Elections

220 events

Presidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance22%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
$716.8M Vol.

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Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%

$17.6M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot48%
Benjamin Netanyahu28%

$46.5M Vol.

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen46%
Édouard Philippe20%

$151.1M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$1.7M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%
Gavin Newsom15%

$1.3B Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance49%
Marco Rubio14%

$711.6M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$434.1K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

$1.3M Vol.

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep63%
R Senate, D House28%

$23.4M Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party64%
Republican Party37%

$6.6M Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar61%
Likud41%

$782.6K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Luca Niculescu91%
Ilie Bolojan1%

$5.3M Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)63%
Ken Paxton (R)38%

$3.7M Vol.

Nevada Governor Election Winner

Aaron Ford (D)53%
Joe Lombardo (R)48%

$421.0K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson79%
Ulf Kristersson18%

$10.1M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić69%
Ilija Srdanović22%

$1.3M Vol.

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an65%
Puma Shen36%

$1.1M Vol.

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

$1.2M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

$261.4K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo82%
Pedro Sánchez16%

$1.9M Vol.

New York Governor Election Winner

Kathy Hochul (D)95%
Bruce Blakeman (R)5%

$241.9K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola74%
Sen. Dan Sullivan27%

$1.3M Vol.

NY-23 House Election Winner

Nick Langworthy (R)97%
Aaron Gies (D)2%

$88.1K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

Together83%
The Democrats6%

$52.8K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

Flavio Bolsonaro62%
Lula40%

$83.0K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

$203.7K Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)60%
Susan Collins (R)42%

$2.3M Vol.

MN-06 House Election Winner

Tom Emmer (R)96%
Doug Chapin (D)3%

$94.2K Vol.

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-2442%
25-2927%

$522.2K Vol.

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$295.6K Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

PA-16 House Election Winner

Mike Kelly (R)96%
Justin Wagner (D)4%

$73.9K Vol.

OH-14 House Election Winner

David Joyce (R)96%
Maria Jukic (D)2%

$95.9K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas

Lula70%
Flavio Bolsonaro30%

$84.3K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Peggy Flanagan (D)88%
Michele Tafoya (R)13%

$268.6K Vol.

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Marine Le Pen91%
Édouard Philippe43%

$368.8K Vol.

MD-01 House Election Winner

Andy Harris (R)86%
Dan Schwartz (D)14%

$88.0K Vol.

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman54%
Karen Bass46%

$15.3M Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round Winner

Marine Le Pen87%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon7%

$26.0K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%
Mike Rogers (R)31%

$1.7M Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

$785.5K Vol.

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra96%
Steve Hilton4%

$41.9M Vol.

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)78%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 23%

$560.7K Vol.

NE-02 House Election Winner

$60.0K Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$131.0K Vol.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)73%
Independent28%

$620.4K Vol.

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow69%
Brad Bradford31%

$379.8K Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)91%
Scott Colom (D)10%

$152.6K Vol.

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei54%
Axel Kicillof33%

$851.3K Vol.

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

PSD84%
PSD + UDMR8%

$89.4K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad

Lula68%
Flavio Bolsonaro31%

$72.9K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)62%
Jon Husted (R)39%

$1.2M Vol.

Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?

<1%chance

$59.0K Vol.13 hours left

Georgia Governor Election Winner

$198.3K Vol.

Next Romania PM appointed by…?

December 3195%
October 3190%

$61.6K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova87%
Аndrey Gyurov14%

$1.2M Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon36%
Édouard Philippe30%

$15.7K Vol.

Next Premier of British Columbia

Lorne Doerkson80%
David Eby20%

$161.6K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará

Lula83%
Flavio Bolsonaro17%

$50.5K Vol.

UT-02 House Election Winner

Blake Moore (R)95%
Peter Crosby (D)5%

$31.0K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

$60.7K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

Alaska Governor Election Winner

$1.5M Vol.

NC-08 House Election Winner

Mark Harris (R)95%
Colby Watson (D)4%

$57.5K Vol.

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ulrich Siegmund76%
Sven Schulze3%

$469.0K Vol.

MI-05 House Election Winner

$37.8K Vol.

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%55%
Remain 60–80%26%

$32.9K Vol.

TX-23 House Election Winner

$89.9K Vol.

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

Jon Ossoff45%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez40%

$71.3K Vol.

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

26%chance

$3.9M Vol.19 days left

WI-05 House Election Winner

$98.9K Vol.

Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?

95%chance

$30.2K Vol.9 days left

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Jocelyn Benson (D)95%
John James (R)5%

$309.4K Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)90%
Zach Lahn (R)12%

$244.6K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas 5-10%13%
Ruas <5%13%

$32.0K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R)59%
Josh Turek (D)42%

$889.2K Vol.

Spain General Election Winner

PP85%
PSOE16%

$108.6K Vol.

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

PSD92%
UDMR31%

$70.6K Vol.

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Democratic64%
Republican35%

$2.5M Vol.

FL-28 House Election Winner

Carlos Giménez (R)95%
Phil Ehr (D)5%

$65.1K Vol.

Guerrero Governor Election Winner

$85.5K Vol.

CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)

Aisha Wahab87%
Melissa Hernandez11%

$30.7K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

The Democrats56%
Yisrael Beiteinu54%

$59.7K Vol.

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 7%35%
↑ 12%14%

$185.7K Vol.

TX-06 House Election Winner

Jake Ellzey (R)96%
Danny Minton (D)2%

$87.1K Vol.

MN-02 House Election Winner

Matt Little (D)94%
Eric Pratt (R)6%

$63.4K Vol.

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Jean-Luc Mélenchon94%
Marine Le Pen92%

$553.1K Vol.

Serbia Election: Student List Vote Share?

35-40%28%
40-45%27%

$22.8K Vol.

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)72%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)28%

$419.6K Vol.

Wisconsin Governor Election Margin of Victory

Crowley 3-6%21%
Crowley 6-9%19%

$22.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

59%chance

$4.2K Vol.12 days left

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$97.9K Vol.

New Mexico Governor Election Winner

Deb Haaland (D)93%
Gregg Hull (R)8%

$69.1K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)63%
Adam Hamilton (D)38%

$907.2K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Iotova 20-30%54%
Iotova 10-20%29%

$16.9K Vol.

CO-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%20%
Republican 3-6%17%

$26.3K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$63.8K Vol.

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Elif Eralp83%
Stefan Evers16%

$238.8K Vol.

New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Su Chiao-hui51%
Lee Shu-chuan48%

$110.4K Vol.

New York Attorney General Election Winner

$12.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

<2.75%53%
2.75-3.25%25%

$5.8K Vol.

Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?

48%chance

$2.6K Vol.45 days left

NE-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 40-45%47%
Republican 50-55%23%

$23.2K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Winner

Ashley Moody (R)91%
Angie Nixon (D)9%

$227.3K Vol.

TN-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 9-12%24%
Republican 12-15%22%

$16.3K Vol.

Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?

7-861%
9-1012%

$13.9K Vol.

Vermont Governor Election Winner

Phil Scott (R)76%
Amanda Janoo (D)25%

$237.6K Vol.

Democratic Senate odds on October 16?

62-64%57%
64-66%20%

$7.9K Vol.weekly

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$51.0K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

$41.4K Vol.

NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 65-70%38%
Democrat 70-75%33%

$28.9K Vol.

Israel Election: Together vote share?

9-11%37%
13%+28%

$5.3K Vol.

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Paxton 0-3%31%
Talarico 0-3%30%

$31.5K Vol.

OH-07 House Election Winner

Brian Poindexter (D)81%
Max Miller (R)20%

$92.6K Vol.

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon>99%
Christine Fréchette<1%

$418.0K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place

Likud56%
Yashar35%

$21.7K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election Winner

Jon Ossoff (D) 96%
Mike Collins (R)4%

$233.2K Vol.

Baja California Congress Election Winner

Morena55%
PT16%

$6.5K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Édouard Philippe39%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon37%

$13.0K Vol.

Chiapas Congress Election Winner

Morena62%
PT7%

$6.0K Vol.

GA-09 House Election Winner

Andrew Clyde (R)96%
Caitlyn Gegen (D)3%

$44.6K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Matan Kahana17%

$44.7K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

SPD98%
Grüne93%

$23.5K Vol.

Delta, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

$21.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

<2.5%38%
2.5-3.25%26%

$5.5K Vol.

Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?

3%chance

$25.2K Vol.2 months left

Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

S22%
S + MP + C + V21%

$92.5K Vol.

NY-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%30%
Republican 10-15%28%

$15.2K Vol.

Massachusetts Governor Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%21%
Democrat 25-30%20%

$17.9K Vol.

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

↑ 40%59%
↓ 30%43%

$76.4K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Douglas Ruas99%
Eduardo Paes<1%

$786.6K Vol.

Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 40-45%32%
Republican 30-35%20%

$40.0K Vol.

FL-25 House Election Winner

Jared Moskowitz (D)78%
Scott Singer (R)23%

$36.2K Vol.

NC-14 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 5-10%27%
Republican 20-25%21%

$9.3K Vol.

TN-08 House Election Winner

David Kustoff (R)97%
Heidi Kuhn (D)2%

$50.1K Vol.

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Rahm Emanuel27%
Gavin Newsom14%

$1.2M Vol.

MO-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%18%
Republican 0-3%18%

$20.8K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Democrats 8-10%28%
Democrats 6-8%22%

$157.4K Vol.

NC-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 12-15%20%
Republican 9-12%18%

$10.7K Vol.

IL-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 45-50%28%
Democrat 40-45%25%

$11.0K Vol.

MI-12 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 45-50%30%
Democrat 55-60%23%

$17.8K Vol.

IL-16 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%30%
Republican 10-15%25%

$15.0K Vol.

OH-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%32%
Republican 35-40%21%

$22.1K Vol.

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Pete Fry59%
Ken Sim41%

$281.0K Vol.

Hidalgo Congress Election Winner

Morena69%
PRI11%

$5.5K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 5-10%33%
Democrat 0-5%23%

$5.9K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2836%
Tally Gotliv13%

$50.6K Vol.

FL-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%30%
Republican 5-10%18%

$14.8K Vol.

KY-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%34%
Republican 25-30%28%

$26.9K Vol.

TX-28 House Election Winner

Henry Cuellar (D)91%
Tano Tijerina (R)8%

$13.2K Vol.

How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

47–49 and 193–20724%
≤46 and ≤19222%

$75.8K Vol.

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Independent/Technocrat96%
PSD3%

$348.1K Vol.

VA-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3-6%23%
Democrat 0-3%20%

$20.9K Vol.

AZ-06 House Election Winner

JoAnna Mendoza (D)83%
Juan Ciscomani (R)14%

$17.3K Vol.

IA-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 6-9%21%
Democrat 9-12%20%

$14.7K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner

James Talarico (D)95%
Ken Paxton (R)6%

$25.2K Vol.

FL-03 House Election Winner

Kat Cammack (R)95%
Seth Harp (D)5%

$40.3K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais

Flavio Bolsonaro90%
Lula7%

$13.1K Vol.

Serbia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

$23.2K Vol.

FL-17 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%45%
Republican 20-25%23%

$16.3K Vol.

WI-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%24%
Democrat 3-6%17%

$16.0K Vol.

Next President of Germany?

Ilse Aigner49%
Karin Prien19%

$3.7K Vol.

Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?

Flávio Bolsonaro19%
Romeu Zema1%

$55.0K Vol.

Michoacán Congress Election Winner

Morena42%
PAN25%

$5.1K Vol.

SC-07 House Election Winner

Russell Fry (R)96%
John Vincent (D)5%

$55.7K Vol.

NJ-12 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 35-40%43%
Democrat 30-35%26%

$11.7K Vol.

Amazonas Governor Election Winner

Omar Aziz91%
Professora Maria do Carmo9%

$53.2K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Alagoas

Lula99%
Flavio Bolsonaro1%

$13.5K Vol.

Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner

Chang San-cheng90%
Huang Shih-chieh9%

$18.3K Vol.

Spain General Election: Turnout

70%+53%
68-70%24%

$6.7K Vol.

IA-01 House Election Winner

$45.0K Vol.

WI-06 House Election Winner

Glenn Grothman (R)91%
Brad Smith (D)9%

$39.8K Vol.

Saanich, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Zac de Vries80%
Rishi Sharma16%

$49.8K Vol.

Markham, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Frank Scarpitti97%
Martin Ross3%

$24.0K Vol.

London, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Josh Morgan82%
Susan Stevenson5%

$16.2K Vol.

PA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 40-45%33%
Democrat 35-40%23%

$15.9K Vol.

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Andy Beshear89%
Ted Cruz83%

$112.3K Vol.

Kitchener, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Berry Vrbanovic97%
Manikantan Nair2%

$3.8K Vol.

CO-04 House Election Winner

Lauren Boebert (R)72%
Eileen Laubacher (D)28%

$48.0K Vol.

Taichung Mayor Election Winner

Johnny Chiang73%
Ho Hsin-chun25%

$16.0K Vol.

NY-23 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%34%
Republican 15-20%28%

$12.9K Vol.

Aguascalientes Congress Election Winner

PAN54%
Morena24%

$4.9K Vol.

Next US Senate Minority Leader?

John Thune46%
Chuck Schumer35%

$11.4K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election: Turnout

4.6M-4.8M26%
4.8M-5M25%

$25.6K Vol.

IL-12 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 35-40%34%
Republican 30-35%24%

$24.2K Vol.

TX-37 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%32%
Democrat 65-70%27%

$13.6K Vol.

Estonia Parliamentary Election Winner

Isamaa47%
Centre Party33%

$2.6K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Ceará

Lula98%
Flavio Bolsonaro<1%

$2.0K Vol.

Campeche Congress Election Winner

Morena37%
MC31%

$4.6K Vol.

Texas Railroad Commissioner Election Winner

Jon Rosenthal (D)56%
Bo French (R)44%

$17.3K Vol.

IN-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%29%
Republican 15-20%29%

$15.3K Vol.

Charlottetown, PEI Mayoral Election Winner

Philip Brown51%
Daniel Mullen33%

$17.1K Vol.

PA-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 45-50%27%
Democrat 55-60%26%

$14.6K Vol.

NJ-07 House Election Winner

Rebecca Bennett (D)91%
Thomas Kean Jr. (R)10%

$48.9K Vol.

Next Regional Board Chair of Jämtland Härjedalen?

Bengt Bergqvist35%
Robert Hamberg30%

$17.6K Vol.

Guanajuato Congress Election Winner

PAN58%
Morena27%

$3.4K Vol.

Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-5%27%
Democrat Wins27%

$22.5K Vol.

PA-11 House Election Winner

Lloyd Smucker (R)95%
Nancy Mannion (D)5%

$56.4K Vol.

KY-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 50-55%21%
Republican 45-50%21%

$13.4K Vol.

IA-03 House Election Winner

Sarah Trone Garriott (D)83%
Zach Nunn (R)18%

$12.7K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: Turnout

72-74%28%
74%+26%

$1.2K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

Grüne73%
SPD58%

$22.4K Vol.

IL-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%20%
Democrat 25-30%19%

$8.6K Vol.

Kano, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Abba Kabir Yusuf31%
Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo12%

$12.2K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory

Turek 0-3%33%
Hinson 0-3%22%

$20.8K Vol.

TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 6-9%21%
Democrat 9-12%18%

$21.6K Vol.

Israel Election: Together # of seats?

14-1631%
11-1325%

$8.0K Vol.

NY-15 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%33%
Democrat 65-70%31%

$11.6K Vol.

NY-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%27%
Democrat 10-15%24%

$19.3K Vol.

Which party will win the Minnesota State Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party86%
Republican Party12%

$6.4K Vol.

Surrey Mayoral Election

Brenda Locke88%
Linda Annis11%

$40.0K Vol.

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Florida99%
California98%

$432.7K Vol.

CO-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 50-55%34%
Democrat 45-50%25%

$17.9K Vol.

OH-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%26%
Republican 25-30%25%

$11.0K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

Christopher Luxon54%
Chris Hipkins46%

$42.6K Vol.

OK-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 35-40%27%
Republican 30-35%21%

$18.2K Vol.

Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

$252.3K Vol.

TX-36 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%35%
Republican 15-20%29%

$11.6K Vol.

NY-12 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 65-70%27%
Democrat 60-65%22%

$16.9K Vol.