3K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Édouard Philippe39%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon37%

$13.0K Vol.

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

↑ 40%54%
↓ 30%46%

$76.3K Vol.

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

69%chance

$3.8K Vol.13 days left

Campeche Congress Election Winner

Morena38%
MC31%

$4.2K Vol.

CO-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 3-6%19%
Republican 0-3%18%

$26.1K Vol.

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 7%27%
↑ 12%22%

$183.8K Vol.

CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

Doris Matsui65%
Mai Vang36%

$25.6K Vol.

Spain General Election: Turnout

70%+36%
68-70%29%

$6.1K Vol.

Serbia Election: Student List Vote Share?

35-40%28%
40-45%28%

$21.6K Vol.

Texas Railroad Commissioner Election Winner

Jon Rosenthal (D)56%
Bo French (R)44%

$17.3K Vol.

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

92%chance

$53.9K Vol.13 days left

Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place

The Democrats35%
Yisrael Beiteinu24%

$8.7K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Iotova 20-30%54%
Iotova 10-20%31%

$16.4K Vol.

Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 40-45%28%
Republican 30-35%20%

$39.9K Vol.

Democratic Senate odds on October 16?

62-64%44%
64-66%22%

$7.7K Vol.weekly

AZ-06 House Election Winner

JoAnna Mendoza (D)83%
Juan Ciscomani (R)15%

$17.3K Vol.

Michoacán Congress Election Winner

Morena48%
PVEM35%

$5.1K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

$40.9K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

Grüne56%
SPD53%

$22.3K Vol.

IA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%31%
Republican 20-25%28%

$19.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Together vote share?

9-11%37%
7-9%26%

$5.2K Vol.

Richmond Mayoral Election

Rob Howard41%
Kash Heed31%

$36.1K Vol.

OH-07 House Election Winner

Brian Poindexter (D)81%
Max Miller (R)20%

$92.6K Vol.

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon>99%
Christine Fréchette<1%

$416.8K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Winner

Ashley Moody (R)91%
Angie Nixon (D)9%

$226.5K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Matan Kahana17%

$44.7K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Andrey Gyurov92%
Kostadin Kostadinov4%

$6.0K Vol.

NY-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%27%
Democrat 10-15%24%

$19.2K Vol.

Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?

47%chance

$2.2K Vol.46 days left

Chiapas Congress Election Winner

Morena62%
PT7%

$5.9K Vol.

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

>99%chance

$664.9K Vol.2 months left

Delta, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

$21.7K Vol.

Vermont Governor Election Winner

Phil Scott (R)75%
Amanda Janoo (D)25%

$236.5K Vol.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

1%chance

$228.3K Vol.20 days left

Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

SPD98%
Grüne86%

$23.4K Vol.

GA-09 House Election Winner

Andrew Clyde (R)95%
Caitlyn Gegen (D)2%

$44.5K Vol.

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

47%chance

$53.5K Vol.2 months left

Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-5%27%
Democrat Wins27%

$22.3K Vol.

Colima Congress Election Winner

Morena53%
PVEM18%

$6.9K Vol.

FL-25 House Election Winner

Jared Moskowitz (D)78%
Scott Singer (R)23%

$36.2K Vol.

IA-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 9-12%20%
Democrat 6-9%19%

$14.5K Vol.

Amazonas Governor Election Winner

Omar Aziz91%
Professora Maria do Carmo9%

$53.2K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory

Moody 6-9%23%
Moody 3-6%18%

$23.2K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Democrats 8-10%28%
Democrats 10-12%22%

$157.1K Vol.

OH-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%36%
Republican 35-40%22%

$21.8K Vol.

IA-01 House Election Winner

$45.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

<2.5%40%
2.5-3.25%29%

$5.3K Vol.

Next US Senate Minority Leader?

John Thune46%
Chuck Schumer35%

$11.4K Vol.

TN-08 House Election Winner

David Kustoff (R)97%
Heidi Kuhn (D)2%

$50.0K Vol.

NC-14 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 5-10%26%
Republican 15-20%22%

$9.2K Vol.

Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?

3%chance

$24.9K Vol.2 months left

OH-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%20%
Democrat 3-6%17%

$17.3K Vol.

TN-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 9-12%28%
Republican 6-9%27%

$15.4K Vol.

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Andy Beshear89%
Ted Cruz83%

$111.7K Vol.

Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?

Flávio Bolsonaro18%
Romeu Zema1%

$55.0K Vol.

NC-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 12-15%20%
Republican 6-9%14%

$10.5K Vol.

TX-28 House Election Winner

Henry Cuellar (D)91%
Tano Tijerina (R)9%

$13.1K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner

Iliana Iotova97%
Andrey Gyurov2%

$15.2K Vol.

Hidalgo Congress Election Winner

Morena70%
PVEM7%

$5.4K Vol.

FL-03 House Election Winner

Kat Cammack (R)95%
Seth Harp (D)5%

$40.3K Vol.

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

$542.5K Vol.

Baja California Congress Election Winner

Morena51%
MC23%

$5.0K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Alagoas

Lula98%
Flavio Bolsonaro2%

$13.5K Vol.

IL-16 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%26%
Republican 5-10%23%

$14.7K Vol.

PA-08 House Election Winner

Paige Cognetti (D)72%
Rob Bresnahan (R)28%

$20.6K Vol.