World

56 events

Next French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen39%
- Édouard Philippe24%
$149.3M Vol.

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Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot46%
Benjamin Netanyahu34%

$45.5M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election

$180.2M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%chance

$73.4M Vol.2 months left

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3121%
October 317%

$8.7M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

$455.8K Vol.

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

3%chance

$14.7M Vol.2 months left

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$248.7K Vol.

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202710%
December 31, 20263%

$28.8M Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova89%
Аndrey Gyurov12%

$1.2M Vol.

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

28%chance

$530.7K Vol.2 months left

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson82%
Ulf Kristersson16%

$9.9M Vol.

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

2%chance

$376.4K Vol.8 days left

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

7%chance

$322.4K Vol.2 months left

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

3%chance

$2.6M Vol.2 months left

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%
US1%

$3.7M Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

No Next Minister by Feb 2834%
Gadi Eizenkot19%

$43.5K Vol.

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland16%
Lebanon7%

$1.7M Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas 5-10%32%
Ruas <5%19%

$10.0K Vol.

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

3%chance

$1.3M Vol.2 months left

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%56%
Remain 20–40%21%

$10.7K Vol.

Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?

3%chance

$29.2K Vol.2 months left

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China76%
No meeting by December 3121%

$1.8M Vol.

Iran Nuke before 2027?

4%chance

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

June 30, 20279%
December 313%

$4.2M Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

$33.6K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2834%
Tally Gotliv13%

$39.0K Vol.

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Vladimir Putin77%
Mohammed bin Salman65%

$1.2M Vol.monthly

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

$36.9K Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

3%chance

$251.5K Vol.2 months left

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

11%chance

$3.5M Vol.1 year left

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

25 bps increase51%
No change37%

$91.5K Vol.annual

Russia military action against EU country by...?

December 31, 202725%
December 31, 20268%

$249.9K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

The Democrats56%
Yashar55%

$47.3K Vol.

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

66%chance

$44.6K Vol.2 months left

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

No change95%
25 bps increase4%

$197.2K Vol.annual

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

No Next Minister by Feb 2836%
Yoav Ben-Tzur23%

$12.9K Vol.

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

14%chance

$180.0K Vol.2 months left

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

December 31, 202746%
June 30, 202745%

$2.8M Vol.

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$7.0K Vol.8 months left

Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

4-533%
6-728%

$11.1K Vol.

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

4%chance

$271.6K Vol.2 months left

Will any country leave NATO by...?

5%chance

$405.6K Vol.2 months left

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

1%chance

$20.7K Vol.20 days left

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

5%chance

$3.5M Vol.2 months left

Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?

85%chance

$23.2K Vol.2 months left

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Dong Jun6%
Ding Xuexiang5%

$250.7K Vol.

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

5%chance

$220.0K Vol.2 months left

Modi out by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$25.4K Vol.8 months left

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

23%chance

$15.2K Vol.1 year left

Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Garry Purewal43%
Jagrup Brar35%

$1.8K Vol.

Bank of Japan Decision in December?

25 bps increase64%
No change31%

$13.3K Vol.annual

Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Harj Dhaliwal46%
Jessie Sunner35%

$2.8K Vol.

World

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Will any country leave NATO by...?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Modi out by June 30, 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?